水下航行体惯性类水动力系数的计算方法

为了系统地计算水下航行体全套惯性类水动力系数,提高计算效率和计算精度,通过基于无粘模型的计算方法对水下航行体的运动进行了预报;通过UDF及动网格技术,对匀速运动和匀加速运动的SUBOFF模型进行了分析.设计了单方向速度线性变化的匀加速直线运动和匀加速回转运动,并通过换算和数值拟合处理得到了潜艇所受的惯性力和惯性类水动力系数.该系数与试验误差保证在6％之内,验证了所提方法的可行性及准确性.     

网络化指挥控制系统同步特性分析

为解决指挥控制系统模型难以进行数值分析的问题,根据指挥控制过程OODA模型的周期循环特性定义了指挥节点动力学振子,应用捕捉复杂网络同步动力过程的Kuramoto模型描述了网络化指挥控制系统的同步行为特性,并分析了耦合强度与系统同步之间的关系.理论与数值分析表明:对于全连通的网络化指挥控制系统,当信息交互耦合强度超过阚值时系统能达到同步.     

用于海底观测网络的海缆远程供电系统的可靠性

提出了串联恒流和并联恒压两种适合应用于海底观测网络的远程供电系统方案;在相同条件下,利用算法分别完成了两种系统的可靠性设计与分配方案,并根据各子单元的分配可靠度计算了两种系统各节点的供电可靠度。分析结果表明：相比于并联恒压远供系统,串联恒流远供系统对子单元的要求相对较低,而各节点的供电可靠度相对较高,说明串联恒流远供系统更适合应用于我国的海底观测网络建设。     

Approximation algorithms for capacitated stochastic inventory systems with setup costs

We develop the first approximation algorithm with worst‐case performance guarantee for capacitated stochastic periodic‐review inventory systems with setup costs. The structure of the optimal control policy for such systems is extremely complicated, and indeed, only some partial characterization is available. Thus, finding provably near‐optimal control policies has been an open challenge. In this article, we construct computationally efficient approximate optimal policies for these systems whose demands can be nonstationary and/or correlated over time, and show that these policies have a worst‐case performance guarantee of 4. We demonstrate through extensive numerical studies that the policies empirically perform well, and they are significantly better than the theoretical worst‐case guarantees. We also extend the analyses and results to the case with batch ordering constraints, where the order size has to be an integer multiple of a base load. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 304–319, 2014     

The impact of operational decisions on the design of salesforce incentives

When facing high levels of overstock inventories, firms often push their salesforce to work harder than usual to attract more demand, and one way to achieve that is to offer attractive incentives. However, most research on the optimal design of salesforce incentives ignores this dependency and assumes that operational decisions of production/inventory management are separable from design of salesforce incentives. We investigate this dependency in the problem of joint salesforce incentive design and inventory/production control. We develop a dynamic Principal‐Agent model with both Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in which the principal is strategic and risk‐neutral but the agent is myopic and risk‐averse. We find the optimal joint incentive design and inventory control strategy, and demonstrate the impact of operational decisions on the design of a compensation package. The optimal strategy is characterized by a menu of inventory‐dependent salesforce compensation contracts. We show that the optimal compensation package depends highly on the operational decisions; when inventory levels are high, (a) the firm offers a more attractive contract and (b) the contract is effective in inducing the salesforce to work harder than usual. In contrast, when inventory levels are low, the firm can offer a less attractive compensation package, but still expect the salesforce to work hard enough. In addition, we show that although the inventory/production management and the design of salesforce compensation package are highly correlated, information acquisition through contract design allows the firm to implement traditional inventory control policies: a market‐based state‐dependent policy (with a constant base‐stock level when the inventory is low) that makes use of the extracted market condition from the agent is optimal. This work appears to be the first article on operations that addresses the important interplay between inventory/production control and salesforce compensation decisions in a dynamic setting. Our findings shed light on the effective integration of these two significant aspects for the successful operation of a firm. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 320–340, 2014     

基于PEPA的舰艇编队防空过程建模及分析

防空作战是大型水面舰艇编队的主要作战样式之一。本文运用PEPA（性能评价过程代数）方法对舰艇编队防空作战全过程进行有效建模,形式化描述了预警探测、情报传递、命令下达、防空拦截等作战主要过程。建立的PEPA模型具有层次化结构,考虑了要素间相互协作,体现了编队防空作战分布、并发的特点。通过对建立的PEPA模型进行性能指标选择和稳定状态分析,得到了不同因素对编队能力发挥的影响情况,获得了防空作战的基本要素组成。从而提供了一种解决舰艇编队问题的新方法。     

基于数据站场的系统效能评估决策支持方法

随着信息技术的发展,系统信息量的提升给军事系统效能评估带来了新的问题。针对系统效能分析数据非线性、高维数、强耦合的特点,提出了一种基于数据站场技术的效能评估决策支持方法。通过数据恢复、约减、求精与重构操作,对评估数据进行了处理,并搭建了数据站场立方体,降低了数据间的依赖性,满足了不同层面系统分析的需求。以面向任务的网络化火控系统的为例,进行了系统效能评估、时效性评估和指标分析,从三个层次验证了方法的有效性与可行性。将数据挖掘技术应用到仿真系统效能评估决策中,获得了更广泛的应用。     

考虑弹体动态特性的机动效率约束导引律

针对考虑交会角和过载约束导引律在大机动时能量损失大的问题,提出一种考虑导弹机动效率的多约束制导律。应用最优二次型原理推导出考虑一阶弹体延迟的时变导引系数闭环次优制导形式,将导弹机动时刻阻力系数引入时变权系数,并通过迭代确定机动效率约束边界。将时变约束表示成剩余时间与弹体延迟时间的函数,代入制导指令,进行弹道仿真。结果表明,对于常值与机动目标,文中制导律与过载约束导引律同只考虑交会角约束的导引律相比,对目标均能实现末端弹道成型要求,而考虑机动效率的制导指令分配更为合理,在避免指令加速度饱和的同时有效降低了拦截末端速度损耗,提高制导精度与毁伤效果。且该制导律中时变权系数无须配平求解,在保证精度的同时极大地提高了迭代速度。     

卫星在役考核相关问题研究

各类卫星在现代战争中发挥着重要和关键作用。我国传统的卫星试验和鉴定具有很强的科研试验性质,承制单位和用户重点关注的是性能检验,较少考虑作战效能和部队适用性等指标。为推动卫星装备建设和应用,装备试验鉴定部门初步组织开展了相应的在役考核工作。文章对比了美军装备作战试验与鉴定、我国作战试验与在役考核的概念;提出卫星在役考核的六大特点;分析卫星在役考核的组织方式、组织机构和组织保障的不足,提出相应发展建议;研究卫星在役考核指标体系设计、分析评估方法、问题反馈与整改等方面的不足,并提出相应措施建议。     

大力推进新时代中国特色科技兴军

习主席站在时代发展与战略全局的高度,着眼军队建设全局,深刻阐述了科技兴军在强军征程中的重要作用,明确了科技兴军的举措抓手,丰富和发展了新时代党的强军思想理论体系。必须毫不动摇地坚持走中国特色科技兴军之路,为实现党在新时代的强军目标提供强有力的支撑。