预警卫星对战术弹道导弹预警能力研究

从研究DSP预警卫星预警原理出发,分析了战术弹道导弹主动段的弹道特征和尾焰的红外辐射特性,从关机点速度预报偏差与射程偏差的角度,基于弹道学原理并利用三次样条插值方法,建立了DSP预警卫星对常规战术弹道预警能力仿真模型,通过仿真计算,可以发现在无干扰条件下,DSP预警卫星对弹道导弹落点预报精度非常高。     

STK在空间探测相控阵雷达效能仿真中的应用

搜索和跟踪是空间探测相控阵雷达的两种基本工作方式。介绍了应用STK软件对相控阵雷达的搜索、跟踪空间目标能力的仿真过程和方法,介绍了STK与其他应用软件相链接扩充功能的方法。总结了应用仿真安排雷达工作方式,论证雷达技术指标,确定系统总体方案的作用和意义,研究的内容可运用于STK软件对各类雷达的仿真设计。     

水面舰艇编队防空火力分配的灰色局势决策方法

针对水面舰艇编队在防空作战时如何适时、适量地选取火力分配方案。采用定性定量相结合的方法,重点剖析了灰色局势决策方法的具体求解步骤,并将之应用于水面舰艇编队对空防御时的火力分配方案优选。最后,通过实例验证了该方法的严谨性。以此确定的最优局势更具可信性,符合军事决策的特点。     

消防应急与日常照明两用灯的设计

在分析解决关键技术问题的基础上,研究设计了一种可用于日常照明的新型消防应急照明灯。这种新型消防应急照明灯解决了消防应急照明与民用照明的兼容性问题,从而使数以百万计长期备而不用的资源得到充分应用,避免了资源的重复配置;也解决了消防应急照明灯存在不能及时发现故障并检测维修的问题。     

The impact of component commonality on composite assembly policies

Assemble in Advance (AIA) policy reduces assembly cost due to advance planning, while Assemble to Order (ATO) policy eliminates assembly of excessive (more than demanded) units. The tradeoffs between the two policies have been studied in the past for single product environments. Moreover, it was shown that it is beneficial to employ AIA and ATO simultaneously. In this article, we study the employment of such a composite assembly policy in a multiproduct environment with component commonality. When common components are used, ATO may also enable us to benefit from the risk pooling effect. We provide important managerial insights such as: the multiperiod problem is myopic and changes in inventory levels due to the use of common components, and demonstrate the potential profit increase compared to other policies.© 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Modeling and analysis of a mixed‐model assembly line with stochastic operation times

We consider a mixed‐model assembly line (MMAL) comprised a set of workstations and a conveyor. The workstations are arranged in a serial configuration. The conveyor moves at a constant speed along the workstations. Initial units belonging to different models are successively fed onto the conveyor, and they are moved by the conveyor to pass through the workstations to gradually generate final products. All assembling tasks are manually performed with operation times to be stochastic. An important performance measure of MMALs is overload times that refer to uncompleted operations for operators within their work zones. This paper establishes a method to analyze the expected overload times for MMALs with stochastic operation times. The operation processes of operators form discrete time nonhomogeneous Markov processes with continuous state spaces. For a given daily production schedule, the expected overload times involve in analyzing the Markov processes for finite horizon. Based on some important properties of the performance measure, we propose an efficient approach for calculating the expected overload times. Numerical computations show that the results are very satisfactory. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

宇宙高能质子致单粒子翻转率的计算

通过简化半导体器件灵敏单元 ,计算得到了宇宙高能质子在器件灵敏单元内产生的能量沉积。然后利用地面重离子实验单粒子翻转数据得到的Weibull函数 ,计算了CRRES卫星轨道、 33mm铝屏蔽壳体内几种器件的单粒子翻转率 ,并与已有结果进行了比较说明。     

考虑可信度时导弹最大射程的Bayes评估

首先讨论了一种验前数据和现场试验数据相容性检验的新方法, 考虑验前信息可信度, 研究了导弹最大射程的 Ｂａｙｅｓ 评定和 Ｂａｙｅｓ 估计。最后给出了数据分析的例子。     

空对空多机协同攻击多个目标的战术决策研究

简要介绍多机协同攻击多目标的基本概念、战术决策、目标分配及攻击排序方法。最后用数字仿真（实例）验证该方法的有效性     

基于模糊综合决策的航迹相关算法

引用模糊综合决策的思想,提出一种新的分布式航迹相关算法．文中论述了多因素模糊综合评判的基本模型,详细讨论了合成运算模型的选择,重点研究了模糊综合航迹关联准则,并通过仿真将它与两种经典方法进行了比较．仿真结果表明,在密集目标环境下和／或交叉、分岔及机动航迹较多的场合,模糊航迹关联算法的性能明显优于传统方法,其正确关联率比传统方法提高了大约35％．