知识库调试工具的技术原理与设计思想

知识库调试工具旨在解决因知识不完全和噪音等因素而引起的知识库正确性与有效性问题。本文通过知识库建造工具GKD-KBST 中知识库调试工具KBDT 实现方案的讨论,论述知识库调试工具的技术原理与设计思想。     

某型舰炮故障诊断知识库的建立

本文运用层次模块化构成模型及故障诊断模型的建造方法,提出了建立某型舰炮故障诊断知识库的方法,对构造诊断知识库的六种规则举例予以了说明.     

通用电子系统故障诊断专家系统的研究

本文采用了一种符合人类维修专家故障诊断思路的方法,即层次模块化故障诊断法,来建造通用电子系统故障诊断专家系统。在系统建造中采用了框架和产生式复合知识表达形式表示系统诊断知识,采用了正反向混合推理、不精确推理及层次模块化诊断推理机制,并予具体实现。     

有排气弹丸底部阻力的估算方法

综合了国内外有关排气温度、分子量和来流马赫数影响底部阻力的实验和理论成果,采用人工神经网络方法处理了实验数据,提供出一个有排气弹丸底部阻力的工程估算方法。     

多舰对抗研究

研究了海上军事实战模式抽象出的一追二和一二对抗的两大问题。解决一追二问题的方法共讨论了三种：初始角的平分线航向法、瞬时角的平分线航向法、中点轨迹法。给出了确定性的数学模型、以及选代计算方法。一二对抗问题的结论可以由—一对抗问题的结论经过迭加而得到。而—一对抗问题的解决是以定性微分对策的双边极值原理为基础展开的。     

关于超音速弹丸底部流动的若干问题

本文扼要地介绍了底部流动研究现状、新型收缩尾部的特点以及底部排气和外部燃烧等减阻技术。并在比较和分析的基础上陈述了笔者对若干问题的看法。     

The incentive effect of acceptance sampling plans in a supply chain with endogenous product quality

This article studies a firm that procures a product from a supplier. The quality of each product unit is measured by a continuous variable that follows a normal distribution and is correlated within a batch. The firm conducts an inspection and pays the supplier only if the product batch passes the inspection. The inspection not only serves the purpose of preventing a bad batch from reaching customers but also offers the supplier an incentive to improve product quality. The firm determines the acceptance sampling plan, and the supplier determines the quality effort level in either a simultaneous game or a Stackelberg leadership game, in which both parties share inspection cost and recall loss caused by low product quality. In the simultaneous game, we identify the Nash equilibrium form, provide sufficient conditions that guarantee the existence of a pure strategy Nash equilibrium, and find parameter settings under which the decentralized and centralized supply chains achieve the same outcome. By numerical experiments, we show that the firm's acceptance sampling plan and the supplier's quality effort level are sensitive to both the recall loss sharing ratio and the game format (i.e., the precommitment assumption of the inspection policy). © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

基于pLSA模型的人体动作识别

提出一种基于主题模型的人体动作识别方法。该方法首先提取时空兴趣点(STIP,space-time interest point)来描述人体运动,然后提出使用慢特征分析(SFA, slow feature analysis)算法计算兴趣点梯度信息不变量最优解,最后使用概率潜在语义分析 (pLSA, probabilistic Latent Semantic Analysis) 模型识别人体动作。SFA计算的梯度不变量最优解可以表示时空兴趣点固有特征,能够无歧义反映时空兴趣点在空间及时间方向上的信息。同时,针对pLSA隐性主题正确性无法保证的缺点,算法将主题与动作标签“一对一”相关,通过监督方式得到主题,保证了训练中主题的正确性。该算法在KTH人体运动数据库和Weizmann人体动作数据库进行了训练与测试,动作识别结果正确率分别在91.50%和97%以上。     

Performance evaluation of a production/inventory system with periodic review and endogenous lead times

This paper considers a discrete time, single item production/inventory system with random period demands. Inventory levels are reviewed periodically and managed using a base‐stock policy. Replenishment orders are placed with the production system which is capacitated in the sense that there is a single server that sequentially processes the items one at a time with stochastic unit processing times. In this setting the variability in demand determines the arrival pattern of production orders at the queue, influencing supply lead times. In addition, the inventory behavior is impacted by the correlation between demand and lead times: a large demand size corresponds to a long lead time, depleting the inventory longer. The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, we present an exact procedure based on matrix‐analytic techniques for computing the replenishment lead time distribution given an arbitrary discrete demand distribution. Second, we numerically characterize the distribution of inventory levels, and various other performance measures such as fill rate, base‐stock levels and optimal safety stocks, taking the correlation between demand and lead times into account. Third, we develop an algorithm to fit the first two moments of the demand and service time distribution to a discrete phase‐type distribution with a minimal number of phases. This provides a practical tool to analyze the effect of demand variability, as measured by its coefficient of variation, on system performance. We also show that our model is more appropriate than some existing models of capacitated systems in discrete time. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

Some probability functions in reliability and their applications

There has been much research on the general failure model recently. In the general failure model, when the unit fails at its age t, Type I failure (minor failure) occurs with probability 1 ? p(t) and Type II failure (catastrophic failure) occurs with probability p(t). In the previous research, some specific shapes (constant, non‐decreasing, or bathtub‐shape) on the probability function p(t) are assumed. In this article, general results on some probability functions are obtained and applied to study the shapes of p(t). The results are also applied to determining the optimal inspection and allocation policies in maintenance problems. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007