作战仿真系统中高性能随机数发生器研究

为满足作战仿真系统对随机数发生器随机性、鲁棒性、周期和效率等的苛刻要求,采用组件技术,开发了素数模乘同余组合发生器。该随机数发生器生成的随机数,其分布类型、参数和独立性经检验满足要求;其周期长达10^18,且不受种子的影响。该随机数发生器采用的算法经过优化后,运算速度提高了近40％。研究成果解决了仿真作战过程随机性的难题,为多样本的并行仿真、仿真结果置信区间的得出奠定了基础,有助于提高仿真系统的可信性。     

PID在柴油发电机组输出稳定性控制中的应用研究

针对目前移动式柴油发电机组机械式调速器响应速度慢、精度差以及负载变化较大时发电机组输出电压和频率波动较大的问题,研究了PID在柴油发电机组稳定性控制中的应用,进行了电子调速器电路的研究与设计。对75kW柴油发电机组进行了空载、半载及满载实验,实验结果验证了设计电路和控制方法的正确性。该电子调速器采用PID方法对发动机转速进行控制,达到了改善柴油发电机组输出稳定性的目的,并且具有响应速度快和准确度高的特点。     

外弹道数据融合实时算法研究

信息融合技术可以大大减轻指挥决策的工作量,增加信息置信度,减少模糊性,改善系统可靠性.针对靶场实时测控数据处理中急待解决的成片野值干扰等难题,在实时环境中采用数据融合处理方法,讨论了外弹道数据融合实时算法所面临的关键技术,并通过分析与论证得出可行性结论.结论对进一步的系统设计与软件实现具有指导意义.     

基于GAHP的模糊综合评判法在潜艇 作战方案评估中的应用

潜艇作战方案评估是辅助对潜指挥员决策的重要方法,而评估的科学性对决策的有效性影响很大.利用多人层次分析法(GAHP)和模糊综合评判相结合的方法,对潜艇作战方案进行评估,评估的结果可信度高,有利于对潜指挥员的正确决策.最后,通过实例证明了方法的有效性.     

The effects of model parameter deviations on the variance of a linearly filtered time series

We consider a general linear filtering operation on an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time series. The variance of the filter output, which is an important quantity in many applications, is not known with certainty because it depends on the true ARMA parameters. We derive an expression for the sensitivity (i.e., the partial derivative) of the output variance with respect to deviations in the model parameters. The results provide insight into the robustness of many common statistical methods that are based on linear filtering and also yield approximate confidence intervals for the output variance. We discuss applications to time series forecasting, statistical process control, and automatic feedback control of industrial processes. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

A partial characterization of the optimal ordering/rationing policy for a periodic review system with two demand classes and backordering

We consider a finite horizon periodic review, single product inventory system with a fixed setup cost and two stochastic demand classes that differ in their backordering costs. In each period, one must decide whether and how much to order, and how much demand of the lower class should be satisfied. We show that the optimal ordering policy can be characterized as a state dependent (s,S) policy, and the rationing structure is partially obtained based on the subconvexity of the cost function. We then propose a simple heuristic rationing policy, which is easy to implement and close to optimal for intensive numerical examples. We further study the case when the first demand class is deterministic and must be satisfied immediately. We show the optimality of the state dependent (s,S) ordering policy, and obtain additional rationing structural properties. Based on these properties, the optimal ordering and rationing policy for any state can be generated by finding the optimal policy of only a finite set of states, and for each state in this set, the optimal policy is obtained simply by choosing a policy from at most two alternatives. An efficient algorithm is then proposed. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

多轴向织物层合板层间剪切强度有限元分析与实验研究

用VIMP工艺制备了UD、0/45/-45、0/45/90/-45三种多轴向织物增强,四种厚度的GFRP层合板试样,采用短梁剪切实验考察了层间剪切强度和破坏模式。建立了GFRP层合板短梁剪切试样有限元模型,计算了内部层间剪应力分布。结合计算和实验结果分析表明层合板存在由宽度方向层间剪应力变化导致的自由边缘效应,含偏轴铺层的层合板更容易发生边缘开裂破坏。厚度相同时0/45/-45多轴向织物增强层合板的层间剪切强度最高。短梁剪切强度测试存在尺寸效应,随着厚度的增加,强度下降,样品波动系数增大。     

镜像法求解导体球外点电荷电场的代数解

用代数法求解了导体球外点电荷在空间产生的静电场。得到了能反映导体球中自由电荷性质的新解该结果既符合唯一性定理,又有明确的物理含义。     

角色扮演法在实践教学中的应用——以《公共关系学》课程为例

角色扮演法是一种以＂学生＂为中心,以＂体验—思考—行动＂为逻辑顺序的教学方法,这种实践教学方法更有利于学生和教师＂成才＂和＂成人＂。角色扮演法在《公共关系学》课程实践教学应用中有四个步骤：经典场景设定、角色分配准备、角色扮演实施和案例讨论总结。应通过多种途径大力倡导角色扮演法在《公共关系学》课程实践教学中的应用,实施以角色外聘为主的角色扮演法。     

RBF神经网络在深V型滑行艇阻力预报中的应用

基于SV、JYK系列滑行艇的阻力、浸湿面积、航行纵倾角试验数据,采用RBF神经网络建立了深V型滑行艇阻力预报数值图谱;针对艇艉底部横向斜升角变化的有限试验数据,提出了一种基于小样本试验数据的阻力修正方法。试验表明,该方法对深V型滑行艇(折角线长度与最大折角线宽度比在4~5.5,面积负荷系数在5.5~7,重心纵向相对位置在3%~9%,艉部艇底斜升角在5°~25°之间变化)阻力预报是可行的。在相同精度下,针对该文研究的问题,RBF神经网络所需时间少于BP神经网络。