开孔复合材料层合板的拉伸强度和失效模式分析

为研究纤维编织工艺、铺层角度和孔径大小对开孔复合材料层合板拉伸强度和失效模式的影响规律,选用正交平纹玻纤层合板（WFL）和单向玻纤层合板（UFL）制作0°和45°铺层开孔拉伸试件,随后进行了试验研究;采用 Abaqus 建立基于二维 Hashion 失效准则的渐进损伤仿真模型,并对试验结果进行了对比,分析了试件的损伤机理。研究结果表明：层合板强度随开孔增大而减小,并且这种变化率随孔径增大而增大,45°铺层的层合板的变化率小于0°铺层,WFL 小于 UFL;WFL 的破坏以纤维断裂为主,裂纹垂直于纤维方向,UFL 以基体开裂为主,裂纹沿纤维方向,孔径则对破坏模式无明显影响;0°铺层 WFL 的破坏是由纤维拉伸失效导致,45°的则由纤维拉伸失效和基体拉伸剪切失效共同导致,0°铺层 UFL 由基体压缩失效导致,45°的则由基体拉伸剪切失效导致;拉伸强度的仿真与试验结果最大误差为14．1％,由此验证了仿真计算方法的有效性。     

SDI,NATO, and the Social Composition Function

The strategic defense initiative (SDI) intends to renew the leadership of the USA on the western alliance. The initiative takes place in a period when a summation technology prevails for the aggregation of contributions of NATO allies. We investigate if SDI induces a shift in Hirshleifer’s social composition function. Panel data tests over the period 1970–1990 do not confirm any break toward a best-shot aggregator. SDI does not alter the core of deterrence. It is indeed a public good at the US level but not at the NATO level, where, it is one of the joint products of the alliance. We also investigate the lessons to be drawn for the current debates on ballistic defense.     

Budget allocation under uncertainty and the costs of war and insecurity

This study presents a framework and models for the analysis of government budget allocation into defense and civilian expenditures in situations of uncertainty about the incidence of war. The models display the intricate relationships between security levels, subjective probabilities of the occurrence of war, and potential war damages. We show that poor countries tend to perceive greater probabilities of war than their richer rivals, and that the psychological burden of insecurity is larger when the country’s wealth is larger and when its preference for security is higher. We apply our models to the Israeli–Syrian arms race and show that the higher rate of growth of Israel’s gross domestic product relative to that of Syria is expected to lead to an increase in Syria’s perception of the likelihood of war and to a decrease in Israel’s perception of such a likelihood. We also show that if Syria’s regime becomes ideologically more extreme, the monetary cost of maintaining Israel’s security at the level that it enjoyed prior to the change will be very high, whereas the monetary cost of maintaining Israel’s welfare will be moderate.     

陆军作战仿真模型组件化设计

陆军作战仿真是一个复杂的系统工程,仿真所涉及的模型种类繁多、类别不一。针对当前陆军作战仿真模型开发不规范、通用性与可重用性差、开发和集成效率低的现状,在对陆军作战仿真模型构成要素进行分析和归纳的基础上,提出仿真模型组件化设计的建模方法、采用"方案-单元-实体-组件"方式的模型管理机制以及采用事件驱动、事件订购和分发方式的模型交互机制。     

基于弹药效能分解的装备战损建模方法研究

针对传统装备战损建模方法通用性较差、难以满足装备实际维修需求的缺点,提出了基于弹药效能分解的装备战损建模方法,具体包括弹药毁伤效应建模、装备结构描述建模、装备抗毁性数据库建模3部分.该方法对装备战损的精细程度进行分析,并且可以求得针对某个可更换单元的维修工序,从而为装备维修保障提供决策依据和参考.     

一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型的全局渐近稳定性

研究一类具有饱和发生率的离散型SIS传染病模型,得到模型的基本再生数.通过比较原理以及构造适当的Lyapunov函数,证明当基本再生数R01时,无病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的;当基本再生数R01时,地方病平衡点是全局渐近稳定的.     

基于可靠性和兰彻斯特方程的装备损坏率预计方法

战时装备损坏率预计是确定保障力量需求和组织保障活动的前提。在分析装备损坏影响因素的基础上,依据可靠性理论及兰彻斯特方程,提出了一种新的战时装备损坏率预计方法。该方法将经验计算和模拟计算相结合,能够快速、客观地预测装备损坏情况,满足未来作战精确保障的要求。     

一类二次Hamilton系统在三次多项式扰动下的极限环

通过计算一类二次Hamilton系统的高阶Mel′nikov函数,对该系统在三次多项式扰动下分岔的极限环个数进行了估计。     

基于近似策略的联合优化方法

针对优化中收敛速度和优化解全局性的问题,提出了一种联合优化方法:构造原问题的近似模型,使用全局优化方法对近似函数进行优化,得到优化点作为初值,再使用局部优化方法对原问题进行优化.为了获得对原问题更好的近似,改进了径向基插值方法,以优化误差的方法来选择参数.利用临近空间机翼模型的优化对算法进行了测试,结果表明,优化参数的...