Advancing “Defence-in-depth”: intelligence and systems dynamics

This article aims to encourage the fostering of more systems thinking, and its greater exploitation, within the domain of contemporary intelligence. With particular focus on “micro systems thinking” and with reference to key intelligence processes, such as intelligence analysis, the utility of many systems dynamics within the intelligence context seeks to be further revealed. Through their greater collective harnessing, including up to “System of Systems” (“SoS”) dynamics, and promoting all that they can offer, more sophisticated overarching operational-to-strategic/policy “ends,” notably that of “defence-in-depth,” can be viably further advanced in a sustainable manner into the future. Arguably, a much-needed transformative impact on contemporary intelligence can also be increasingly realised through comprehensively engaging in and with more systems and SoS thinking. Aiding civil protection tasks, crisis management, emergency planners, and civil contingency practitioners likewise gain.     

飞行器试验多测控目标发射零点应急处理方法

飞行器飞行试验任务中,发射零点T0是整个测控系统启动运行的基准点,是保证测控系统有条不紊正常工作的关键因素。特别是执行多个测控目标连射飞行试验任务,多个发射零点的正确处理更是关乎试验任务的成败。在分析发射零点形成机制基础上,对发射零点在指控系统实时测控软件中的处理方法进行了研究,提出了一种实时测控软件重启后重新获得多测控目标正确发射零点的应急处理方法,解决了试验过程中一旦实时测控软件因重大软件故障导致初始发射零点丢失的问题,保障了试验任务的顺利进行。     

助飞鱼雷机动区域射击法攻潜能力研究

以飞航式助飞鱼雷为例,在分析助飞鱼雷攻潜过程的基础上,针对机动目标提出了在无指令修正情况下助飞鱼雷的机动区域射击法,并运用解析法对射击诸元进行解算。在建立助飞鱼雷作战能力仿真模型时,围绕捕获概率、鱼雷仿真和目标仿真等方面进行模型的构建,并采用蒙特卡罗方法进行仿真计算,分析采用机动区域射击方法时影响助飞鱼雷攻潜能力的主要因素及其规律,为更好发挥武器对机动目标的打击能力提供理论参考。     

基于单元故障模式的水下恒流远供系统可靠性分析方法

以水下单元的短路/开路故障模式为基础,提出了一种分析缆系海底观测网络恒流远供系统可靠性的方法。根据系统供电和结构特性,将系统分成不同的供电链路和链路段。详细研究了处于不同位置的各种水下单元发生故障时,对链路和观测设备的供电状态的影响。归纳了导致系统和各链路无法正常导通、观测设备无法得到供电的状态情况,分析了不同故障状态发生的概率,进而得出了求解系统、供电链路与供电设备的供电可靠度的方法。通过算例分析,进一步梳理了3种供电可靠性的共性规律,说明在设计和建设恒流远供系统时,应综合须考量这3种供电可靠性。     

Single batch machine scheduling with deliveries

We consider the problem of scheduling a set of n jobs on a single batch machine, where several jobs can be processed simultaneously. Each job j has a processing time p_j and a size s_j. All jobs are available for processing at time 0. The batch machine has a capacity D. Several jobs can be batched together and processed simultaneously, provided that the total size of the jobs in the batch does not exceed D. The processing time of a batch is the largest processing time among all jobs in the batch. There is a single vehicle available for delivery of the finished products to the customer, and the vehicle has capacity K. We assume that K = rD, where and r is an integer. The travel time of the vehicle is T; that is, T is the time from the manufacturer to the customer. Our goal is to find a schedule of the jobs and a delivery plan so that the service span is minimized, where the service span is the time that the last job is delivered to the customer. We show that if the jobs have identical sizes, then we can find a schedule and delivery plan in time such that the service span is minimum. If the jobs have identical processing times, then we can find a schedule and delivery plan in time such that the service span is asymptotically at most 11/9 times the optimal service span. When the jobs have arbitrary processing times and arbitrary sizes, then we can find a schedule and delivery plan in time such that the service span is asymptotically at most twice the optimal service span. We also derive upper bounds of the absolute worst‐case ratios in both cases. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 470–482, 2015     

面向任务的有人机/无人机协同对地攻击概率模型

有人机/无人机协同对地攻击是未来空对地打击的主要作战样式,如何评估其协同作战的效能是军地双方共同面对的重要课题。首先根据完成对地攻击任务的4个环节建立了对地攻击的总概率模型;然后基于桥联模型建立了各个环节的概率模型;最后给出了一架有人机协同两架无人机对地攻击的算例,并对模型反算、协同与非协同对比以及多波次攻击等问题进行了讨论和分析,验证了模型良好可用性和广泛适用性。     

机翼不对称损伤飞机在大侧滑角下的操稳特性研究

对某小型电动无人机(以下简称SEPUAV)在其左翼破损40%面积矩下的操稳特性进行详细分析。首先在此损伤下典型大侧滑角定常工作点附近进行特殊的小扰动线性化,然后进行特征根和飞行运动模态的分析;其次对此特殊构型SEPUAV进行操稳特性、时频响应特性进行分析。分析结果表明:左翼破损40%面积矩SEPUAV出现特有运动模态并影响全部纵侧向运动状态的响应;部分传递函数出现较多非最小相位零点从而导致初始响应发生反向;部分通道的Bode图中出现多个波峰波谷并有相角提前等现象。分析结果对后续容损飞行控制器的设计起到铺垫的作用。     

改进多重信号分类算法的宽带频谱快速感知方法

针对宽带频谱感知中采样率大、感知时间长的问题,在调制宽带转换器采样的基础上提出了一种改进多重信号分类算法的宽带频谱快速感知方法。调制宽带转换器对宽带频谱进行欠奈奎斯特采样,以最小描述长度准则估计信号个数,用改进多重信号分类谱估计信号位置。算法引入调整因子,使得多重信号分类谱中信号位置更为明显,降低了噪声的干扰。整个感知过程无须重构原始波形,无须计算频谱,大大降低了计算量,而且感知算法计算复杂度低,提高了感知效率。仿真结果表明,在低信噪比的情况下,该算法仍具有很好的检测性能。     

使用融合乘加加速快速傅里叶变换计算的向量化方法

融合乘加指令加速快速傅里叶变换计算的向量化方法,通过变换快速傅里叶变换的蝶形单元运算流程,将传统计算方式中独立的乘法和加法操作组合成次数更少的融合乘加操作,使得时间抽取法基2快速傅里叶变换算法的蝶形单元计算的实数浮点操作由原来的10次乘(加)操作减少到6次融合乘加操作,时间抽取法基4快速傅里叶变换算法的蝶形单元计算的实数浮点操作由原来的34次乘(加)操作减少到24次融合乘加操作;优化了蝶形因子的向量访问,减少存储开销。实验结果表明,提出的方法能够显著加速快速傅里叶变换的计算,取得高效的计算性能和效率。     

闪存阵列的可重构策略

利用低延迟、低功耗、高可靠的闪存芯片构建闪存存储阵列是实现高性能存储系统的有效手段。但应用传统磁盘阵列技术构建闪存存储阵列,会引入磨损均衡、校验数据更新频繁导致阵列生命周期降低等问题。针对闪存固有的读写特性,设计实现了一种基于NAND Flash的高性能磁盘阵列机制——基于缓存的可重构磁盘阵列策略。该机制采用可重构条带的思想,利用存储等级的内存作为缓存,对数据顺序重组。实验结果表明:该策略能够有效降低垃圾回收开销,提高闪存阵列的性能和使用寿命。