一种多级式带反馈的混合系统检测融合算法

为提高分布式检测系统的性能,提出了一种多级式带反馈的混合检测系统结构,系统第一级检测采用并行结构,第二级检测采取带反馈的串行结构。根据此系统结构,分析了在N-P准则下,各局部融合中心的融合规则和门限的确定,仿真结果表明,系统的检测性有明显改善。     

几种UWB-SAR窄带干扰抑制方法的分析和比较

SAR(Synthetic Aperture Radar)信号处理窄带干扰抑制技术是SAR抗干扰技术的重要内容。对3种UWB-SAR(Ultra-W ideBand Synthetic Aperture Radar)窄带干扰抑制方法———陷波滤波法、AR模型参数化干扰抑制法以及小波包分析自适应干扰抑制法进行了分析,利用自行开发的成像软件,对SAR理想点目标和实录数据进行干扰抑制仿真实验,从定性和定量的角度对3种方法的干扰抑制效果作了比较。     

影响柴油机喷雾数值模拟精度的若干因素分析

为探明影响柴油机喷雾数值模拟精度的若干因素,采用通用商业软件FLUENT对柴油机喷雾特性进行了CFD模拟计算,分别研究了网格尺寸、喷雾粒子数和最大时间步长对油束几何形状及油束贯穿距的影响.结果表明,网格划分的精度和喷雾粒子数量的多少对计算结果的正确性和油束的几何形状有直接的影响,网格尺寸过大或喷雾粒子数过少则喷雾几何形状失真.最大时间步长对数值模拟的精度在一定的范围内影响是比较小的.     

一种基于变权的军事决策模型

根据军队信息化建设所需全面型和专长型军事人才的特点,需要采取一定的方法选拔不同岗位所需的人才.该文试图利用变权理论,采取惩罚型状态变权向量和激励型状态变权向量,完成因素之间权重的转移,进而实现因素之间的均衡或突出某些因素的作用,由此建立了一个不同岗位需求的军事人才选优的综合决策模型.     

动态灰色时序系统 DGTS 及其在安全策略规范中的应用

设计安全策略模型时应考虑安全策略的时序特性和灰色特性,还应综合考虑保密性、完整性和可用性三方面的需求。已有的安全模型没有描述时序性和灰色特性,而且一般只侧重描述保密性或完整性。为此,本文提出了动态灰色时序系统（简称ＤＧＴＳ）。本文详细描述了ＤＧＴＳ,以及基于ＤＧＴＳ的动态语义设计的灰色时序安全策略规范语言ＧＴＳＬ。     

Defence industries adjusting to change 1

This paper analyses the impact of terrorist activity on international tourist flows. To this end, we have estimated a cross‐sectional gravity equation for tourism from the G‐7 countries to a sample of 134 destinations over the period 2001–2003. Within this framework, we evaluate the deviation from ‘normal’ tourist flows due to terrorist activity, which is considered as negative advertising for the affected country. The analysis suggests that both domestic victims and international attacks are relevant factors when foreign tourists make their choice. This result is robust under alternative specifications. Moreover, the impact of terrorism is more severe in developing countries.     

TERRORIST THREATS AND TRANSITIONAL DYNAMICS IN AN OVERLAPPING GENERATIONS MODEL

Previous research has shown that the duration of a civil war is in part a function of how it ends: in government victory, rebel victory, or negotiated settlement. We present a model of how protagonists in a civil war choose to stop fighting. Hypotheses derived from this theory relate the duration of a civil war to its outcome as well as characteristics of the civil war and the civil war nation. Findings from a competing risk model reveal that the effects of predictors on duration vary according to whether the conflict ended in government victory, rebel victory, or negotiated settlement.     

Estimating defence budget saving from disarmament: the United States’ case

Probing the technology in the production of US national defence by using a dynamic cost‐function model with adjustment costs, this paper evaluates the effect of reducing the level of national defence on the defence budget saving. Our inquiry involves estimating the defence production structure without output data for non‐market goods that are normally unavailable. Our findings include: (i) the United States behaves rationally to minimize cost in the production of national defence; (ii) the adjustment costs are larger in disarmament than in military build‐up; (iii) due to the adjustment costs peculiar to disarmament, the defence budget saving from disarmament appears small, but cutbacks allow great savings on the defence budget.     

Externality of Defense Expenditure in the United States: A New Analytical Technique to Overcome Multicollinearity

Abstract

This study estimates a three-sector Feder–Ram model using US annual data for 1965–2014 to confirm the externality of defense expenditure in the United States. Although the model is often used in the literature to scrutinize whether this effect exists, a flaw intrinsic to this model is the appearance of multicollinearity. In this study, I introduced novel techniques, namely: the standardization and estimation of a simple slope, to estimate the model. The results are as follows. First, I prove that the multicollinearity problem can be resolved by standardization. Second, externality, which is judged to conventionally exist, is not found. Third, increases in defense expenditure bring about positive but limited economic growth when the ratio of private to defense expenditure in the previous year ranges from 5.09 to 6.82%. By re-estimating the model, this study contributes to developing the Feder–Ram model within the related literature.     

概念模型验证方法研究综述

概念模型验证是保证和提高仿真可信性的重要手段,是建模与仿真VV＆A中的重点和难点．首先将概念模型的验证方法划分为非形式化方法、静态方法、动态方法和形式化方法4类,并提出了一种基于本体推理的概念模型验证方法,然后对各种方法的基本思想、基本原理、基本过程、适用对象、优缺点进行全面的分析总结,明确了各种方法的优缺点和适用范围,为如何选用各种验证方法提供参考,也明确了下一步应重点研究的问题．