The ‘bomber gap’: British intelligence and an American delusion

For most of the 1950s, manned aircraft were the prime nuclear bomb delivery method, and were therefore a vital metric for British and American intelligence when calculating the Soviet threat. Each community reached very different conclusions from the same raw intelligence, generating the ‘bomber gap’ myth in the US but not in the UK. The information available was inconclusive, so in order to understand it estimators had to rely on their assumptions, which were different. Contrasting scopes for parochial capitalisation drew their conclusions further apart. Contrary to orthodox accounts of this episode, Soviet deception did not play a central role.     

助推-滑翔飞行器可达区域影响因素研究

利用Radau伪谱法将连续的助推-滑翔飞行器轨迹优化问题转化为非线性规划问题,通过仿真得到了飞行器完整的可达区域,着重分析了升阻比、终端速度以及终端倾角对飞行器可达区域的影响.研究结果表明,可达区域呈现出类椭圆结构,其地理区域覆盖能力由助推火箭关机点速度决定;与终端倾角对飞行器可达区域的影响相比,飞行器升阻比特性和终端速度的影响相对较大.     

Allocation of two redundancies in two‐component series systems

The allocation of redundancies in a system to optimize the reliability of system performance is an interesting problem in reliability engineering and system security. In this article, we focus on the optimal allocation of two exponentially distributed active (standby) redundancies in a two‐component series system using the tool of stochastic ordering. For the case of active redundancy, stochastic comparisons are carried out in terms of the likelihood ratio and reversed hazard rate orders. For the case of standby redundancy, a likelihood ratio ordering result is developed. The results established here generalize and strengthen corresponding results in the recent literature. In addition, several numerical examples are used to explicate the results. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

一种基于节点资源利用率的无标度网络路由策略

本文研究了节点负载处理能力异质条件下的无标度网络交通动力学过程,提出了一种基于节点资源利用率的全局动态路由策略。该策略利用网络中节点资源利用率构建了一种全局代价函数,选择使该代价函数最小的路径来传输负载。实验结果表明该路由策略在略微增加平均路径长度的情况下成倍地提高了网络负载传输能力,与有效路由策略的比较进一步验证了该策略的有效性。     

层次分析法的水下航行器维修性指标分配方法

基于层次分析法的水下航行器维修性指标分配方法把层次分析法应用到水下航行器维修性指标分配方法中,即邀请专家对故障的检测和隔离方式、可达性、可更换性和测试的困难等级进行两两比较,得到评价矩阵,据此,可以得到分配结果.这种方法克服了按故障率和设计特性分配法在设计特性相差不大时存在的缺陷,把定性分析与定量分析相结合.在设计初期即明确设计目标,除了考虑到单元的故障率还兼顾了初期设计过程中的不确定性.将这种方法应用于某水下航行器的维修性分配,结果表明,该方法具有实用价值.     

针对解线调ISAR的图像欺骗干扰研究

通过详细分析解线调距离成像的原理和特点,提出一种针对解线调ISAR的图像欺骗干扰方法。该方法首先利用假目标模板计算得到幅度、相位和频率调制系数,然后对接收的ISAR信号进行幅度、相位和频率3方面综合调制,最后将生成的假目标干扰信号转发给ISAR。经理论分析和仿真实验表明,由于与原信号保持了良好的相干性,转发调制的假目标干扰信号经ISAR的解线调脉冲压缩和方位向压缩处理后,能够产生清晰的一维距离像和二维假目标图像。并且通过合理设置假目标模板,适时改变调制参数,能够实时逼真地产生ISAR假目标,可以进一步提高图像欺骗干扰效果。     

绳系拖曳离轨过程中基于系绳张力的摆动抑制策略研究

绳系拖曳离轨过程,系统运行于非开普勒轨道,系绳摆动呈现复杂的动力学特性,大幅度的系绳摆动会引起拖船的扰动,进而影响整个系统的稳定,因此如何抑制系绳摆动是拖曳离轨任务的一个关键问题。本文以周向常值连续小推力作用下的绳系拖曳离轨为背景,针对离轨过程中的系绳摆动抑制问题,首先建立了系统质心轨道动力学方程及系绳摆动动力学方程,分析了无系绳收放控制时的系绳摆动特性以及系绳收放对系绳摆动的作用效果,然后构造了使系绳摆动衰减的期望绳长收放速率并设计了系绳张力控制律。仿真结果表明：无系绳收放控制时,系绳摆动表现为平衡位置附近的周期性往复运动;张力控制连续平滑,很好地实现了系绳实际长度对期望长度的跟踪,同时有效地抑制了离轨过程中的系绳摆动。     

利用卷积神经网络的太赫兹孔径编码增强成像

针对现有太赫兹孔径编码成像算法鲁棒性较差、计算求解复杂度较高等问题,提出基于卷积神经网络的太赫兹孔径编码增强成像方法.该方法通过构建一个端到端的神经网络来实现成像系统的隐式建模,利用网络强大的求逆能力和抗噪性能来实现低信噪比下的目标重构.通过仿真实验可以看出,该方法可以在不同信噪比下实现对不同稀疏度目标的重构.另外,与...     

基于Laguerre滤波的雷达通道均衡方法

传统雷达通道均衡采用自适应FIR滤波器作为均衡器,当理想脉冲响应序列很长时,其逼近效果不理想,计算量大。Laguerre滤波器兼具FIR和IIR结构的优点,通过在单位圆内固定一极点保证了系统的稳定,又因为引入了全通滤波环节,使其能够用较少的阶数逼近长脉冲序列响应。推导了Laguerre滤波器的自适应算法,并将其应用于雷达通道均衡中,仿真实验也证明了它与传统的FIR结构相比,用更少的系数获得了更优的对消比,达到了更好的均衡效果。     

A note on necessary and sufficient conditions for ordering properties of coherent systems with exchangeable components

We give necessary and sufficient conditions based on signatures to obtain distribution‐free stochastic ordering properties for coherent systems with exchangeable components. Specifically, we consider the stochastic, the hazard (failure) rate, the reversed hazard rate, and the likelihood ratio orders. We apply these results to obtain stochastic ordering properties for all the coherent systems with five or less exchangeable components. Our results extend some preceding results. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011