气象条件对武器效能动态评估与微分对策的影响分析

针对气象条件对作战双方武器效能的动态影响问题,基于微分对策思想,构建了包含气象影响因子的作战双方武器对抗的兰彻斯特模型,讨论了不同气象条件对双方武器效能的动态影响。结果表明:气象条件对双方武器效能都有损耗,但由于损耗程度不同,整个战局的态势将向损耗程度较小的一方倾斜;武器效能的固有差距是主要的,但一定的战场大气环境条件可以缩小此差距。     

基于不同叶片数目比的烟气涡轮多叶片通道数值模拟

基于定常假设,利用混合平面模型传递级间参数,运用Fluent软件对不同静动叶片数目比下的烟气涡轮多叶片通道流场进行了数值计算,得到了温度、压力、出口速度和马赫数等参数的变化规律,绘制了不同静动叶片数目比下各种参数的体积加权平均XY图,并通过数值分析确定了静动叶片最佳数目比为50∶74,最佳静叶安装角为35°。结果表明:叶片数目增减和静叶安装角的变化对烟气涡轮整体性能的影响须考虑多种因素,并不能以单一参数的变化来决定最佳叶片数目和静叶安装角。该结论可为烟气涡轮现有装备的科学管理和技术改进提供理论依据。     

数据链支持下的武器系统评估体系研究

结合数据链作战使用需求,针对国外采用统计法评估数据链系统代价高、费时和针对单一兵器系统的问题。创新性地将作用域原则引入WSSDL作战效能评估体系过程中,完成了基于作用域的指标体系构建和综合评估方法设计工作,首次有效地解决了数据链支持下武器系统的评估对象多样化、人在回路因素多、定性指标缺乏量化手段的问题,为数据链支持下的武器系统作战效能评估提供了可靠手段和方法。     

装备分布式虚拟维修训练仿真负载平衡研究

基于HLA的装备分布式虚拟维修训练过程极易产生仿真节点负载失衡,以往的负载平衡研究多关注资源利用率,仿真运行过程中可能会因节点负载的不均衡进行频繁的负载调度,影响仿真运行效率.针对此问题,以保证仿真节点的高效运行为首要目的,将负载平衡定义为不存在超载节点即为平衡,提出了一种动静结合的复合式负载平衡调度方法.研究了复合式负载平衡系统的体系结构,采用最小连接调度法实现了节点静态负载的粗粒度平衡,引入仿真运行比率分量参数表征负载量值,进而设计了动态负载平衡算法对仿真运行过程进行实时监控和调度.实验结果表明,改进后仿真平衡调度频率明显下降,实现了资源利用率和仿真效率的平衡兼顾,取得了良好的效果.     

Optimal control of noncollaborative servers in two‐stage tandem queueing systems

We consider two‐stage tandem queueing systems with dedicated servers in each station and a flexible server that is trained to serve both stations. We assume no arrivals, exponential service times, and linear holding costs for jobs present in the system. We study the optimal dynamic assignment of servers to jobs assuming a noncollaborative work discipline with idling and preemptions allowed. For larger holding costs in the first station, we show that (i) nonidling policies are optimal and (ii) if the flexible server is not faster than the dedicated servers, the optimal server allocation strategy has a threshold‐type structure. For all other cases, we provide numerical results that support the optimality of threshold‐type policies. Our numerical experiments also indicate that when the flexible server is faster than the dedicated server of the second station, the optimal policy may have counterintuitive properties, which is not the case when a collaborative service discipline is assumed. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 435–446, 2014     

Optimal patrol to uncover threats in time when detection is imperfect

Consider a patrol problem, where a patroller traverses a graph through edges to detect potential attacks at nodes. An attack takes a random amount of time to complete. The patroller takes one time unit to move to and inspect an adjacent node, and will detect an ongoing attack with some probability. If an attack completes before it is detected, a cost is incurred. The attack time distribution, the cost due to a successful attack, and the detection probability all depend on the attack node. The patroller seeks a patrol policy that minimizes the expected cost incurred when, and if, an attack eventually happens. We consider two cases. A random attacker chooses where to attack according to predetermined probabilities, while a strategic attacker chooses where to attack to incur the maximal expected cost. In each case, computing the optimal solution, although possible, quickly becomes intractable for problems of practical sizes. Our main contribution is to develop efficient index policies—based on Lagrangian relaxation methodology, and also on approximate dynamic programming—which typically achieve within 1% of optimality with computation time orders of magnitude less than what is required to compute the optimal policy for problems of practical sizes. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 61: 557–576, 2014     

动态WTA问题的混沌人工鱼群算法

针对不同作战平台上多个武器单元对一批目标进行射击时的武器目标分配问题,建立了该问题的数学模型。采用混沌人工鱼群算法对动态条件下的武器目标分配问题进行求解,并设计一个实例进行仿真实验。仿真结果表明,在时间约束条件下该算法较遗传算法更具优越性,验证了混沌人工鱼群算法用于动态武器目标分配的有效性。     

论人的防御火灾意识的更新

通过分析人的素质、行为和能动作用 ,揭示人类防御火灾意识偏低的原因 ,指出人类要实现人与自然协调发展 ,减少火灾的侵袭 ,就必须提高人的素质 ,规范人的行为 ,发挥人的主观能动作用。     

给定人员情况下最小化开发时间和成本的软件项目调度

给出了一种软件项目的随机调度模型.它明确地把调度策略作为输入,一旦调度策略确定,模型就可以输出关于项目的完成时间或成本的一个概率分布.利用随机最优化技术,能够计算出软件项目的一个调度策略,它使得项目在人员给定的情况下开发时间和成本最小.     

基于ADAMS的齿轮传动系统动态特性仿真

介绍了齿轮传动系统的特点,建立了齿轮传动系统动力学仿真模型。基于ADAMS对街轮传动系统的动力特性进行了仿真,结果表明该模型与齿轮传动箱的动力学特性吻合。本模型和仿真方法为齿轮载荷获取、疲劳寿命预测提供了新的途径。