基于证据理论的常规导弹阵地生存防护研究

着眼于阵地生存防护对策分析中的不确定性,提出了一种基于证据理论判别来袭武器类型的方法,通过对武器威胁度的评估,建立了来袭武器威胁等级判据,构建了详细的生存对策,可为常规导弹阵地生存防护决策提供有效的辅助支持.     

A new reformulation approach for the generalized partial covering problem

In this paper, we consider a situation in which a group of facilities must be constructed in order to serve a given set of customers, where the facilities might not be able to guarantee an absolute coverage to the different customers. We examine the problem of maximizing the total service reliability of the system subject to a budgetary constraint. We propose a new reformulation of this problem that facilitates the generation of tight lower and upper bounds. These bounding mechanisms are embedded within the framework of a branch‐and‐bound procedure. Computational results on problem instances ranging in size up to 100 facilities and 200 customers reveal the efficacy of the proposed exact and heuristic approaches. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

混编防空导弹火力群目标分配模型仿真

针对混合配置和部属不同类型的防空导弹武器构成全空域的防空系统中多目标的优化分配问题,介绍了混编防空导弹系统的关键要素和武器系统目标分配方法的现状,研究了防空自动化指挥系统中作战单元的的目标分配的原则、要素和约束条件,根据实际的防空导弹的数据处理特点,设计了一种实用可行的目标分配优化算法,并用VB进行了模型的作战仿真。     

美军国防采办政策改革及启示

美军在长期的国防采办实践中,经过不断改革和多次调整,逐步形成了较为完备的国防采办政策制度及管理体系,其有益经验和做法具有开创性和引领作用。尤其是自2018年启动重组国防采办组织管理体制以来,美军在国防战略调整的牵引下,先后发布多份新版采办文件,从政策体系、采办程序、业务领域等方面作出了重大改革调整,初步形成了“1+6+14”的政策体系架构。本文主要对美军国防采办政策的改革举措、背景及动因进行深入分析,总结美军国防采办政策改革的特点规律,试图通过研究美军国防采办改革的动向,探寻信息化条件下国防采办的特点及规律,并结合军队信息化装备采购实际提出思考与建议,以期为深化军队改革提供一定借鉴。     

一种攻击机机群作战效能的分析方法

以平均动态学理论为基础,提出了攻击机机群在整个战斗飞行过程中的作战效能评估的基本原理,建立了战效评估的顶层分析数学模型,导出了效能指标与对地攻击靶场效能指标、国土防空系统突防效能指标、要地防空系统突防效能指标间的关系式及完成作战任务集所需飞机架数、被击毁的总架数、总战斗飞行架次数、武器总消耗量的计算式,为评价攻击机机群在整个战斗飞行过程中的作战效能奠定理论基础     

隐身飞机的战术技术特点分析与防御对策

以F-117A和B-2两种现装备的隐身飞机为例,介绍了以减少雷达反射面积为主要手段的隐身技术。结合实际战例,分析了隐身飞机的战术技术与作战使用特点。对无源雷达、双基/多基雷达、米波雷达以及利用广播电视信号的"沉默哨兵"雷达等探测隐身飞机的雷达技术进行了综述。总结了对抗隐身技术的途径与方法,提出了雷达、光电相结合探测,导弹与高炮配合打击的对抗隐身飞机的对策。     

防空导弹反临近空间武器作战能力评估

针对防空导弹反临近空间武器作战能力的问题,建立了多级综合评价指标体系。结合三角模糊数的层次分析法和信息熵法对各二级指标进行综合赋权,同时,运用灰色关联度TOPSIS的组合评估法,构造了一种组合贴近度,据此评价防空导弹作战能力的优劣性。通过算例分析,对各型防空导弹作战能力进行优劣排序,验证了该组合评估模型的可行性,实现了对防空导弹反临近空间武器作战能力的综合评估。     

基于排队论的防空兵力部署优化模型

兵力部署优化问题是防空指控系统的重要研究内容之一。针对多型防空武器多层多区段混合部署问题,对异型空袭武器和防空武器基于作战效能标准化处理,基于排队论给出空袭武器的突防概率计算模型,将防空武器系统综合防御效能作为优化目标,建立多型防空武器扇形部署优化模型。仿真实验验证了优化模型的有效性和合理性,可为科学制定兵力部署方案提供参考。     

基于功能分解组合的协同防空作战体系效能评估

协同防空作战体系各要素具有复杂耦合特性,所提出的功能分解-组合效能分析方法可以分析各要素对协同防空体系作战效能的贡献。首先利用功能分解提取出态势数据共享、集中式目标分配、火控级目标数据共享、协同制导4种特征功能,然后组合形成分区防空、集中指挥、协同探测、协同作战4种不同协同级别的防空样式,建立了包含效用指标和代价指标的效能指标体系,通过蒙特卡罗仿真获取了可以互相参考对比的规律性的效能指标规律,为复杂作战体系效能评估提供了一种思路。     

Military expenditure and economic growth in Middle Eastern countries and Turkey: a non-linear panel data approach

The economic growth effects of military expenditure have been the subject of a large literature in defence economics. Theories on the economic impacts of military expenditure greatly differ and include arguments that they either enhance economic growth or crowd out productive investments. Empirical literature on defence expenditure and economic growth nexus generally employs linear specifications to investigate the impact of defence expenditures on economic growth. Although it is now well established that many economic variables may have a non-linear data-generating mechanism, it seems that this reality has long been neglected in empirical work on defence–growth nexus. This paper attempts to fill this gap by employing non-linear panel data models to examine the effects of military expenditures on economic growth for Middle Eastern countries and Turkey, for the time period 1988–2012. Results show that the effect of military expenditure on economic growth is nonlinear such that the state of the economy actually determines the effect of the former on the latter. This is important not only in showing asymmetric relationship between these variables but also in revealing the reasons of mixed results of earlier literature.