抗差最小二乘估计在惯组外场标定中的应用

惯组在外场进行标定时常常会受到环境的振动干扰,从而会对惯组的标定精度造成极大的影响.为解决这一问题,在分析了粗差对惯组标定精度影响的前提下,建立了一种改进的辨识惯组误差系数的数学模型,使其能够分辨出那些受到振动干扰影响的惯组误差系数.最后利用抗差最小二乘估计对惯组误差系数进行处理,通过等价权函数的连续降权和连续减弱影响处理,抵制了异常数据对惯组标定精度的影响.仿真结果表明,抗差最小二乘估计具有很强的抗差能力,能有效减弱异常干扰对参数估计的影响,提高惯组外场标定的精度和数据的可靠性.     

外科手术影像资料在《外科护理学》课堂教学中的应用研究

目的将直观的外科手术影像资料应用于护理本科生的《外科护理学》课堂教学中,探讨其对学生掌握相关理论知识程度的影响,探寻一种新的、更有效的外科护理专业授课模式。方法将同一年级的131名护本生按班级随机分为对照组（1班,4班,共65例）和实验组（2班,3班,共66例）,对照组按照传统教授为主的教学模式实施课堂教学;实验组将外科手术影像资料结合教科书内容运用于课堂教学。结果实验组学生的理论授课后当堂测试成绩高于对照组;理论授课三个月后,试验组理论测试成绩明显高于对照组,实验组与对照组成绩之间的差异有统计学意义（P〈0．05）。结论将直观的外科手术影像资料运用于《外科护理学》课堂教学的授课模式,对护理本科生掌握相关理论知识程度的影响优于传统的教学模式。     

Using a birth‐and‐death process to estimate the steady‐state distribution of a periodic queue

If the number of customers in a queueing system as a function of time has a proper limiting steady‐state distribution, then that steady‐state distribution can be estimated from system data by fitting a general stationary birth‐and‐death (BD) process model to the data and solving for its steady‐state distribution using the familiar local‐balance steady‐state equation for BD processes, even if the actual process is not a BD process. We show that this indirect way to estimate the steady‐state distribution can be effective for periodic queues, because the fitted birth and death rates often have special structure allowing them to be estimated efficiently by fitting parametric functions with only a few parameters, for example, 2. We focus on the multiserver M_t/GI/s queue with a nonhomogeneous Poisson arrival process having a periodic time‐varying rate function. We establish properties of its steady‐state distribution and fitted BD rates. We also show that the fitted BD rates can be a useful diagnostic tool to see if an M_t/GI/s model is appropriate for a complex queueing system. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 664–685, 2015     

基于三阶段方法的数据链网络组织流程设计

针对数据链网络组织流程设计问题,在分析了单重任务的三阶段组织设计方法的基础上,提出了联合多重任务组织流程设计方法,建立了数据链网络组织流程设计框架。通过平台任务模型的改进和着色决策层级树模型的构建,有效解决了任务–平台配置中的平台资源冲突,提高了数据链网络的组织决策协作有效性及效率,在理论与实践上对于数据链的组织运用都具有一定指导意义。     

数据链中MSK信号正交调制方法研究

数据链具有较强的保密性和抗干扰能力,是美军对敌实施有效打击的重要手段之一。在深入分析MSK信号正交调制机理及可行性的基础上,选用一跳单脉冲数据链信号的有效驻留时间为仿真对象,对MSK信号的正交调制方法进行了仿真。仿真结果表明,采用基于正交模式的MSK信号调制方法,可高效、准确的生成MSK信号。     

Book review

La Conversion économique du secteur militaire, J. FONTANEL, Economica, Paris, 1994, pp. 112. Paperback. ISBN 2–7178–2650–5.     

MILITARY EXPENDITURE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN MIDDLE EASTERN COUNTRIES: A DYNAMIC PANEL DATA ANALYSIS

Defence expenditures have both costs and benefits to the economy. The costs of defence expenditures are mainly emphasized as opportunity costs. On the other hand, defence spending may have growth‐promoting potential benefits: a rise in defence spending may result in a higher aggregate demand, production and employment. This paper examines empirically the effects of military expenditures on economic growth for Middle Eastern countries and Turkey, for the time‐period 1989–1999. The relationship between military expenditure and economic growth is investigated by using cross‐section and dynamic panel estimation techniques. Empirical analysis indicates that military expenditure enhances economic growth in the Middle Eastern countries and Turkey as a whole.     

Determinants of military expenditure and the role of globalisation in a cross-country analysis

Abstract

Anecdotal evidence offers conflicting views on the impact of globalisation on military expenditure. We contribute to the existing literature by investigating the effect of globalisation on military expenditure in 82 countries for the period, 1989–2012. After introducing economic and strategic variables into the model, we utilise the dynamic panel generalised method of moments system to estimate the relationship in the variables. The empirical findings reveal that globalisation reduces both military burden and real military expenditure. The findings are consistent, irrespective of the globalisation indicator adopted. The policy implications of the results are explained.     

The impact of defense and non‐defense public spending on growth in Asia and Latin America∗

For a three‐sector Feder‐Ram framework, we present time‐series, cross‐sectional estimates for two cohorts, consisting of Asian and Latin American countries. The estimates indicate that private investment, and defense and non‐defense public spending are growth promoting for alternative error components representations. For the best error components representation, greater growth enhancement is associated with the two forms of public spending in Asia than in Latin America, while the opposite comparison characterizes private investment. Although defense is growth promoting, an opportunity cost exists insofar as non‐defense spending, financed by defense spending, appears to give a small net boost to growth in Latin America.     

Military Expenditure,Endogeneity and Economic Growth

Abstract

While not always a concern for the general economic growth literature, the debate over the effects of military spending on growth continues to develop, with no consensus, but a deepening understanding of the limitations of previous work. One important issue that has not been adequately dealt with is the endogeneity of military spending in the growth equation, mainly because of the difficulty of finding any variables that would make adequate instruments. This paper considers this issue, using an endogenous growth model estimated on a large sample of 109 non-high-income countries for the period 1998–2012. The empirical analysis is framed within an instrumental variable setting that exploits the increase in military spending that occurs when unrest in a country escalates to turmoil. The estimation results show that endogeneity arising from reverse causality is a crucial issue, with the instrumental variable estimates providing a larger significant negative effect of military spending on growth than OLS would. This result is found to be robust to different sources of heterogeneity and different time periods.