系统可靠性模糊分配的熵权方法

采用模糊数来表示不同模糊因素的相对强度,即通过指标得分的比较,用三角模糊数来表示m个模糊因素的权重系数,建立模糊判断矩阵,根据α截集和决策者对模糊判断矩阵的满意乐观程度指标λ进行模糊区间运算,得出各分系统可靠性指标所占的熵权,再根据熵权对系统可靠性指标进行分配。这种方法可以正确把握处理模糊问题的尺度,减少人为干扰。     

Log‐concave and concave distributions in reliability

Nonparametric classes of life distributions are usually based on the pattern of aging in some sense. The common parametric families of life distributions also feature monotone aging. In this paper we consider the class of log‐concave distributions and the subclass of concave distributions. The work is motivated by the fact that most of the common parametric models of life distributions (including Weibull, Gamma, log‐normal, Pareto, and Gompertz distributions) are log‐concave, while the remaining life of maintained and old units tend to have a concave distribution. The classes of concave and log‐concave distributions do not feature monotone aging. Nevertheless, these two classes are shown to have several interesting and useful properties. We examine the closure of these classes under a number of reliability operations, and provide sharp reliability bounds for nonmaintained and maintained units having life distribution belonging to these classes. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 419–433, 1999     

武器系统研制进度风险分析方法研究

首先对大型武器系统研制进度风险分析的一般特点进行了讨论 ,然后根据工期要求紧迫项目的特点 ,利用瑞利分布对进度风险分析的方法进行了研究 ,并结合实例对某系统研制进度风险进行了定量分析     

战场物资无人机配送研究

战场物资无人机配送是未来信息化战争后勤保障发展的重点方向,是适应未来高强度、快节奏战争的重要手段。对国内外配送无人机的应用与战场物资配送保障的情况进行概述,重点讨论了无人机在配送过程中涉及的任务分配问题。提出了未来战场物资无人机配送的一些重点研究方向,包括战场物资无人化保障理论研究、军民融合式战场物资无人机配送研究、战场物资无人机配送过程一体化研究以及传统车辆与无人机联合配送的研究。     

Damage accumulation and probability of kill for gun and target engagements

Determination of the gunfire probability of kill against a target requires two parameters to be taken into consideration: the likelihood of hitting the target (susceptibility) and the conditional probability of kill given a hit (vulnerability). Two commonly used methods for calculating the latter probability are (1) treating each hit upon the target independently, and (2) setting an exact number of hits to obtain a target kill. Each of these methods contains an implicit assumption about the probability distribution of the number of hits‐to‐kill. Method (1) assumes that the most likely kill scenario occurs with exactly one hit, whereas (2) implies that achieving a precise number of hits always results in a kill. These methods can produce significant differences in the predicted gun effectiveness, even if the mean number of hits‐to‐kill for each distribution is the same. We therefore introduce a new modeling approach with a more general distribution for the number of hits‐to‐kill. The approach is configurable to various classes of damage mechanism and is able to match both methods (1) and (2) with a suitable choice of parameter. We use this new approach to explore the influence of various damage accumulation models on the predicted effectiveness of weapon‐target engagements.     

作动器最优配置的柔性结构振动主动控制

柔性结构广泛应用于航空航天等领域,为了获得结构的最佳动力学性能,在主动振动控制中作动器或传感器位置优化成为关键。基于结构有限元动力学方程,在状态空间利用系统可控和可观Gramian矩阵考虑结构剩余模态的影响,推导一种新的作动器/传感器优化准则。根据优化准则结合非线性整数规划遗传算法对作动器的位置进行配置。以悬臂板为研究对象,采用基于状态反馈的线性二次型调节器研究悬臂板的振动控制效果。与其他配置方法进行比较,验证了新方法的优越性。     

具有偏好系数允许卖空的投资组合模型解存在的条件

在投资组合各种模型中,具有偏好系数的投资组合模型是最重要的模型之一,对其求解的研究具有理论价值。本文利用矩阵分块理论对此模型进行了研究,并给出了此模型解存在的一个充分条件。     

最优Hamilton圈的一种新算法

提出了一种行之有效的执行算法——换顶算法,对无向图权值矩阵的数据进行有效处理,通过交换顶点来寻找一条较优Hamilton圈。在整个过程中,权值矩阵的上三角数据为有效数据,只需要按一定的顶点交换规则对这部分数据进行调整就可以达到优化Hamilton圈的目的。提出了交换规则的思想,且通过选择适当的规则,先判定可行性再执行交换算法,节省了大量的运算时间,降低了算法的时间复杂性。该算法也适用于Hamilton链的情况。     

红外隐身一维光子晶体结构反射特性的理论分析

利用传递矩阵方法,研究作为红外隐身材料的PbTe／Na3A1F6一维光子晶体结构在中远红外波段的反射特性。结果表明：PbTe／Na3AlF6复合光子晶体结构在3～5μm和8～14μm波段具有很高的反射率。这为装备在中远红外的隐身应用提供了有益的探索。     

基于Butterworth分布的跳频信号参数估计

能够有效地估计接收到的跳频信号参数是干扰跳频通信的关键。针对接收到的未知任何先验参数的跳频信号,提出了一种基于Butterworth分布的跳频信号参数估计算法。由于Butterworth分布具有较好的时频聚集性和抑制交叉项性能,该算法能够在低信噪比条件下有效提取并估计出跳频信号的跳频周期、跳变时刻和跳频频率。仿真结果证明了该算法对跳频信号参数估计的有效性。