Insurgent courts in civil wars: the three pathways of (trans)formation in today’s Syria (2012–2017)

As part of research on the meso-foundations of conflict, the field of ‘rebel governance’ examines political institutions that regulate the affairs of civilians in wartime as well as their relations with armed actors. Judicial institutions play an important role in this and research has shown that they are widespread among both historical and current insurgencies. However, usually these bodies have been analysed in the context of one hegemonic faction like the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka and the Afghan Taliban. What is missing so far is an analysis of different pathways of (trans)formation of rebel courts. As exemplified by the three case studies of judicial institutions in Eastern Ghouta, Idlib and Aleppo, these are shaped by the distribution of power between ‘same-side’ groups, yielding unipolar, bipolar, or multipolar constellations. The analysis is located on the meso or movement level of insurgent social structures, complementing research on the micro and macro levels.     

A Dangerous Method: How Mali Lost Control of the North,and Learned to Stop Worrying

Abstract

This article analyses changes and failures in the northern Mali system of security governance, taking into account the period running from the declaration of the Malian Third Republic (1992) to the present. Considering northern Mali as an area of limited statehood, the article develops a comparative diachronic analysis, distinguishing between three phases, namely Militiarisation (1992–2002), Fragmentation (2002–2012) and Multiplication (2013–ongoing). For every phase the focus is on (1) the mechanisms of coordination among actors, (2) the distribution of coercive capacities and ruling power and (3) the forms of authority. Unintended consequences and collective problems are highlighted, in order to understand the current situation of insecurity in the area.     

Classical geopolitics,realism and the balance of power theory

Since the end of World War II, classical geopolitics as a particular form of realism has been disengaged from the development of mainstream realist theories. This disengagement has not only concealed the value of classical geopolitics as a framework of analysis for policy and strategy, but also created an increasing rift between theory and policy in contemporary realist theories. This paper seeks to reengage classical geopolitics with mainstream realist theories by clarifying its realist traits and analytical characteristics, (re)stating its core propositions and probing into its potential contribution to the development of mainstream realist theories. This paper contends that classical geopolitics, while having a distinctive pedigree, can arguably be considered an integral part of the family of realist theories in view of its basic theoretical assumptions concerning international anarchy, the unit of analysis and power politics. As a framework of analysis, classical geopolitics incorporates three interrelated strategic propositions. Those three propositions not only constitute the theoretical core of classical geopolitics, but also manifest a peculiar balance-of-power conception that is essentially distinct from those proposed by mainstream realist theories. This paper argues that those three propositions combined promise to fill in prominent lacuna in the balance-of-power research programme, and also have significant implications for contemporary world politics.     

基于平衡计分卡的武器装备维修绩效评价指标体系构建

武器装备维修是武器装备维修保障的重要内容,加强装备维修绩效评价,建立科学规范的绩效评价指标体系,对深入推进装备维修工作健康发展将发挥积极作用。以平衡计分卡为研究手段,运用"5M1E"分析法,从一个内核和四个维度出发,分析武器装备维修绩效评价的影响因素,据此建立评价指标体系,并应用于装备维修管理实践,为有效提高装备维修保障效益提供有益借鉴。     

基于方位角和多普勒的机动目标无源定位跟踪可观测条件

可观测性分析是无源定位与跟踪系统的前提和基础,只有满足可观测条件才能对系统进行正确求解。应用线性系统理论,以目标方位角和多普勒频率为观测量,对匀加速和匀转弯这两类最常见的机动目标进行了可观测分析,为进一步研究机动目标的无源定位与跟踪提供了理论前提。最后给出了仿真实例,验证了理论分析的正确性。     

水面舰艇编队巡逻搜索时的组织与战术计算

在现代海上作战中,潜艇是打击目标的重要兵力之一,因而反潜作战更是现代海战的重要样式之一。主要研究了巡逻搜索的各种方法的使用条件,在对四种不同的巡逻搜索方法进行了相关战术计算的基础上,给出了水面舰艇编队进行巡逻搜索时的组织方法。对在巡逻搜索中水面舰艇编队组织和指挥具有一定的借鉴作用。     

分布式火控系统实时通信的设计实现

实时可靠的通信系统是实现分布式火控的关键。介绍了在一个小型实时通信系统的设计中,为保证通信的实时性采取了节拍控制、数据分级、重发限制等方法,为提高通信可靠性采用了断路重组技术、差错控制和冗余技术,软件采用了面向对象分层次模块化设计的方法,提高了可维性和可扩展性。通过这些措施,实现了5km距离内数据和语音的多点实时传输,误码率小于10-6,通信时延小于150ms,满足了分布式火控系统的要求。     

大口径火炮制退机内腔压力测试技术

从火炮反后座装置的特殊结构及测试技术两方面详细分析、总结了我国几种大口径火炮在内腔压力测试时出现不正常现象的原因,并从传感器的机械度、传感器的封装技术、传感器的绝热处理、传感器的频响和排气工装等几个方面改进内腔压力测试的技术工艺方法,并用改进后的方法对155-2型火炮的内腔压力进行了试验,结果表明其工艺方法可准确地测试出内腔压力曲线,从而解决了多年来火炮后座阻力测试技术中存在的关键问题。     

模糊多属性群决策与潜艇作战方案优选

分析了潜艇作战方案的优选实质是一个模糊多属性的群决策过程,建立了模糊多属性群决策的一般模型,介绍了一种以模糊理想解与模糊负理想解同时作为参照基准,以海明距离作为测度工具,以相对贴近度作为衡量标准的模糊折衷型多属性群决策方法,应用实例表明此方法可行有效。     

某新型主战坦克超越射击时至友军的安全距离

在分析影响坦克超越射击时至友军安全距离主要因素的基础上,结合某新型主战坦克炮口冲击波超压试验数据,通过运用M athem atica软件对数据进行统计处理和理论分析计算,提出了某新型主战坦克超越射击时至友军的安全距离,为我军新型主战坦克安全地实施超越射击提供了可靠的理论依据。