油罐基础渗漏油气扩散模型研究

基于油罐基础渗漏特征,结合实验数据,提出油罐动态渗漏边界条件,建立油罐基础渗漏油气扩散数学模型。采用有限差分法对扩散过程进行数值模拟,结合同工况实验室及现场油罐基础渗漏数据进行对比分析,并对模型的准确性和可靠度进行了验证。结果表明,模型计算结果与实验数据吻合较好,相对误差在可接受范围内,该模型能够准确预测监测点油气到达时刻,揭示油气渗漏扩散规律。     

SLOWING DOWN TO KEEP THE LEAD IN MILITARY TECHNOLOGY

We develop a model of military technology competition among states. States can choose to introduce new military technology, mimic rivals’ level of technology, or withdraw from the contest. States can choose to implement any level of technology within their current feasible technologies. We find that states with significant technological leads should sometimes withhold new technologies, only strategically releasing them to trump rivals’ efforts. We develop the model by refining Admiral Jackie Fisher’s roughly articulated concept of ‘plunging’. We then use this refined argument to reanalyze the case of naval rivalries among European powers between the Crimean War and the First World War. Finally, we conclude by discussing the model’s implications for current US military force structure planning.     

具有随机寿命的二维期权定价

由于期权合约在到期日之前可能被终止及标的资产的价格可能会因重大信息的到达而发生跳跃 ,文中在假设合约被终止的风险与重大信息导致的价格跳跃风险皆为非系统的风险情况下 ,应用无套利资本资产定价及Feynman kac公式 ,首先研究了标的资产服从连续扩散过程和跳—扩散过程具有随机寿命的交换期权定价 ,得到相应的定价公式 ;然后 ,研究了标的资产服从跳—扩散过程及利率随机变化具有随机寿命的期权定价 ,得到相应的定价公式