超压气球上升过程温度与动力学特性仿真分析

针对带加强筋的超压气球,分析上升过程热环境及受力状态,建立热力学与动力学模型并分析其耦合关系。基于MATLAB开发仿真程序,对超压气球进行仿真分析。分析了气球上升过程中高度、速度、温度变化特性,数据表明上升过程中的热力学环境和动力学特性都对球内气体温度有重要影响,气球上升速度和球内气体温度相互耦合并与自由浮力系数存在相关性。飞行试验实测数据验证了仿真结果的准确性。理论分析结果和仿真模型可为后续超压气球设计和飞行试验提供指导。     

高原环境对弹丸动态稳定性的影响

分析了高原环境低空气密度对弹丸动态稳定性的影响。给出了弹道坐标系中的力方程组和非滚转弹体坐标系中的力矩方程组,并通过线性化方法得到弹丸角运动的状态空间模型。列出了角运动状态矩阵的四个特征根,并利用复数平方根计算方法得到特征根实部的表达式。提出弹丸动态稳定性稳定因子的新定义,并证明新的动态稳定条件与传统的动态稳定条件是一致的。讨论了低空气密度对尾翼稳定弹和旋转稳定弹动态稳定性的影响,并通过仿真说明弹丸在高原条件和平原条件下的动态稳定性存在差异。     

频谱感知次序的在线最优选择

动态频谱接入是解决无线电频谱资源短缺和频谱使用效率低下问题的有效方法,它允许次级用户在授权频谱空闲时动态地接入,以进行数据传输。而频谱感知是实现动态频谱接入的关键挑战之一。由于次级用户的感知能力有限,为了获得更多的频谱接入机会,需要尽快找到频谱空闲概率最大的频段,并研究频谱感知次序问题。考虑到频谱空闲概率对次级用户是不可知的,并且会随时间变化,提出了在线学习框架,把频谱感知次序问题归纳成经典多摇臂赌博机问题,并利用在线学习方法——满意折现汤普森抽样算法处理优化问题。仿真结果表明,和其他算法相比,所提算法可以获得更多的频谱接入机会并且能够跟踪频谱空闲概率的变化。     

驱动控制对太阳帆板驱动系统动力学特性的影响

准确预示太阳帆板驱动系统动力学特性是开展扰振机理和振动控制研究的基础。本文推导了考虑驱动控制因素的太阳帆板驱动装置等效力学特性参数表达式,构建了太阳帆板驱动系统动力学特性等效分析模型,并在仿真和试验验证基础上,讨论了驱动速度和控制增益对驱动装置力学特性参数和驱动系统动力学特性的影响规律。结果表明:所构建的等效分析模型能够在不同驱动速度和控制增益情况下准确预示驱动系统动力学特性,分析结果与试验误差小于10%;驱动装置等效阻尼与驱动速度和控制增益无关,但等效刚度随控制增益减小和驱动速度增大而减弱。随着驱动速度提高,驱动控制逐渐成为影响驱动系统动力学特性的重要因素。     

多阶段传感器-武器联合任务管理方法

针对动态环境下的传感器-武器联合任务管理问题展开研究。根据在动态作战过程中出现的有效新目标、有效空闲传感器和武器数量设定阶段门限,以决定进入下一阶段的时机,从而构建多阶段的作战过程。从打击方案质量及系统响应时间的角度出发,分析构建分布式作战体系对系统作战效能的影响,使系统在每个任务管理阶段可以决定响应流程。通过仿真实验验证了所构建的分布式作战体系与设定的阶段门限可以明显提升系统的作战效能。     

新冠肺炎动态病死率分析与疫情预测方法研究【专题】

新型冠状病毒感染的肺炎防控是国家安全体系的重要“战场”,疫情趋势预测是开展疫情科学防控和精准防控的重要基础。本文阐述了疫情动态病死率概念,分析了疫情动态病死率函数和时间曲线,提出了动态病死率发展的3个重要拐点,从动态病死率和新增确诊病人数两个维度,构建了拟合曲线函数,并对疫情发展趋势进行了预测。研究发现,截至2月10日,本次疫情动态病死率已经经过了第3个拐点,趋于稳定;预计到2月16日左右,新增确诊人数达到第3个拐点,进入缓慢下降期;预计2月底底至3月初,每日新增确诊人数将在1000人以内,全国最终的“病死率”将在2%～4%左右。该预测方法是一种运用系统外部特征信息来研判疫情发展规律的较为简便快捷的方法,对于科学预测疫情发展趋势具有一定的参考借鉴价值。     

