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431.
432.
Thomas H. Johnson 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2013,24(5-6):1006-1039
ABSTRACTThis article systematically assesses the 2014 Afghanistan Presidential Election, the first transfer of power from President Hamid Karzai to an elected successor, using provincial voting data as well as explicit data from polling centers. The analysis finds unusual voting results in the April election, where no candidate received 50%+1 votes required by the Afghan constitution, versus the voting results realized for the June ‘runoff election.’ As in other Afghan voting analyses, this article finds voting based on ethno-linguistic preferences, and interestingly found Dr. Ashraf Ghani receiving almost all the swing votes in the runoff election even though the other leading candidate from the April election all endorsed Dr. Abdullah Abdullah. More importantly, however, the research presented here clearly finds extremely strange voting patterns. For example, the polling data center analysis finds 606 polling places where Ghani received all 600 votes and Abdullah received none and another 900 polling centers that gave virtually all its votes to Ghani. These results in combination with other analyses raise the very real possibility that the election results were illegitimate. The article concludes with a discussion of the implications of the research to future Afghan elections and their processes as well as to the long-standing conflict in the country. 相似文献
433.
Pinar Derin‐Güre 《Defence and Peace Economics》2013,24(4):393-395
This paper investigates the economic roots of separatist terrorism in Turkey. The political conventional wisdom is that poverty in highly Kurdish‐populated, south‐eastern Turkey is one of the most important causes of separatist terrorism and Turkish–Kurdish conflict in Turkey. Therefore, many economic policies have been implemented to improve the economic conditions in the south‐eastern part of the country. Using the Global Terrorism Database and Vector Autoregression (VAR) methodology, I find that there is no causal relationship between economic conditions in south‐eastern Turkey and separatist terrorism. Therefore policy‐makers should be cautious in using economic measures to prevent separatist terrorism in Turkey. 相似文献
434.
There are two main sources of information about the Arms Trade, SIPRI and ACDA. These two sources give very different pictures of the evolution of the market, primarily because their measures are designed to capture conceptually different features. Although they are both expressed in constant dollars, the SIPRI series is designed to be a volume index of physical transfers, the ACDA series a constant price value index. Thus in principle, the ratio of the ACDA to SIPRI series should provide an implicit price index of arms; though in practice there are many measurement problems. In this paper, we discuss the basis of these indices and show that the ratio, the implicit price, not only looks plausible in the light of the evolution of the market, but has a significant negative effect on the demand for arms imports in an econometric equation. 相似文献
435.
信息化条件下的海上作战中,数据的重要性不断凸显,数据建设已成为信息化建设的核心内容之一,加强数据研究愈发重要,因此以海军军事数据为研究对象,论述海军军事数据在指挥控制中的作用、特点,重点以海军水面舰艇作战能力数据为研究对象,对海军军事数据之间的层次关联性进行了分析研究,建立了海军水面舰艇作战能力数据的层次关系模型,为海军军事数据的进一步深入研究打下基础。 相似文献
436.
Shaul K. Bar‐Lev Onno Boxma Andreas Löpker Wolfgang Stadje Frank A. Van der Duyn Schouten 《海军后勤学研究》2012,59(1):39-51
We present a group testing model for items characterized by marker random variables. An item is defined to be good (defective) if its marker is below (above) a given threshold. The items can be tested in groups; the goal is to obtain a prespecified number of good items by testing them in optimally sized groups. Besides this group size, the controller has to select a threshold value for the group marker sums, and the target number of groups which by the tests are classified to consist only of good items. These decision variables have to be chosen so as to minimize a cost function, which is a linear combination of the expected number of group tests and an expected penalty for missing the desired number of good items, subject to constraints on the probabilities of misclassifications. We treat two models of this kind: the first one is based on an infinite population size, whereas the second one deals with the case of a finite number of available items. All performance measures are derived in closed form; approximations are also given. Furthermore, we prove monotonicity properties of the components of the objective function and of the constraints. In several examples, we study (i) the dependence of the cost function on the decision variables and (ii) the dependence of the optimal values of the decision variables (group size, group marker threshold, and stopping rule for groups classified as clean) and of the target functionals (optimal expected number of tests, optimal expected penalty, and minimal expected cost) on the system parameters.© 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011 相似文献
437.
438.
基于SOPC的多路并行同步数字信号采集系统设计 总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1
针对某型导弹武器装备在线检测系统的需求,以软、硬件可配置的SOPC（System on a Programmable Chip）嵌入式系统为平台,以较少的硬件资源消耗为前提,应用FIFO缓存和直接存储器传输（Direct Memory Access,DMA）技术,设计数据采集系统,实现对20路并行同步数字信号的快速采集,并利用现代DSP技术对采集的信号进行滤波处理,通过USB总线将处理后的信号送到工控机,基于LabVIEW软件在工控机上实现系统的在线检测功能。 相似文献
439.
针对提高计算机模拟对抗演习系统训练效果的需求,提出与计算机模拟对抗演习系统配套使用的辅助讲评系统。在确定系统设计目标的基础上,设计了系统总体结构,分析了各子系统的主要功能,阐述了系统数据流程,最后实现了原型系统。该系统通过记录对抗演习过程中产生的大量历史数据,在演习结束或者阶段结束后进行数据采集、分析和回放,以辅助导演部或指挥员对演习过程做出全面客观的评价,从而达到帮助参演人员对演习过程进行分析评估、查找问题、总结经验教训的目的。 相似文献
440.
Lifetime experiments are common in many research areas and industrial applications. Recently, process monitoring for lifetime observations has received increasing attention. However, some existing methods are inadequate as neither their in control (IC) nor out of control (OC) performance is satisfactory. In addition, the challenges associated with designing robust and flexible control schemes have yet to be fully addressed. To overcome these limitations, this article utilizes a newly developed weighted likelihood ratio test, and proposes a novel monitoring strategy that automatically combines the likelihood of past samples with the exponential weighted sum average scheme. The proposed Censored Observation‐based Weighted‐Likelihood (COWL) control chart gives desirable IC and OC performances and is robust under various scenarios. In addition, a self‐starting control chart is introduced to cope with the problem of insufficient reference samples. Our simulation shows a stronger power in detecting changes in the censored lifetime data using our scheme than using other alternatives. A real industrial example based on the breaking strength of carbon fiber also demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 631–646, 2017 相似文献