Small footprint,small payoff: The military effectiveness of security force assistance

After 15 years of war in Afghanistan and Iraq, many now see ‘small-footprint’ security force assistance (SFA) – training, advising and equipping allied militaries – as an alternative to large US ground-force commitments. Yet, its actual military efficacy has been little studied. This paper seeks to fill this gap. We find important limitations on SFA’s military utility, stemming from agency problems arising from systematic interest misalignment between the US and its typical partners. SFA’s achievable upper bound is modest and attainable only if US policy is intrusive and conditional, which it rarely is. For SFA, small footprints will usually mean small payoffs.     

A nation-in-the-making,in arms: control of force,strategy and the Ukrainian Volunteer Battalions

At the core of waging war and strategy is the creation, control and use of force. This article investigates the volunteer battalions that mobilized in Ukraine during the spring of 2014. It contextualizes the volunteer phenomenon and focuses on the state strategies to establish control over these militias. As ambiguous entities arising from a situation characterized by rapid social change – revolution and war – the volunteer battalions threatened existing hierarchies and questioned state authority. The situation was exacerbated by the war, which deviated from the expectations of Ukrainian combatants and Western military observers alike. The state nevertheless enjoyed a modicum of success in reining in the militias through four strategies of undermining, co-option, incorporation and coercion. While predominantly integrated into a more rigid category of paramilitary forces, the volunteers continue to play a role in both the Ukrainian society and security sector to the unforeseeable future.     

装备备件管理技术综述

备件管理水平的高低直接影响着装备保障能力的发挥和使用保障费用的维持,备件管理现已成为世界范围内的研究热点。通过对国内外有关备件管理文献的分析,总结了备件管理在备件分类方法、需求预测与确定、库存控制与优化3个方面的研究现状。分析结果表明：备件管理将向多因素综合考虑的备件分类方法,基于备件需求不确定性的预测技术以及基于计算机辅助技术、物流和供应链管理等方向发展。     

基于自适应遗传算法的配送型多级库存优化研究

研究了由1个战役仓库、多个战术仓库组成的配送型系统的优化问题,建立了战术仓库使用经济订货批量策略和战役仓库采用4种不同订货策略时的模型,并采用自适应遗传算法实现了模型的求解,实例验证了模型及算法的有效性。     

组合预测法在战时单兵日均物资需求预测中的应用

分析、研究、预测战时物资需求量,进而拟制相应的物资保障方案,是提高战时物资保障计划性和有效性的客观要求。利用灰色预测法和趋势预测法建立模型并进行预测,在对比分析各种物资需求预测方法的基础上,建立了基于最小二乘法加权的战时单兵日均物资需求的组合预测模型,为我军进行战时物资需求预测提供了一种可借鉴的方法。     

Optimality of the greedy shooting strategy in the presence of incomplete damage information

Consider a situation where a single shooter engages, sequentially, a cluster of targets that may vary in terms of vulnerability and value or worth. Following the shooting of a round of fire at a certain target, the latter may either be killed or remain alive. We assume neither partial nor cumulative damage. If the target is killed, there is a possibility that the shooter is not aware of that fact and may keep on engaging that target. If the shooter recognizes a killed target as such, then this target is considered to be evidently killed. If the objective is to maximize the weighted expected number of killed targets, where the weight reflects the value of a target, then it is shown that a certain type of a shooting strategy, called a Greedy Strategy, is optimal under the general assumption that the more a target is engaged, but still not evidently killed, the less is the probability that the next round will be effective. If all weights are equal, then the greedy shooting strategy calls to engage, at each round, the least previously engaged target that is not evidently killed. © 1997 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 44: 613–622, 1997     

热力设备可靠性分析的问题与对策

以热力设备为研究对象 ,从可靠性分析特点出发 ,对应用故障统计方法所遇到的典型问题作了探讨 ,就分析方法、建模技术等方面论述了作者的观点     

面向柔性加工环境的过程状态振动监测

本文运用提出的通用状态监测模型及策略,以振动信号监测为例,提取设备运行状态的振动信号方差和振动信号建立AR模型的参数估计的变化率参数作为两类通用特征参数,对柔性加工系统进行归一化监测,取得了良好的效果。建立的监测系统简洁、快速、可靠,满足柔性制造环境下设备运行状态监测的要求。     

关于二人零和对策混合鞍点的一个新的理论和算法

本文提出了向量优超的概念,给出了二人零和对策等价的定义,得到了二人零和对策等价的两个充要条件及三个充分条件并应用本文的理论,给出了二人零和对策混合鞍点的一个新算法。     

邓小平东西部均衡发展思想与西部大开发战略

邓小平针对我国经济发展不平衡的国情 ,提出了东西部均衡发展构想。这一构想随着改革开放和社会主义现代化建设的进行不断完善。我国目前正在实施的西部大开发战略是对邓小平东西部均衡发展思想的继承与发展 ,邓小平东西部均衡发展思想具有重大的理论和现实意义。