Strategic “defensivism” and post-reset blues: US–Russian nuclear arms reductions,missile defenses and minimum deterrence

US nuclear deterrence and arms control policy may be moving, by design and by inadvertence, toward a posture of strategic “defensivism”. Strategic “defensivism” emphasizes the overlapping and reinforcing impact of: (1) reductions in US, Russian and possibly other strategic nuclear forces, possibly down to the level of “minimum deterrence,” (2) deployment of improved strategic and/or theater antimissile defenses for the US, NATO allies and other partners; and (3) additional reliance on conventional military forces for some missions hitherto preferentially assigned to nuclear weapons. This article deals with the first two of these aspects only: the interaction between missile defenses and offensive force reductions in US–Russian strategy and policy. The findings are that stable deterrence as between the USA and Russia is possible at lower than New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty levels, but reductions below 1000 deployed long-range weapons for each state, toward a true minimum deterrent posture, will require multilateral as opposed to bilateral coordination of arms limitations. Missile defenses might provide some denial capability against light attacks by states with small arsenals, but they still fall short of meaningful damage limitation as between powers capable of massive nuclear strikes.     

用户意图的网络边缘主动计算方法

互联网端到端的设计原则没有区分端系统和网络间接口,使得用户分组处理期望无法告知网络,降低了网络效能。首次提出用户转发意图概念,端系统凭此向网络通告其意图,并借助网络边缘计算能力得以执行,实现用户意图在网络节点转发决策中的主动使能,构成新型主动表意网络i-ECAN。主动表意网络可以在视频直播加速、物联网数据融合、端系统安全认证等场景中得到应用。基于CORE模拟器构建网络演示环境,对无线网络切换和基于主动表意网络的无线网络切换的延迟进行比较,证明了主动表意网络机制的合理性和可行性。主动表意网络扩展了新的端系统和网络之间的接口,为人-网协同提供了基础。     

基于排队论的装备维修人员数量需求模型*

确定维修人员需求是对装备维修机构进行科学管理和对维修人员进行有计划培训的需要。在分析装备维修人员构成的随机服务系统特征的基础上,运用排队论理论建立了以平均等待时间为目标的维修人员需求的愿望模型,该模型可更加确切地描述各专业对维修人员的实际需求。通过对模型进行仿真,结果表明了模型的合理性。     

适应任务的模块化卫星快速构建优化决策方法

如何根据应急航天任务,在满足各种约束的前提下,从型号众多、能力各异的卫星平台及有效载荷中快速决策效费比最佳的卫星构造方案引起了越来越多的关注,这就是适应任务的模块化卫星快速构建优化决策问题.在深入分析该问题特点的基础上,建立优化决策数学模型,提出基于遗传算法的优化决策方法,为处理遗传算法迭代过程中产生的不可行解引入基于...     

测试性增长中资源优化配置模型及求解

良好的测试性设计对系统维修性具有重要意义,测试性增长试验通过一系列测试性设计缺陷发现和纠正措施,可保证系统测试性指标达到设计要求。针对基于延缓纠正的测试性增长过程中的资源配置问题进行研究,基于增长试验目标是否明确和试验资源是否受限制问题构建资源优化配置模型,并提出一种基于拉格朗日松弛和本地搜索的快速优化算法。仿真结果表明:该模型能够有效指导测试性增长中的资源优化配置问题,所提混合优化方法能够高效、准确地求解整数规划问题。     

Gabor二进制编码异源图像匹配方法

异源图像匹配是图像处理领域尚未解决的问题。其中,合成孔径雷达图像与光学图像差异较大,用现有方法匹配通常难以得到满意结果。针对这个问题,提出一种基于Gabor编码的异源图像匹配方法:选取一组Gabor滤波器,分别对大图和小图进行Gabor卷积;采用池化方法对卷积结果进行压缩表示;对池化结果二值化并转换为二进制表示得到Gabor二进制编码特征;采用二进制位操作计算实时图与基准图对应窗口特征的相似性,相似性最大值对应图像匹配结果。本方法采用二进制对图像进行描述,减少了计算量,同时也更好地描述了异源图像间的共性特征。实验结果表明,本方法具有较高的匹配概率,计算时间少于现有方法。     

一种开放式视频管理框架

对视频进行有效管理的依据是其“内容”。视频具有多模态性,其内容也具有层次性,可用三维模型来描述视频内容。据此,提出了一种开放式视频管理框架。在该框架中,视频中的各层内容与视频数据相对独立地存储与管理,用关联机制建立起视频数据与内容的联系。通过这种机制,能够形成视频数据与内容之间的多种逻辑描述,适用于对多种视频的管理,并且可以对视频进行“多模态查询”。     

基于构件的决策支持系统中模型组织集成框架IFMO

决策支持系统模型组织和表示是影响模型和建模效果的一个基本问题 ,也是实现模型管理的前提。在研究国内外建模技术以及开发CS -DSSP决策支持系统开发平台[1] [2 ] 的基础上 ,本文提出了一种基于构件的模型组织集成框架 ,包括模型构件化描述、构件化框架、集成框架体系结构等。IFMO提出了一种把先进建模技术应用到DSS中的方法     

面向能力需求的武器装备组合规划模型与算法

针对武器装备组合规划中存在的选择难、规划难问题,在给定能力需求的条件下,从分析装备的组合变更对整体体系的影响出发,考虑了总的经费预算、年度费用分配、装备规划周期等约束,以能力差距和发展风险最小为准则,构建了双目标优化模型,并设计了基于差分进化和非支配排序的遗传算法的求解算法,获得模型的Pareto解。通过逼近理想解排序法方法从所求Pareto解中求得令决策者满意的折中解。通过一个具体示例验证了模型和算法的有效性,能够为武器装备组合规划提供辅助决策。     

Guerrilla warfare in Katanga: the Sanga rebellion of the 1890s and its suppression

ABSTRACT

This article discusses the origins and development of the Sanga insurgency of the 1890s with a view to demonstrating that, contrary to commonly held stereotypes, pre-colonial warfare was neither simple nor unchanging. Its tactics, it is argued here, repay the sort of close analysis commonly reserved for other typologies and theatres of war. The Yeke, against whose exploitative system of rule the Sanga and their allies rose up in 1891, survived the onslaught by entering into a strategic alliance with Lofoi, a newly established station of the Congo Free State, and its limited contingent of regular Force Publique troops. An in-depth examination of the joint Yeke-Force Publique counterinsurgency campaign leads to the conclusion that the novelty of the ‘small wars’ that accompanied the Scramble for Africa should not be overstated. In southern Katanga and, by implication, elsewhere, these confrontations were shaped by processes of mutual borrowing in which African military practices and even political aims were not necessarily subordinate to European ones.