基于兵棋推演的赛事设计与组织

为了将基于兵棋推演的各类赛事活动组织的更加合理、规范和标准化,首先简述了组织兵棋推演活动所需的基本条件,而后通过大量实践经验,就如何组织赛事活动中所涉及的主要内容进行逐一的过程化设计描述,最后从推演准备、推演实施和复盘总结三个方面阐述了赛事活动的组织与实施,为今后从事相关工作的组织和人员提供一种可靠方法。     

宽带单脉冲雷达实测数据三维成像的平面视觉形态表示

针对宽带单脉冲雷达实测数据三维成像结果难以直观表示的问题,研究了平面视觉形态表示方法。所谓平面视觉形态,是指用设想的人眼沿着雷达波束方向观测得到的目标结构向适当平面的投影。为获得波束依赖平面视觉形态表示,给出了从实测数据中计算雷达波束方向的方法并从目标尺寸准确估计的角度分析了获取雷达波束方向的必要性,在确定波束方向的基础上,根据投影平面确定新的坐标系,并给出了从雷达观测坐标系到新坐标系的坐标旋转方法。给出了某民航飞机实测数据三维成像处理结果在雷达观测坐标系中的投影表示和新坐标系中的平面视觉形态表示,通过两种表示的对比分析,显示了平面视觉形态表示对特征提取的价值。     

Adaptive random search for continuous simulation optimization

We present, analyze, and compare three random search methods for solving stochastic optimization problems with uncountable feasible regions. Our adaptive search with resampling (ASR) approach is a framework for designing provably convergent algorithms that are adaptive and may consequently involve local search. The deterministic and stochastic shrinking ball (DSB and SSB) approaches are also convergent, but they are based on pure random search with the only difference being the estimator of the optimal solution [the DSB method was originally proposed and analyzed by Baumert and Smith]. The three methods use different techniques to reduce the effects of noise in the estimated objective function values. Our ASR method achieves this goal through resampling of already sampled points, whereas the DSB and SSB approaches address it by averaging observations in balls that shrink with time. We present conditions under which the three methods are convergent, both in probability and almost surely, and provide a limited computational study aimed at comparing the methods. Although further investigation is needed, our numerical results suggest that the ASR approach is promising, especially for difficult problems where the probability of identifying good solutions using pure random search is small. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

对新疆高校校园网建设的思考与探索

随着新疆高饺的校园网建设逐渐由硬件基础建设阶段转入软件和资源建设阶段,本文就新疆高校校园网建设的现状及出现的一些问题做了探讨和分析,并对如何加强高校校园网建设,充实网络教学资源,强化校园网知识培训,提高师生应用能力等一系列问题提出了建议,以期为新疆高校的信息化建设提供一些借鉴。     

多年冻土区管道的设计技术研究

在多年冻土地带铺设油气管道,是国际能源战略发展的必然,但由于冻土具有冻胀和融沉特性,因此,选用合适的管道设计方法保证管道安全运行一直是一大研究热点。通过对多年冻土区管道所承受载荷类型的分析,论证了采用基于应变的管道设计方法的合理性,并着重对拉伸应变极限和压缩应变极限的确定方法进行了探讨,指出在实际设计中,应该选用相对宽松的压缩应变极限值和严格的拉伸应变极限值。     

浓缩富集＋基因芯片快速检测水体中致病菌

为了实现对水体致病菌的快速检测和监控,研究开发了一套预浓缩富集配合基因芯片检测的方法,对模拟和实际水样进行了检测,并与传统检测方法进行了比较。结果表明,通过对水样的浓缩集菌,基因芯片对致病菌的检出率（以肠炎沙门氏菌为单一检测对象）达到1．0×10^3cfu／mL,较原来提高了100倍;可以在8h内同步完成13种对人类有重大危害的致病菌的快速检测。     

Dynamic signatures and their use in comparing the reliability of new and used systems

The signature of a system with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) component lifetimes is a vector whose ith element is the probability that the ith component failure is fatal to the system. System signatures have been found to be quite useful tools in the study and comparison of engineered systems. In this article, the theory of system signatures is extended to versions of signatures applicable in dynamic reliability settings. It is shown that, when a working used system is inspected at time t and it is noted that precisely k failures have occurred, the vector s [0,1]^n‐k whose jth element is the probability that the (k + j)th component failure is fatal to the system, for j = 1,2,2026;,n ‐ k, is a distribution‐free measure of the design of the residual system. Next, known representation and preservation theorems for system signatures are generalized to dynamic versions. Two additional applications of dynamic signatures are studied in detail. The well‐known “new better than used” (NBU) property of aging systems is extended to a uniform (UNBU) version, which compares systems when new and when used, conditional on the known number of failures. Sufficient conditions are given for a system to have the UNBU property. The application of dynamic signatures to the engineering practice of “burn‐in” is also treated. Specifically, we consider the comparison of new systems with working used systems burned‐in to a given ordered component failure time. In a reliability economics framework, we illustrate how one might compare a new system to one successfully burned‐in to the kth component failure, and we identify circumstances in which burn‐in is inferior (or is superior) to the fielding of a new system. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

基于仿真的飞机战损部位及备件需求确定

飞机战斗损伤部位及战时备件需求的确定对做好战时维修保障工作具有重要意义.提出了作战飞机的战斗损伤部位的确定方法,建立了飞机部件的当量模型和飞机受导弹攻击的仿真模型,确定了飞机的战伤分布规律.在确定飞机战伤分布规律的基础上,建立了飞机战伤备件和故障备件需求模型,为作战飞机的战伤研究及航材储备作了有益的探讨.     

多分辨率建模航空武器装备体系对抗效能评估

根据多分辨率建模的思想,分析航空武器装备体系对抗的特点,提出基于多分辨率建模的航空武器装备体系对抗效能评估模型框架,通过体系对抗过程物理特性的分析提炼数学描述方法,基于主动元建模技术建立从高分辨率实体仿真模型的仿真元模型,探讨了对仿真元模型进行基于马尔科夫链的串联聚合和基于元胞自动机的空间聚合方法,提出效能评估多维矢量空间指标体系,研究结果对我军航空武器装备效能评估以及作战论证都具有一定的指导意义和参考价值.     

截击机机群作战起飞规划效能模型

研究了截击机机群起飞架数的规划方法.通过对多攻击机机群进攻方式及截击攻击机机群目标分配形式的分析,以单一机群对单一机群在均匀目标分配形式下的作战效果为基础,根据来袭目标及我方最佳截击区域情况,合理地规划多机场作战飞机的起飞架数.建立了多机场飞机异地起降对多攻击机机群进行最优目标分配的形式及其量化关系模型,最后通过实例仿真和分析,证实了该模型的有效性和实用性.