军事训练演习数据汇集与融合系统的设计与实现

实现海量军事训练演习数据的汇集与融合,是生成相应的作战效能数据的基础。结合军事训练基地数据的收集与运用现状,提出了一个基于Web服务的多源异构数据汇集与融合系统的解决方案：运用XML Schema技术实现了异构数据模式的标准化转换,完成了多源数据的汇集;以作战平台为中心,以作战效能的各项影响因素为维度,实现了相关数据的融合。设计了系统的功能与架构并加以实现。运行情况表明,系统能够满足功能需求,具备良好的数据整合与处理能力。     

The myth of Afghan electoral democracy: the irregularities of the 2014 presidential election

ABSTRACT

This article systematically assesses the 2014 Afghanistan Presidential Election, the first transfer of power from President Hamid Karzai to an elected successor, using provincial voting data as well as explicit data from polling centers. The analysis finds unusual voting results in the April election, where no candidate received 50%+1 votes required by the Afghan constitution, versus the voting results realized for the June ‘runoff election.’ As in other Afghan voting analyses, this article finds voting based on ethno-linguistic preferences, and interestingly found Dr. Ashraf Ghani receiving almost all the swing votes in the runoff election even though the other leading candidate from the April election all endorsed Dr. Abdullah Abdullah. More importantly, however, the research presented here clearly finds extremely strange voting patterns. For example, the polling data center analysis finds 606 polling places where Ghani received all 600 votes and Abdullah received none and another 900 polling centers that gave virtually all its votes to Ghani. These results in combination with other analyses raise the very real possibility that the election results were illegitimate. The article concludes with a discussion of the implications of the research to future Afghan elections and their processes as well as to the long-standing conflict in the country.     

装备需求论证工具化研究

以体系工程思想和DoDAF2．0为指导,在系统分析国内外装备需求论证工具软件研制现状和存在的问题基础上,提出了装备需求论证工具化概念及其软件功能需求,优化设计了工具软件体系结构框架,并着重探讨了软件集成和数据模型等关键支撑技术,为装备需求论证工具化实践奠定了理论基础。     

指挥所目标识别专家系统的实现

在分析国内外敌我识别技术的现状及发展趋势的基础上,针对我军的具体实际,利用专家系统技术,提出了基于多情报源信息融合技术的目标识别方法,并给出了基于客户/服务器模式的系统实现结构图。     

基于反射内存网的复合导引头联合仿真试验设计

联合仿真试验同时具备实装试验、数学仿真试验和半实物仿真试验的优点,可构建全面逼真的试验环境,其中实时算法和通信技术是关键技术。基于反射内存网技术,进行了复合导引头联合仿真试验总体方案设计,对试验中的时间同步、数据同步等关键问题进行了研究,解决了联合仿真试验中各仿真系统协同及实时通信问题,对联合仿真试验的开展有一定的应用价值。     

真实静电感度测试的数据处理方法

简要介绍了静电感度测试方法的研究现状,结合真实静电感度测试研究的实际情况并参照GJB377—87感度试验用升降法,导出了试样50％发火能及其发火能量标准差的计算公式,给出了多组试验参数的统计计算方法,确定了试样静电最小点火能的置信区间。     

杂波环境中机动目标跟踪算法性能分析

由于概率数据互联算法不具有跟踪机动目标的能力,为了解决杂波环境下机动目标跟踪问题,提出了很多基于概率数据互联的修正算法。这些算法各有特点,因而它们在不同的情况下,算法的跟踪精度、实时性等方面各有优劣。假定一种典型的目标机动情况,在这种情况下对几种比较具有代表性的修正算法进行仿真实验,并根据实验结果对它们各方面的性能进行综合分析。     

面向对象数据库的概念和问题

随着面向对象程序设计的广泛应用,面向对象数据库已成为数据库发展的主要方向之一。本文讨论了面向对象数据库的概念和问题,描述了面向对象数据库的数据模型及面向对象数据库的功能和特点,并对面向对象数据库与关系数据库进行了比较。     

雷达调频编码脉冲信号的设计与处理

现代雷达为获得较高的距离分辨力通常采用编码频率脉冲串信号和步进频率脉冲串信号,但都存在数据率低和较为严重的距离-多普勒耦合问题。在研究这两种信号特点的基础上,提出了调频编码脉冲信号形式并给出了相应的信号处理方法。经仿真对比可见,该信号形式及其处理方法能同时解决步进调频信号高距离-多普勒耦合、低数据率两大问题,具有较好的联合分辨力。     

Prices and quantities in the arms trade*

There are two main sources of information about the Arms Trade, SIPRI and ACDA. These two sources give very different pictures of the evolution of the market, primarily because their measures are designed to capture conceptually different features. Although they are both expressed in constant dollars, the SIPRI series is designed to be a volume index of physical transfers, the ACDA series a constant price value index. Thus in principle, the ratio of the ACDA to SIPRI series should provide an implicit price index of arms; though in practice there are many measurement problems. In this paper, we discuss the basis of these indices and show that the ratio, the implicit price, not only looks plausible in the light of the evolution of the market, but has a significant negative effect on the demand for arms imports in an econometric equation.