Statistical equivalency and optimality of simple step‐stress accelerated test plans for the exponential distribution

Accelerated life testing (ALT) is commonly used to obtain reliability information about a product in a timely manner. Several stress loading designs have been proposed and recent research interests have emerged concerning the development of equivalent ALT plans. Step‐stress ALT (SSALT) is one of the most commonly used stress loadings because it usually shortens the test duration and reduces the number of required test units. This article considers two fundamental questions when designing a SSALT and provides formal proofs in answer to each. Namely: (1) can a simple SSALT be designed so that it is equivalent to other stress loading designs? (2) when optimizing a multilevel SSALT, does it degenerate to a simple SSALT plan? The answers to both queries, under certain reasonable model assumptions, are shown to be a qualified YES. In addition, we provide an argument to support the rationale of a common practice in designing a SSALT, that is, setting the higher stress level as high as possible in a SSALT plan. © 2012 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

美国“深绿”计划对指挥控制的影响

“深绿”计划是美国国防部高级研究计划署为满足现代战争对快速决策的需求而提出的.“深绿”计划的目的是将仿真嵌入指挥控制系统,利用仿真支持正在进行的军事行动.通过对深绿体系结构、实现深绿的关键技术以及深绿实施方案的分析,重点研究了深绿计划对指挥控制的影响.该研究力图为我军作战指挥决策支持系统的建设提供方法和技术上的启发及借鉴.     

用于目标跟踪无线传感器网络的动态分簇算法

针对跟踪精度和网络能耗的问题,提出了一种用于目标跟踪无线传感器网络的基于预测的动态分簇算法.把目标运动过程看作是高斯马尔可夫过程,根据目标历史轨迹,估计下一时刻位置坐标和运动速度,然后基于估计结果优化选择分簇的簇头和簇成员,形成一个动态分簇来实现目标跟踪.仿真结果表明:该算法使目标跟踪有较好的跟踪精度,能有效均衡网络能耗,延长网络寿命.     

动态点对点通信天线的自动控制研究

在相对运动平台的点对点通信中,天线如何快速、准确地进行跟踪对准是接收高质量通信信号的保证.针对于动态点对点通信中定向天线对准难的问题,提出了一种基于坐标跟踪法和信号跟踪法的联合天线跟踪控制法,并对此方法进行了系统的软、硬件设计.通过精度分析和试验得出该方法对准精度高,系统易于实现,能够满足微波通信天线对准工程实现中的快与准的要求.     

Bayesian sampling plans for exponential distributions with interval censored samples

This article studies the problem of designing Bayesian sampling plans (BSP) with interval censored samples. First, an algorithm for deriving the conventional BSP is proposed. The BSP is shown to possess some monotonicity. Based on the BSP and using the property of monotonicity, a new sampling plan modified by the curtailment procedure is proposed. The resulting curtailed Bayesian sampling plan (CBSP) can reduce the duration time of life test experiment, and it is optimal in the sense that its associated Bayes risk is smaller than the Bayes risk of the BSP if the cost of the duration time of life test experiment is considered. A numerical example to compute the Bayes risks of BSP and CBSP and related quantities is given. Also, a Monte Carlo simulation study is performed to illustrate the performance of the CBSP compared with the BSP. The simulation results demonstrate that our proposed CBSP has better performance because it has smaller risk. The CBSP is recommended. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 604–616, 2015     

卫星导航弱信号的变维卡尔曼滤波跟踪算法

复杂环境下的多普勒频移变化及信号功率衰减均会造成载波跟踪偏差较大甚至失锁,针对标准卡尔曼滤波算法跟踪机动目标时不能同时满足高动态及高灵敏度要求的问题,提出一种基于变维卡尔曼滤波的载波跟踪算法。引入机动和非机动两种载波跟踪模型,通过机动检测因子监视载波动态变化,实时高效地切换载波跟踪模型,从而实现对载波机动和非机动状态的自适应跟踪,抑制机动改变引起的较大误差突跳。理论分析和仿真结果表明,该算法在低至30d BHz弱信号环境下,相比基于标准卡尔曼滤波的跟踪算法,其在目标动态突变时相位跟踪误差减小约37.5%,频率跟踪误差减小约77%。     

无人机风梯度滑翔过程中能量变化

风梯度滑翔是一种能够使飞行器从飞行环境中获取能量的飞行方式。在已建立的飞行器动力学模型的基础上,分析了无人机在已知的梯度风场中一个滑翔周期内的能量变化过程。采取分段解析的方法,将一个风梯度滑翔周期分为4个阶段进行分析,即逆风爬升、高空转弯、顺风下滑和低空转弯,其中高空转弯为整个滑翔周期内的关键阶段。采用三维空间路径结合二维平面投影的计算方法,详细分析了无人机在高空转弯过程中的运动方程和能量转化方程,同时分析了影响飞行器从梯度风场中获取能量以及梯度风场中由于空气阻力导致飞行器能量损失的相关参数,为无人机最大程度地从梯度风场中获取能量,同时减少自身能源损耗提供了理论指导,并且根据理论建模进行了仿真分析,得出了逆风爬升和高空转弯的初期是获取能量主要阶段的结论,对指导无动力滑翔有很大的意义。     

The dynamic and stochastic knapsack Problem with homogeneous‐sized items and postponement options

This article generalizes the dynamic and stochastic knapsack problem by allowing the decision‐maker to postpone the accept/reject decision for an item and maintain a queue of waiting items to be considered later. Postponed decisions are penalized with delay costs, while idle capacity incurs a holding cost. This generalization addresses applications where requests of scarce resources can be delayed, for example, dispatching in logistics and allocation of funding to investments. We model the problem as a Markov decision process and analyze it through dynamic programming. We show that the optimal policy with homogeneous‐sized items possesses a bithreshold structure, despite the high dimensionality of the decision space. Finally, the value (or price) of postponement is illustrated through numerical examples. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 267–292, 2015     

多弹种快速供弹系统设计

在研究国内外供弹系统的基础上,借鉴它们的可取之处,通过机构上的综合和创新来建立一个有效的、可行的方案模型,确定供弹系统的结构形式与布置方式,对其进行详细设计,并在Solidworks中建立供弹系统的实体模型。完成了方案的总体结构布置和时序设计。对弹鼓进行了结构和运动规律设计,完成了弹丸的运动过程分析,运用ADAMS对模型进行了仿真验证。为提高舰炮的射速和供弹系统的自动化以及多弹种快速转换能力提供了新的思路与构想。     

改进型Voronoi图和动态权值A*算法的无人机航迹规划

针对实际作战环境中的不同威胁等级和不同威胁实体的威胁源,提出了改进型的Voronoi图,并建立了基于改进型Voronoi图的航迹规划空间;基于A*算法的估价函数在不同阶段对指标的敏感度不同,在传统的启发式A*搜索算法基础上提出了动态权值A*搜索算法,提高了航迹搜索的效率,实现了航迹搜索过程快速性和准确性的结合。最后通过Matlab仿真计算出由动态权值A*算法得到的最优航迹,并进行了航迹的平滑处理,仿真表明了该方法的可行性。