考虑多性能参数的引信弹簧可靠性评估

弹簧作为引信中常用的储能源,是影响引信可靠性的重要零件,而引信失效会形成重大安全隐患。为了准确预估某引信弹簧贮存期间的可靠度变化,提出了一种基于修正Arrhenius模型的多元正态可靠性评估方法。以应力损失率和永久变形率作为性能参数,设计了恒定应力加速退化试验,获取弹簧在120℃、130℃、150℃和160℃下的退化数据,并采用Anderson-Darling统计量验证退化量的最优分布为正态分布。根据修正的Arrhenius方程,得到弹簧在贮存温度下的退化轨迹曲线。基于多元正态分布建立弹簧贮存可靠度模型,分析弹簧贮存期间的可靠度变化特点。通过与其他可靠度模型对比,该模型预估结果更准确,可为引信的视情维修提供依据。     

基于模糊物元分析法的坦克作战效能评估

鉴于坦克作战效能评估中客观存在的不确定性和模糊性,提出了基于改进模糊物元分析方法的坦克作战效能评估模型。该模型在构建坦克作战效能评估指标体系基础上,将层次分析法和熵权法计算出的权重有机组合实现综合赋权,并据此建立坦克作战效能的模糊物元分析评估模型。实例分析表明,所提出的模型便于理解,易于实现,兼顾了主客观因素的影响,评估结果总体反映了坦克作战效能的真实水平,也为其他装甲武器作战效能的科学评估提供新思路。     

箔条云干扰下的单目标恒虚警率检测研究

箔条云在扩散过程中随着时间变化会稀释和扩大,其回波特性会发生改变,被检测目标与箔条的相互位置关系也会影响雷达恒虚警检测。针对作战对抗过程中箔条干扰易造成雷达接收机阻塞干扰目标检测,检测概率迅速降低且易丢失目标贻误战机,通过详细分析箔条的扩散过程及信号频谱特性及其箔条云和目标的两种位置关系,利用恒虚警处理算法在噪声基底为10 dB和20 dB情况下对目标进行恒定虚警率检测研究。研究结果对改善飞机检测性能和抗虚警能力以及提高战场生存率具有积极作用。     

基于“综合赋权”模糊物元模型的机场运行安全评价

为了保证机场运行安全,防止事故的发生,依据模糊物元分析理论,结合机场运行安全评价指标体系,构建了基于综合赋权的机场系统模糊物元安全评价模型。在该模型中,通过层次分析法和熵值法主客观综合所确定的权重,为指标体系进行线性加权,实现综合赋权,从而将计算得到的综合权重用于模糊物元建模与评价。实例分析结果表明,该模型步骤简单,过程科学合理,并兼顾了主客观因素的影响,评价结果总体反映了机场的真实安全水平,也为机场安全的科学评价提供了新思路。     

改进IAHP-CIM模型的雷达组网探测能力评估方法

针对雷达组网探测能力的评估问题,采用鱼骨图法对影响雷达组网探测能力的多种因素进行梳理,得到结构层次清晰的指标评价体系。采用改进的区间层次分析—控制区间和记忆模型对该指标体系进行评估,具体方法是:运用区间层次分析法构造区间判断矩阵;利用蛙跳算法求解区间判断矩阵中满足最小一致性的确定性矩阵;利用控制区间和记忆模型来确定各指标的风险概率,实现指标体系的评估。以具体的案例为对象进行仿真实验,结果表明,所提评估方法有效,评估结论相对客观、可信,对雷达组网探测能力评估具有一定参考价值,从而为雷达组网的优化部署奠定良好基础。     