Study on dynamic response of multi-degree-of-freedom explosion vessel system under impact load

In order to study the dynamic response and calculate the axial dynamic coefficient of the monolayer cylindrical explosion vessel, the wall of vessel is simplified as a multi-degree-of-freedom (MDoF) undamped elastic foundation beam. Decoupling the coupled motion equation and using Duhamel's integrals, the solutions in generalized coordinates of the equations under exponentially decaying loads, square wave loads and triangular wave loads are calculated. These solutions are consistent in form with the solutions of single-degree-of-freedom (SDoF) undamped forced vibration simplified model. Based on the model, equivalent MDoF design method (also called MDoF dynamic coefficient method) of cylindrical explosion vessel is proposed. The traditional method can only predict the dynamic coefficient of torus portion around the explosion center, but this method can predict that of the vessel wall at any axial n dividing point position. It is verified that the prediction accuracy of this model is greatly improved compared with the SDoF model by comparing the results of this model with SDoF model and numerical simulation in different working conditions. However, the prediction accuracy decreases as the scaled distance decreases and approaches the end of the vessel, which is related to the accuracy of the empirical formula of the implosion load, the simplification of the explosion load direction, the boundary conditions, and the loading time difference.     

Dynamic modeling and parameter identification of a gun saddle ring

In this study, a theoretical nonlinear dynamic model was established for a saddle ring based on a dynamic force analysis of the launching process and the structure according to contact-impact theory. The ADAMS software was used to build a parameterized dynamic model of the saddle ring. A parameter identification method for the ring was proposed based on the particle swarm optimization algorithm. A loading test was designed and performed several times at different elevation angles. The response histories of the saddle ring with different loads were then obtained. The parameters of the saddle ring dynamic model were identified from statistics generated at a 50° elevation angle to verify the feasibility and accuracy of the proposed method. The actual loading history of the ring at a 70° elevation angle was taken as the model input. The response histories of the ring under these working conditions were obtained through a simulation. The simulation results agreed with the actual response. Thus, the effectiveness and applicability of the proposed dynamic model were verified, and it provides an effective method for modeling saddle rings.     

Optimal design of a novel cylindrical sandwich panel with double arrow auxetic core under air blast loading

The increasing threat of explosions on the battle field and the terrorist action requires the development of more effective blast resistance materials and structures. Curved structure can support the external loads effectively by virtue of their spatial curvature. In review of the excellent energy absorption property of auxetic structure, employing auxetic structure as core material in curved sandwich shows the potential to improve the protection performance. In this study, a novel cylindrical sandwich panel with double arrow auxetic (DAA) core was designed and the numerical model was built by ABAQUS. Due to the complexity of the structure, systematic parameter study and optimal design are conducted. Two cases of optimal design were considered, case1 focuses on reducing the deflection and mass of the structure, while case2 focuses on reducing the deflection and increasing the energy absorption per unit mass. Parameter study and optimal design were conducted based on Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHD) method, artificial neural networks (ANN) metamodel and the nondominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-Ⅱ). The Pareto front was obtained and the cylindrical DAA structure performed much better than its equal solid panel in both blast resistance and energy absorption capacity. Optimization results can be used as a reference for different applications.     

基于双线性连接模型的超静定捆绑火箭助推器动力学响应分析

对于长径比较高的助推器来说,为了提高与芯级的连接可靠性,可采用超静定捆绑连接方式。这种捆绑连接方式增加了助推器动力学响应分析的难度。以超静定捆绑火箭助推器为研究对象,通过引入拉压双线性弹簧模拟捆绑连接装置,建立合理的动力学分析模型,对系统进行数值求解,获得径向冲击作用下助推器的动力学响应特性。通过与静定捆绑模型的对比,获得超静定捆绑助推器的广义位移、频谱和内力的响应,从而为工程应用提供一定的参考和理论支撑。