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Sumit Ganguly 《The Nonproliferation Review》2014,21(3-4):373-382
This article analyzes India's efforts to deploy a Ballistic Missile Program (BMD). The article has three objectives. First, it argues that scientific-bureaucratic factors and India's incapacity to deter Pakistan's use of terrorist proxies have driven its quest for BMD. Second, the article also evaluates the current state of India's two-tiered missile defense shield. In spite of various claims on the part of India's defense science establishment, the paper estimates that India still lacks a deployable BMD system and is still far from developing an effective strategy of deterrence-through-denial. Third, the article analyzes the implications of the development of India's BMD system for nuclear stability in South Asia. The article shows how India's BMD capacities, however limited, have indirectly exacerbated the security concerns of India's regional rival, Pakistan. 相似文献
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导弹防御系统是美军重点发展的战略武器系统。C4ISR作为导弹防御系统体系中重要的通信指挥自动化系统,由于其自身存在着信息网闭塞与狭窄的缺点,制约着导弹防御系统的功能发挥。美军目前正在全力建设全球信息栅格,通过整合各种信息资源,构成一个可以共享"陆、海、空、天"多维信息的互连互通互操作网络,提升导弹防御系统的一体化信息交互,建成一个多层次、全方位、覆盖全球的导弹拦截系统。 相似文献
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地面防空火力配系方案评估模型 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
地面防空火力配系方案的选择,是防空兵火力配系的关键环节,其合理与否,直接关系到作战效能的发挥和防空作战的成败。根据防空作战的实际,提出了地面防空火力配系方案评估的准则,在对评估准则的建模要素进行分析的基础上,构建了每个准则的计算模型,并给出了评估模型的计算方法,提供了模型应用的一般程序。 相似文献
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结合战场目标价值分析,根据防空兵火力分配情况,运用遗传算法建立了最佳火力分配模型,使防空武器最大限度的发挥火力单位效能,达到最大毁伤效果。采用了实数编码方案,对选择,交叉,变异等操作进行了改进。最后通过计算,验证了方案的可行性和优越性. 相似文献
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针对水面舰艇编队在防空作战时如何适时、适量地选取火力分配方案。采用定性定量相结合的方法,重点剖析了灰色局势决策方法的具体求解步骤,并将之应用于水面舰艇编队对空防御时的火力分配方案优选。最后,通过实例验证了该方法的严谨性。以此确定的最优局势更具可信性,符合军事决策的特点。 相似文献
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We propose three related estimators for the variance parameter arising from a steady‐state simulation process. All are based on combinations of standardized‐time‐series area and Cramér–von Mises (CvM) estimators. The first is a straightforward linear combination of the area and CvM estimators; the second resembles a Durbin–Watson statistic; and the third is related to a jackknifed version of the first. The main derivations yield analytical expressions for the bias and variance of the new estimators. These results show that the new estimators often perform better than the pure area, pure CvM, and benchmark nonoverlapping and overlapping batch means estimators, especially in terms of variance and mean squared error. We also give exact and Monte Carlo examples illustrating our findings.© 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007 相似文献
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