新中国道德建设的基本经验及发展走向

新中国道德建设的基本经验主要是：形成了社会主义道德体系,坚持社会主义核心价值体系主导地位;明确了“相适应”、“相协调”、“相承接”三者统一的目标任务,坚定中国特色社会主义方向;坚持了先进性与广泛性相结合的实践要求,发挥先进典型示范引导作用,等。在新的历史时期,我们要力戒道德建设的“无我化”、“空洞化”和“泛政治化”,抵制“非道德主义”和“道德相对主义”的泛滥与风行。新中国道德建设的发展走向是：要在社会主义核心价值体系中,大力践行社会主义荣辱观;在“四观”中凸显道德观教育;在“四真”上下工夫塑造道德主体。     

基于作战任务的多机种故障备件需求模型

通过分析战时故障备件的需求特点,对备件的工作时间进行讨论,改进了传统的单机故障备件需求模型。根据多机种协同作战任务的不同,引入备件工作运行比的概念,在考虑飞机是否战损的前提下,建立了基于作战任务的多机种故障备件需求模型。算例分析证明了模型的有效性。     

美国舰载标准系列导弹对海军防空导弹发展的影响

美国海军现役的标准导弹是一个庞大的系列,主要型号从标准1一直到标准6,每个主要型号又在不同的时期发展出多种改进型。它不仅是美国海军当前的主力舰空导弹武器装备,还出口到多个国家和地区,是世界上装备量最大、应用最为广泛的舰空导弹系统。本文主要结合标准系列导弹的发展历程,分析了标准系列导弹对世界海军防空导弹装备发展的深远影响。     

武器装备发展战略研究中的体系能力评估分析

随着武器装备发展战略研究的科学化决策需求越来越高,对体系能力评估的要求也变得愈发迫切,但这也是目前的一个技术难点。首先分析了发展战略研究中,可能遇到的体系能力评估问题种类及其特点。然后,针对每类问题,重点分析了各自的要求,给出了在评估分析建模方法选择上的建议。     

The socialization of military power: security cooperation and doctrine development through multinational military exercises

Multinational Military Exercises (MMEs) are often viewed by states as opportunities to increase interoperability, improve cooperation, and solve common security problems. We argue that in addition to this, MMEs work as tools to shape the shared beliefs of coalition partners surrounding threat. Specifically, MMEs allow multinational forces to identify best practices, consolidate beliefs, and codify behavior through doctrine, typically by means of some institutional process. We examine our argument on MMEs through an analysis of various multinational and coalition partner efforts to identify security threats and cooperate through the development of common doctrine at the strategic, operational, and tactical levels of warfare. Our analysis suggests that the use of MMEs for doctrine development does help to socialize states in terms of identifying common threats and subsequently sharing a process by which to address them.     

Flexible capacity strategy in an asymmetric oligopoly market with competition and demand uncertainty

This article studies flexible capacity strategy (FCS) under oligopoly competition with uncertain demand. Each firm utilizes either the FCS or inflexible capacity strategy (IFCS). Flexible firms can postpone their productions until observing the actual demand, whereas inflexible firms cannot. We formulate a new asymmetrical oligopoly model for the problem, and obtain capacity and production decisions of the firms at Nash equilibrium. It is interesting to verify that cross‐group competition determines the capacity allocation between the two groups of firms, while intergroup competition determines the market share within each group. Moreover, we show that the two strategies coexist among firms only when cost differentiation is medium. Counterintuitively, flexible firms benefit from increasing production cost when the inflexible competition intensity is sufficiently high. This is because of retreat of inflexible firms, flexibility effect, and the corresponding high price. We identify conditions under which FCS is superior than IFCS. We also demonstrate that flexible firms benefit from increasing demand uncertainty. However, when demand variance is not very large, flexible firms may be disadvantaged. We further investigate the effects of cross‐group and intergroup competition on individual performance of the firms. We show that as flexible competition intensity increases, inflexible firms are mainly affected by the cross‐group competition first and then by the intergroup competition, whereas flexible firms are mainly affected by the intergroup competition. Finally, we examine endogenous flexibility and identify its three drivers: cost parameters, cross‐group competition, and intergroup competition. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 117–138, 2017     

智能化作战及军队战略推进与发展

未来智能化战争将是基于物联网络信息系统,使用智能化武器装备及相应作战方法,在陆、海、空、天、电、网及认知领域进行的一体化战争。本文在分析智能化作战的内涵有机理基础上,探讨了美军未来智能化作战构想、实施及影响,重点提出了应对未来知能化作战,加强我军战略推进与发展的对策。     

基于年龄更换策略的威布尔分布备件需求计算方法

备件需求量预测在装备保障工作中发挥着重要作用。预防性维修可以消除装备潜在的故障或避免装备发生故障后所导致的严重后果,从而使装备始终处于期望状态。预防性维修策略下备件需求量建模能够以可预见的可靠性数据为基础进行,其关键问题是最佳更换间隔时间的确定。针对威布尔分布装备备件,采用年龄更换策略,确定最佳更换间隔时间,并在此基础上导出威布尔型备件需求计算模型,为备件需求量的预测提供了一种简单有效的方法。     

图书馆科技期刊利用效率问题的研究

通过对 1 998年《海军工程学院学报》、《清华大学学报》和《上海交通大学学报》的抽样调查 ,对作者引用的参考文献中科技期刊文献比例进行了调查分析 ,说明了科技期刊的信息价值 ;剖析了影响科技期刊利用的原因 ,并有针对性地提出了科技期刊信息资源的开发方法 .     

C3I系统体系结构的演化开发过程

体系结构的建立是C3I系统工程的重要组成部分,它是保障所开发的C3I系统满足军事需求的机制.提出了C3I系统体系结构的演化开发过程,它是体系结构开发在需求汇集、体系结构设计、建立可执行模型、体系结构评价等四个主要任务区域中循环迭代、逐步求精的过程.确定和论述了演化开发过程中各任务区域的主要活动.