排序方式: 共有130条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
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由于现代战争后勤补给的快速性、安全性、决策者的主观性及获取情报信息的相关特性,使后勤补给路线的决策问题具有不确定性.利用集对分析对确定不确定信息的良好处理能力,对后勤补给路线的决策问题进行了研究.在选择路线时摒弃了传统的只考虑时间效益的思路,综合分析影响后勤补给路线选择的诸多因素,在遵循目的性、实用性、关联性、客观性和定量化原则基础之上,构建了后勤补给路线选择的指标体系;给出一种基于集对分析的决策定量化数学模型,对后勤补给路线的决策问题进行分析,为指挥员能够科学、合理地选择路线提供参考. 相似文献
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张先剑 《国防科技大学学报》2019,41(2):185-190
大规模作战具有高动态、非完全信息和不确定性,在分析归纳目前解决动态武器目标分配问题的一系列方法的基础上,尝试构建基于双方动态博弈的攻防对抗综合数学模型,并利用纳什均衡和帕累托最优算法进行分阶段求解。结果表明,该数学模型和博弈论方法结合能够有效解决武器目标动态分配问题。 相似文献
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状态可靠性的装备视情维修决策分析 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
针对连续劣化的多设备系统在不同劣化水平下都可能发生失效,依据设备实际劣化状态评定可靠性的思想,提出运用状态可靠性理论刻画设备或部件的劣化水平与随机故障之间的关系,可对设备实际劣化状态进行可靠性评定,适用于表征同类设备或部件的不同个体在不同的工作负荷和工作环境下经历不同的劣化过程后的不同可靠性指标,反映了连续劣化系统的随... 相似文献
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姚得水 《中国人民武装警察部队学院学报》2011,27(3):31-33
"人质事件"的应急处置策略、过程和结果,不仅关系着人质的安全与利益,也直接影响到政府的反恐政策及立场、能力与施政水平,关系到政府在民众心目中的权威、地位和形象。处置恐怖劫持人质事件中现场指挥员面临着巨大的压力和挑战。能否采取武力强攻以及何时采取武力强攻,是指挥员运筹决策的关键点,权衡利弊、对比分析,按照"两害相权取其轻、两利相权取其重"的原则,进行量化评估,寻求最佳方案。 相似文献
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Andrew Monaghan 《战略研究杂志》2013,36(6):987-1013
Russia has consistently opposed US hegemony since the early 1990s. Moscow has sought to create a world overseen by the UN Security Council and several power centres supporting an anti-hegemonic axis. Until recently, Russia's resources have been very limited. Russian opposition therefore was largely conceptual or a work in progress. Russian policy was largely reactive – and non-confrontational. However, the failure of the Russia-US relationship to develop practically has highlighted negative views of US hegemony, and the greater wealth generated through high energy prices is supporting an increasingly active Russian policy. 相似文献
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Jonathan Schroden 《Small Wars & Insurgencies》2014,25(2):479-486
In September 2011, the Commander of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan directed the Afghan Assessment Group to redesign the way in which ISAF was assessing the status of the war, and to be ‘revolutionary’ in so doing. The resulting assessment paradigm was novel, non-doctrinal, and effectively addressed the unique complexities of the counterinsurgency in Afghanistan and the needs of the ISAF Commander. It had a two-tier structure consisting of both strategic and campaign assessments. The former focused on answering a set of strategic questions in narrative, analytic form to address the strategic environment, while the latter used a set of standards and accompanying narrative responses to gauge accomplishment of campaign tasks. Both tiers captured the current state of the war while maintaining an eye on future challenges and opportunities. The two assessments and their associated processes were designed to stimulate discussions leading directly to decisions by senior leaders on actions they could take, direct, or request. While any assessment paradigm will have advantages and disadvantages, an examination of the pros and cons of this assessment paradigm makes clear that it should be considered a ‘best practice’ in the field of counterinsurgency assessment. 相似文献
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