多核贝叶斯优化的模型决策树算法

构造模型决策树时超参数较多,参数组合复杂,利用网格搜索等调参方法将会消耗大量的时间,影响模型性能的提升。提出了一种多核贝叶斯优化的模型决策树算法,该算法为应对不同分类数据特性,采用三种高斯过程建模寻优,利用贝叶斯优化技术,选出最优的参数组合。实验结果表明,所提算法在参数寻优上要优于传统的模型决策树寻优方法,并且能够在迭代次数不多的情况下找到全局最优参数值,在一定程度上提升了算法的分类性能,节省了大量的调参时间。     

分布式异构集群中节点优先级调优算法

节点优先级常用于评价异构集群中节点的性能,因此节点优先级评价指标权重的选择非常重要。采用层次分析法(analytic hierarchy process, AHP)建立了节点优先级评价指标体系,计算得到各指标的初始权重,并使用BP神经网络对初始权重进行优化。训练时,BP网络输入为集群运行中采集的节点实时资源数据,输出为节点的优先级。分析网络训练完成后得到的权重矩阵可以获得各优先级评价指标的优化权重。实验表明,基于AHP和BP的节点优先级评价模型可以更加准确地分析节点性能。相比于Spark默认算法和权重未优化的对照算法,使用调优后的节点优先级可以有效提高集群性能。运行不同工作量的相同负载时,集群平均性能分别提高了16.64%和9.76%;处理相同工作量的不同负载时,集群的平均性能分别提高了12.49%和6.54%。     

Dynamic analysis of a guided projectile during engraving process

The reliability of the electronic components inside a guided projectile is highly affected by the launch dynamics of guided projectile. The engraving process plays a crucial role on determining the ballistic performance and projectile stability. This paper analyzes the dynamic response of a guided projectile during the engraving process. By considering the projectile center of gravity moving during the engraving process, a dynamics model is established with the coupling of interior ballistic equations. The results detail the stress situation of a guided projectile band during its engraving process. Meanwhile, the axial dynamic response of projectile in the several milliseconds following the engraving process is also researched. To further explore how the different performance of the engraving band can affect the dynamics of guided projectile, this paper focuses on these two aspects: (a) the effects caused by the different band geometry; and (b) the effects caused by different band materials. The time domain and frequency domain responses show that the dynamics of the projectile are quite sensitive to the engraving band width. A material with a small modulus of elasticity is more stable than one with a high modulus of elasticity.     

Effect of welding processes and consumables on fatigue crack growth behaviour of armour grade quenched and tempered steel joints

Quenched and Tempered (Q&T) steels are widely used in the construction of military vehicles due to its high strength to weight ratio and high hardness. These steels are prone to hydrogen induced cracking (HIC) in the heat affected zone (HAZ) after welding. The use of austenitic stainless steel (ASS) consumables to weld the above steel was the only available remedy because of higher solubility for hydrogen in austenitic phase. The use of stainless steel consumables for a non-stainless steel base metal is not economical. Hence, alternate consumables for welding Q&T steels and their vulnerability to HIC need to be explored. Recent studies proved that low hydrogen ferritic steel (LHF) consumables can be used to weld Q&T steels, which can give very low hydrogen levels in the weld deposits. The use of ASS and LHF consumables will lead to distinct microstructures in their respective welds. This microstructural heterogeneity will have a drastic influence in the fatigue crack growth resistance of armour grade Q&T steel welds. Hence, in this investigation an attempt has been made to study the influence of welding consumables and welding processes on fatigue crack growth behaviour of armour grade Q&T Steel joints. Shielded metal arc welding (SMAW) and Flux cored arc welding (FCAW) were used for fabrication of joints using ASS and LHF consumables. The joints fabricated by SMAW process using LHF consumable exhibited superior fatigue crack growth resistance than all other joints.     

我国警卫工作改进历程考察与思考

在考察我国警卫工作改进历程的基础上,对警卫工作改进进行了深入思考。提出我国警卫工作改进始终坚持“既要保证安全,又不脱离群众”这一主题;始终坚持党委和政府的领导,坚持制度化、规范化建设;体现在路线警卫工作、住地警卫工作和现场警卫工作三个方面。