一体化联合作战指挥信息流通体系逻辑结构分析

针对协同性联合作战向一体化联合作战转变对作战指挥产生的影响,在正确定位指挥信息流通体系的基础上,从一体化联合作战的本质特征及对指挥信息流通体系的影响出发,设计了基本作战单元指挥信息输入、输出模型,并通过将作战体系区分为四类模块,得出了指挥信息流通体系的逻辑结构.     

Efficient multinomial selection in simulation

Consider a simulation experiment consisting of v independent vector replications across k systems, where in any given replication one system is selected as the best performer (i.e., it wins). Each system has an unknown constant probability of winning in any replication and the numbers of wins for the individual systems follow a multinomial distribution. The classical multinomial selection procedure of Bechhofer, Elmaghraby, and Morse (Procedure BEM) prescribes a minimum number of replications, denoted as v*, so that the probability of correctly selecting the true best system (PCS) meets or exceeds a prespecified probability. Assuming that larger is better, Procedure BEM selects as best the system having the largest value of the performance measure in more replications than any other system. We use these same v* replications across k systems to form (v*)^k pseudoreplications that contain one observation from each system, and develop Procedure AVC (All Vector Comparisons) to achieve a higher PCS than with Procedure BEM. For specific small-sample cases and via a large-sample approximation we show that the PCS with Procedure AVC exceeds the PCS with Procedure BEM. We also show that with Procedure AVC we achieve a given PCS with a smaller v than the v* required with Procedure BEM. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 459–482, 1998     

Matrix-geometric solution of discrete time MAP/PH/1 priority queue

We use the matrix-geometric method to study the discrete time MAP/PH/1 priority queue with two types of jobs. Both preemptive and non-preemptive cases are considered. We show that the structure of the R matrix obtained by Miller for the Birth-Death system can be extended to our Quasi-Birth-Death case. For both preemptive and non-preemptive cases the distributions of the number of jobs of each type in the system are obtained and their waiting times are obtained for the non-preemptive. For the preemptive case we obtain the waiting time distribution for the high priority job and the distribution of the lower priority job's wait before it becomes the leading job of its priority class. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 23–50, 1998     

Scheduling deteriorating jobs to minimize makespan

We consider a single-machine problem of scheduling n independent jobs to minimize makespan, in which the processing time of job J_j grows by w_j with each time unit its start is delayed beyond a given common critical date d. This processing time is p_j if J_j starts by d. We show that this problem is NP-hard, give a pseudopolynomial algorithm that runs in time and O(nd) space, and develop a branch-and-bound algorithm that solves instances with up to 100 jobs in a reasonable amount of time. We also introduce the case of bounded deterioration, where the processing time of a job grows no further if the job starts after a common maximum deterioration date D > d. For this case, we give two pseudopolynomial time algorithms: one runs in O(n²d(D − d) time and O(nd(D − d)) space, the other runs in p_j)²) time and p_j) space. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 511–523, 1998     

飞行计划管理中航迹关联算法

针对传统飞行计划管理中的缺限,基于MK-NN航迹关联算法思想,提出了一种利用方向因子、速度因子、偏航因子、时差因子和区域因子对综合航迹和计划航迹进行比较关联的方法.通过仿真,分析比较了该算法与其它算法的综合性能,验证了MK-NN算法在计划管理中的科学性和可行性.用改进的MK-NN算法为基本算法实现对飞行计划实施的动态监控,能够提高飞行计划管理的准确性和可靠性.     

短切碳纤维混凝土电磁屏蔽规律的实验研究

随着电子产品普及和大功率电气设备数量的增加,导致电磁环境急剧恶化,从而带来了一系列隐患。简要阐述了电磁屏蔽的原理,介绍了碳纤维的性能,并对短切碳纤维水泥基复合材料的屏蔽性能进行了实验研究,制备出碳纤维吸波混凝土,测试了样品的电磁屏蔽性能,并比较3mm与6mm短切碳纤维在吸波混凝土中的屏蔽效能,分析、总结了实验样品中反映出来的规律,为设计高性能电磁屏蔽混凝土提供了依据。     

利用动态综合作战能力指数筹划海战兵力需求

针对目前海军作战兵力需求问题,建立了海军作战的物理模型,并提出了用动态综合作战能力指数筹划海战兵力需求的数学模型和算法,采用战例统计法和专家打分法计算出战斗力系数.并且以航空兵空中争夺为例进行了因素分析、参数选取、效能计算并得出了明确结论.计算结果表明,采用动态综合作战能力指数作为海战兵力需求指标是可行的;信息作战能力在现代海战中具有极其重要的作用.     

C4ISR仿真系统分析和设计

分析了指挥、控制、通讯、计算机、信息、监视和侦察(C4ISR)系统的复杂性特点,指出C4ISR系统在应用过程中,需要仿真系统对系统操作员和指挥员进行训练.研究了C4ISR仿真系统及其各子系统的实现模型,最后以舰艇C4ISR为例进行设计,通过分布式交互仿真协议(DIS)实现各子系统信息的互连.仿真结果表明,系统也可以为检测各种实际系统提供仿真环境和数据.     

动态贝叶斯网络的无人机炮火校射

动态贝叶斯网络(Dynamic Bayesian Networks-DBNs),是对具有随机过程性质的不确定性问题进行建模和处理的一个有力工具.提出将隐马尔可夫模型(Hidden Markov Models-HMMs)图形模式与贝叶斯网络结合起来构成DBN,将其用于无人机照相侦察情报的推理分析,决定炮火优先打击区域.首先建立动态贝叶斯网络的战场态势变化模型,而后应用HMM的推理算法获得当前隐含序列最优估计,且可预测出未来战场态势.最后应用模糊推理获得优先打击的区域号.仿真结果表明了模型的可行性.该方法有效解决了贝叶斯网络对于瞬间变化战场态势推理的不足的缺陷,为炮兵指挥员更好地运用火力,分出主次奠定了基础.     

美军装备试验鉴定发展历程分析及启示

美军装备试验经历近百年的发展,已形成较为成熟的试验鉴定模式和管理评价体制,试验鉴定能力也处于世界领先水平.美军在装备发展历程中的经验做法十分值得学习和借鉴.本文分析了美军装备试验鉴定发展历程和特点,研究了其试验组织结构的科学构成和运行机制,归纳总结了美军装备试验发展的客观规律和科学经验.在此基础上,得到了顺应装备发展趋...