目标自动跟踪参数辨识模型的工程化动态辨识

为解决机动目标参数辨识模型工程应用问题,采用扩张状态观测器等先进的非线性滤波算法,从实测的含有观测噪声的目标位置数据的序列中,直接估计出机动目标运动的一阶、二阶、三阶导数,并结合目标运动模型辨识的理论算法,在工程应用上首次实现了机动目标运动模态和运动模型的双重动态辨识,完成了目标模型动态辨识的工程化设计.     

装备精确修理浅析

如何用有限的装备修理力量,在战役全过程中尽可能多地修复战损装备,提高装备参战率,是战役装备修理的任务.提出精确修理以装备动态需求为依据,通过优化装备修理各要素,为战损装备提供"精确"的服务,来实现装备修理的快速高效,并通过建立修理人员效能评估模型,说明精确修理的高效性.     

主星带伴随分布式小卫星雷达系统的波束同步分析

波束同步是主星带伴随分布式小卫星雷达系统的同步问题之一,分析了主星带伴随分布式小卫星雷达系统的波束同步问题。根据主星带伴随分布式小卫星雷达系统的特点,结合小卫星天线俯仰向可扫描、姿态可调节,提出了三种波束指向同步方法;分析了分布式小卫星雷达系统的波束覆盖同步问题,分别建立了主星和伴随分布式小卫星的波束覆盖数学模型;仿真分析“干涉车轮”,结果不仅证明这些模型的正确性,同时发现波束指向同步方法2有较好的优越性。     

利用动态规划原理实现多冲量最优交会问题

多冲量最优交会问题是航天领域非常重要的一个研究方向,从运筹学角度将此问题转化为一个多阶段多维动态规划问题,并着重对多阶段二维动态规划进行分析研究。在给出状态方程及指标函数递推公式的基础上,得到了两冲量和三冲量交会问题最优解的求解算法,之后分别通过实例验证了算法的有效性。对于以地心角等参数为决策变量的更高维问题,讨论了利用进化算法等降维方法实现多维动态规划的思想。     

目标图像运动特征分析

在红外成像导弹导引头的信息处理中,目标图像特征研究是导引头技术研究中的一个重要问题。对各种潜在目标成像特征的详细研究是红外成像导引头信息处理研究的基础。在此项工作完成的基础上,可以实现对导引头目标识别和跟踪算法的评价,同时也可以辅助图像处理算法的选择和优化。在分析红外成像制导空空导弹工作原理的基础上,建立了导弹、目标的仿真模型,对常见的目标图像运动特征进行了仿真分析。给出了在空战条件下目标图像运动特征的部分仿真结果。     

一座小型建筑空调动态负荷的ANN预测研究

人工神经网络(Artificial Neural Network,简称ANN)是一种崭新非线性建模和预测方法,具有良好的非线性品质和极高的拟合精度。在前人研究的基础上,针对一座小型建筑物建立了其空调动态负荷预测的BP模型。为克服常规BP训练算法的缺陷,提出了一种改进的遗传搜索算法,结果证明是一种高效实用的算法。     

弹丸动平衡自动测试方法研究

采用 IBM- PC机为主机 ,对弹丸动不平衡量 (m1 ,m2 )及相位角α进行自动测试并做相应的数据处理。设计了弹丸左、右两标定面的平面分离电路、A/D转换电路等。     

非高斯噪声下的滤波方法

干扰条件下的机动目标跟踪在一些文献[1][2]中已有讨论,但利用多传感器,尤其是被动传感器进行非高斯观测噪声条件下的目标跟踪仍需要研究。本文讨论了被动传感器在随机干扰条件下进行机动目标跟踪的方法,其观测量包含非高斯噪声,也可能包含影响观测值的随机干扰。与基于卡尔曼滤波的常见方法不同,采用动态规划算法进行多假设检验,从而估计目标的状态。仿真试验表明,本文方法能有效地处理非高斯噪声情况下的目标跟踪问题,而基于卡尔曼滤波的跟踪方法,比如EKF,则效果较差。     

Dynamic pricing in a trade-in program with replacement and new customers

Trade-in programs have been widely adopted to enhance repeat purchase from replacement customers. Considering that a market consists of replacement and new segments, we study the joint and dynamic decisions on the selling price of new product (hereafter, “selling price”) and the trade-in price involved in the program. By adopting a vertical product differentiation choice model, we investigate two scenarios in this paper. In the base model, the manufacturer has sufficiently large production capacity to fulfill the customer demand. We characterize the structural properties of the joint pricing decisions and compare them with the optimal pricing policy under regular selling. We further propose a semi-dynamic trade-in program, under which the new product is sold at a fixed price and the trade-in price can be adjusted dynamically. Numerical experiments are conducted to evaluate the performance of the dynamic and semi-dynamic trade-in programs. In an extended model, we consider the scenario in which the manufacturer stocks a batch of new products in the beginning of the selling horizon and the inventory cannot be replenished. Following a revenue management framework, we characterize the structural properties with respect to time period and inventory level of new products.     

Dynamic pricing and matching in ride-hailing platforms

Ride-hailing platforms such as Uber, Lyft, and DiDi have achieved explosive growth and reshaped urban transportation. The theory and technologies behind these platforms have become one of the most active research topics in the fields of economics, operations research, computer science, and transportation engineering. In particular, advanced matching and dynamic pricing (DP) algorithms—the two key levers in ride-hailing—have received tremendous attention from the research community and are continuously being designed and implemented at industrial scales by ride-hailing platforms. We provide a review of matching and DP techniques in ride-hailing, and show that they are critical for providing an experience with low waiting time for both riders and drivers. Then we link the two levers together by studying a pool-matching mechanism called dynamic waiting (DW) that varies rider waiting and walking before dispatch, which is inspired by a recent carpooling product Express Pool from Uber. We show using data from Uber that by jointly optimizing DP and DW, price variability can be mitigated, while increasing capacity utilization, trip throughput, and welfare. We also highlight several key practical challenges and directions of future research from a practitioner's perspective.