Analysis of down times of jib cranes—A stochastic approach

In this paper a case study dealing with the maintenance problem of jib cranes is presented. A jib crane is viewed as a complex system whose performance is observed as a single realization over period of time. After pointing out limitations of existing stochastic models to analyze the observed realization a new family of bivariate stochastic processes is introduced. The data of jib crane is analyzed using new model and cross‐validated using part of the data set. It is noted that the new family of stochastic processes is useful to analyze bivariate data where one of the variables is finitely valued and the other is nonnegative and continuous. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 49: 231–243, 2002; Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com). DOI 10.1002/nav.10006     

并联TBCC动力对高超声速飞行器性能的影响

针对马赫数为6的一级高超声速巡航飞行器的动力需求,提出涡轮/亚燃冲压/双模态超燃冲压组合动力（T/RJ/DMSJ）和射流预冷涡轮/亚燃冲压/双模态超燃冲压组合动力(PCT/RJ/DMSJ)两种方案。在给定的飞行任务下,分析起飞推重比分别为0.8和1.0时,飞行器完成任务时的航程和飞行时间,并对比了PCT/RJ/DMSJ在两种工作模态下的性能。研究结果表明：在相同的起飞推重比下,两种组合动力方案的航程和飞行时间相差不大。当起飞推重比为0.8时,采用PCT/RJ/DMSJ组合动力方案比T/RJ/DMSJ组合动力方案的航程高出3.6%,飞行时间高出3.8%;当起飞推重比为1.0时,PCT/RJ/DMSJ的航程和飞行时间比T/RJ/DMSJ的分别高出4.6%和4.8%。在小推重比下,跨声速段的燃料消耗和飞行时间占整个加速爬升段的比例较大,随着推重比的增加,这个比例减小,巡航可用的燃料比例增大,巡航距离增加,提高起飞推重比可以提高超声速飞行器的航程并缩短飞行时间。     

Dynamic signatures and their use in comparing the reliability of new and used systems

The signature of a system with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) component lifetimes is a vector whose ith element is the probability that the ith component failure is fatal to the system. System signatures have been found to be quite useful tools in the study and comparison of engineered systems. In this article, the theory of system signatures is extended to versions of signatures applicable in dynamic reliability settings. It is shown that, when a working used system is inspected at time t and it is noted that precisely k failures have occurred, the vector s [0,1]^n‐k whose jth element is the probability that the (k + j)th component failure is fatal to the system, for j = 1,2,2026;,n ‐ k, is a distribution‐free measure of the design of the residual system. Next, known representation and preservation theorems for system signatures are generalized to dynamic versions. Two additional applications of dynamic signatures are studied in detail. The well‐known “new better than used” (NBU) property of aging systems is extended to a uniform (UNBU) version, which compares systems when new and when used, conditional on the known number of failures. Sufficient conditions are given for a system to have the UNBU property. The application of dynamic signatures to the engineering practice of “burn‐in” is also treated. Specifically, we consider the comparison of new systems with working used systems burned‐in to a given ordered component failure time. In a reliability economics framework, we illustrate how one might compare a new system to one successfully burned‐in to the kth component failure, and we identify circumstances in which burn‐in is inferior (or is superior) to the fielding of a new system. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

离子束加工误差对散射损失的影响研究

离子束加工(Ion Beam Figuring,IBF)去除函数对加工残差具有重要的影响,而加工残差引起的表面散射则导致光学性能发生变化.为了减小加工残差对光学性能的影响,利用基于CCOS成形原理的离子束加工仿真程序对光学镜面进行修形,分析不同去除函数宽度对散射损失(Ratio of Scattering Loss,RSL)指标的影响.通过研究可知,随着去除函数宽度的减小,加工残差对散射损失的影响越来越小.因此,根据加工残差对RSL指标的影响程度以及RSL指标要求,可以合理选择去除函数宽度,从而在满足面形精度的同时,优化加工工艺.     

滑翔增程弹滑翔弹道优化设计分析

针对鸭式布局的滑翔增程弹,建立了滑翔增程弹滑翔弹道的模型,采用使滑翔弹道上每一点的升阻比最大的设计思想进行弹道优化设计,导出了俯仰舵偏角与平衡攻角的表达式,并对滑翔飞行弹道特性进行了仿真计算分析.仿真计算表明,滑翔弹道与常规弹道降弧段相比下降趋缓,增程效果显著.     

斜入射条件下F-P干涉腔透过率特性分析

分析了斜入射角条件下F-P干涉腔的透过率特性;结合单层介质膜和单层金属膜的反射特性随入射角的变化规律,得出了反射特性参数为恒定值时微腔、低反F-P干涉腔透过率的计算误差;仿真结果表明,在光束斜入射条件下,特别是在大入射角下,单层介质膜的反射率指数增大,单层金属膜的反射率和反射相移也指数增大,但其吸收系数指数减小,造成微腔、低反F-P干涉腔透过率曲线与反射特性参数为恒定值时相比均明显向下偏移,且偏移量逐渐增大。     

GNSS自适应天线相位中心评估方法

自适应天线在波束形成过程中会引起天线相位中心变化,针对这一问题,提出一种基于可用波束的自适应天线相位中心评估方法。该方法分为三步:设置天线的可用波束门限;在干扰来向均匀分布下,得到天线可用波束门限内相位方向图集合;利用最小二乘法对相位方向图集合进行拟合得到自适应天线的平均相位中心变化量。运用该方法对四种典型的四元阵相位中心进行对比仿真,结果表明,算法可以快速有效地对自适应天线相位中心性能进行评估。另外,通过设置适当的可用波束门限,可以提高自适应天线的相位中心性能。算法的评估结果可以作为GNSS高精度自适应天线阵型选择依据。     

变速跳频通信抗跟踪干扰性能的研究

针对常规跳频通信抗跟踪干扰能力差的问题,分析跟踪干扰原理,提出变速跳频通信。建立数学模型,在干扰容限、压制比和追踪概率方面进行理论分析,分析变速跳频通信抗跟踪干扰对误码率的性能,并用MATLAB进行仿真验证。     

电子干扰对防空兵群射击指挥效率的影响评估

针对防空作战中电子对抗异常激烈的现实,利用概率论和作战运筹方法,描述了电子干扰对防空兵群射击指挥效率影响的主要特点和评估指标,分析了射击指挥方式与群抗击效率之间的数学关系,建立了搜索雷达、通信系统和火控雷达受到电子干扰时群射击指挥效率的评估模型.结合实例计算,得到了电子干扰对群射击指挥效率影响的基本规律,提出了电子干扰时选择射击指挥方式的原则与方法.     

高超声速滑翔再入飞行器的可达区快速预测

防御方对来袭滑翔再入飞行器进行可达区的预测存在先验信息量不足且时效性要求高等难题.为此提出一种基于最优化飞行假设的可达区快速预测方法:仅需已知目标当前位置、速度与最大升阻比(可基于雷达探测数据通过实时弹道估计获得),基于平衡滑翔假设和最大横程的埃格斯解分别获得目标最大纵程和横程终点坐标,在经纬度二维平面内,可达区即可近...