舰载火箭子母弹最优火力分配

舰载火箭子母弹对岸上目标实施火力压制射击时,火力分配方式直接影响毁伤效果和火力支援任务的完成.针对舰载火箭子母弹的射击特点,首先分析了海上射击误差,然后探讨了集群目标的简化处理方法,最后给出了最优火力分配时表尺差计算公式,并进行了举例分析.利用最优火力分配方法来计算舰载火箭子母弹效力射表尺差,避免了指挥员战场射击指挥的盲目性,可以在相同弹药消耗量情况下取得最佳射击效果,对未来舰载火箭子母弹的火力运用具有较高的现实意义.     

信息管理误失灰色补偿方法

在信息采集、信息管理、信息传递过程中,数据链出现空穴、误传或丢失等情况时,将影响信息采集传递的安全性与信息管理的有效性,是信息管理与使用中一个值得关注的问题,如何对数据列进行有效补偿则是解决该问题的关键.运用灰色理论与正交试验设计方法建立了信息链缺失补偿模型并给出了信息链空穴补偿优化准则.所给出的具体的补偿实例说明信息链空穴灰色生成与正交试验设计生成是一种极为有效的信息缺失补偿方法.     

基于数据仓库的数据挖掘技术在指挥控制系统中的应用

介绍了数据仓库和数据挖掘的概念、数据挖掘的过程和方法,简单分析了现代战争中信息处理的特点和需求,阐述了数据挖掘在军事指挥控制系统中的应用必要性,提出了军事应用中数据挖掘系统的层次体系结构,并针对该层次体系结构进一步提出了指挥控制系统中数据挖掘技术的应用模型.     

A nonparametric Bayes approach to decide system burn-in time

Burn-in is the preconditioning of assemblies and the accelerated power-on tests performed on equipment subject to temperature, vibration, voltage, radiation, load, corrosion, and humidity. Burn-in techniques are widely applied to integrated circuits (IC) to enhance the component and system reliability. However, reliability prediction by burn-in at the component level, such as the one using the military (e.g., MIL-STD-280A, 756B, 217E [23–25]) and the industrial standards (e.g., the JEDEC standards), is usually not consistent with the field observations. Here, we propose system burn-in, which can remove many of the residual defects left from component and subsystem burn-in (Chien and Kuo [6]). A nonparametric model is considered because 1) the system configuration is usually very complicated, 2) the components in the system have different failure mechanisms, and 3) there is no good model for modeling incompatibility among components and subsystems (Chien and Kuo [5]; Kuo [16]). Since the cost of testing a system is high and, thus, only small samples are available, a Bayesian nonparametric approach is proposed to determine the system burn-in time. A case study using the proposed approach on MCM ASIC's shows that our model can be applied in the cases where 1) the tests and the samples are expensive, and 2) the records of previous generation of the products can provide information on the failure rate of the system under investigation. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 655–671, 1997     

Algorithms for computing waiting time distributions under different queue disciplines for the D-BMAP/PH/1

A queueing system characterized by the discrete batch Markovian arrival process (D-BMAP) and a probability of phase type distribution for the service time is one that arises frequently in the area of telecommunications. Under this arrival process and service time distribution we derive the waiting time distribution for three queue disciplines: first in first out (FIFO), last in first out (LIFO), and service in random order (SIRO). We also outline efficient algorithmic procedures for computing the waiting time distributions under each discipline. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 559–576, 1997     

面向大规模容器集群的网络控制技术

针对容器技术在网络层面缺乏控制的问题,设计一套面向大规模容器集群的网络控制架构,分别从容器集群网络的灵活组网、智能适配以及安全隔离三个方向进行研究,主要解决大规模容器集群部署中的网络适配和隔离控制等关键问题。实验结果表明,设计的网络控制架构可以根据网络特点有针对性地实现虚拟局域网的快速划分、网络节点的稳定迁移和节点通信的精确隔离控制。     

近地卫星Ka频段数传链路抗雨衰自适应模式设计

针对近地卫星数传时的信道时变性和严重的Ka频段雨衰现象,采用自适应编码调制(Adaptive Coding and Modulation, ACM)技术能够充分利用链路资源,相对于传统的固定编码调制方式,进一步提高链路的数据吞吐量。提出近地卫星Ka频段数传链路ACM模式设计方法,在降雨环境下建立Ka频段数传链路模型,根据链路预算的信道状况确定ACM选用模式;采用基于导频符号的最大似然信噪比估计算法结合移动平均的平滑方法实现信道估计,有效地减小了估计值的波动。仿真结果表明,无论晴天还是雨天,采用提出的卫星数传链路ACM模式设计方法,能够在保证系统可靠性的同时获取较高的数据吞吐量。     

深度置信网络在导弹攻击区分类中的应用

针对传统导弹攻击区解算方法忽略双方态势变化等问题,提出运用深度置信网络的导弹攻击区分类模型。根据导弹命中情况与目标机动间的关系,将导弹攻击区划分为五类。通过分析影响导弹攻击结果的态势参数,构建导弹攻击结果预测模型。在实验部分,结合重构误差和测试错误率确定深度置信网络的网络结构,通过逐层提取数据法分析模型参数特征并且讨论微调数据的采样方式。使用反向传播神经网络和支持向量机进行分类有效性对比实验。实验结果表明：深度置信网络运行速度和预测准确度明显优于其他两种方法,满足实时性和准确性要求,所提方法具有良好的应用价值。     

Stage life testing

In progressive censoring, items are removed at certain times during the life test. Commonly, it is assumed that the removed items are used for further testing. In order to take into account information about these additional testing in inferential procedures, we propose a two‐step model of stage life testing with one fixed stage‐change time which incorporates information about both the removed items (further tested under different conditions) and those remaining in the current life test. We show that some marginal distributions in our model correspond either to progressive censoring with a fixed censoring time or to a simple‐step stress model. Furthermore, assuming a cumulative exposure model, we establish exact inferential results for the distribution parameters when the lifetimes are exponentially distributed. An extension to Weibull distributed lifetimes is also discussed.     

On gamma estimation via matrix kriging

In financial engineering, sensitivities of derivative prices (also known as the Greeks) are important quantities in risk management, and stochastic gradient estimation methods are used to estimate them given the market parameters. In practice, the surface (function) of the Greeks with respect to the underlying parameters is much more desired, because it can be used in real‐time risk management. In this paper, we consider derivatives with multiple underlying assets, and propose three stochastic kriging‐based methods, the element‐by‐element, the importance mapping, and the Cholesky decomposition, to fit the surface of the gamma matrix that can fulfill the time constraint and the precision requirement in real‐time risk management. Numerical experiments are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.