Determination of burn‐in parameters and residual life for highly reliable products

Today, many products are designed and manufactured to function for a long period of time before they fail. Determining product reliability is a great challenge to manufacturers of highly reliable products with only a relatively short period of time available for internal life testing. In particular, it may be difficult to determine optimal burn‐in parameters and characterize the residual life distribution. A promising alternative is to use data on a quality characteristic (QC) whose degradation over time can be related to product failure. Typically, product failure corresponds to the first passage time of the degradation path beyond a critical value. If degradation paths can be modeled properly, one can predict failure time and determine the life distribution without actually observing failures. In this paper, we first use a Wiener process to describe the continuous degradation path of the quality characteristic of the product. A Wiener process allows nonconstant variance and nonzero correlation among data collected at different time points. We propose a decision rule for classifying a unit as normal or weak, and give an economic model for determining the optimal termination time and other parameters of a burn‐in test. Next, we propose a method for assessing the product's lifetime distribution of the passed units. The proposed methodologies are all based only on the product's initial observed degradation data. Finally, an example of an electronic product, namely contact image scanner (CIS), is used to illustrate the proposed procedure. © 2002 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

建设教育实习基地的理论与实践研究

教育实习是师范院校教育教学活动的一项重要内容。建立相对稳定的教育实习基地是教育实习中理论与实践联系的必由之路;质量至上、互惠互利、友好协商是建设教育实习基地的准则;坚持解放思想、实事求是、大胆创新、与时俱进,才能使教育实习基地的建设不断适应新形势、实现新飞跃。     

乌昌地区极化效应影响分析

乌昌经济一体化是新疆维吾尔自治区党委基于现实情况做出的区域经济发展的战略,该战略以其前所未有的发展促进了民族地区经济的发展。该文在极化理论的指导下分析了乌昌地区的扩散作用和回流作用,并对这些作用进行总结性分析。     

一种基于双基点复合物元法的装备维修保障系统评估方法

结合 TOPSIS 方法中双基点的概念,提出了一种基于双基点的复合物元评估方法.在对装备维修保障系统进行综合评价时,将几类保障系统作为物元事物,在确定理想物元和负理想物元的基础上,采用专家经验和熵权法相结合的方法确定各评价指标的权重系数,通过计算相对于双基点的关联度对评价对象进行排序.理论研究和实例分析表明,该方法便于扩展、易于计算机实现、推广性强,而且指标权系数采用主客观相结合的方法确定,更具有合理性.     

四连杆机构连杆曲线的识别及机构反求

针对工程中查找四连杆机构连杆曲线图谱所存在的精度及效率问题,提出一种利用计算机图形学和数据库原理进行连杆曲线快速识别和查找的方法,此方法的核心是建立起曲线与机构的对应关系,用适当的数据结构表示它们,从而快速识别连杆曲线并建立相应的数据库,该方法还能迅速实现机构的反求。     

An exact analysis of a joint production‐inventory problem in two‐echelon inventory systems

We consider a two‐echelon inventory system with a manufacturer operating from a warehouse supplying multiple distribution centers (DCs) that satisfy the demand originating from multiple sources. The manufacturer has a finite production capacity and production times are stochastic. Demand from each source follows an independent Poisson process. We assume that the transportation times between the warehouse and DCs may be positive which may require keeping inventory at both the warehouse and DCs. Inventory in both echelons is managed using the base‐stock policy. Each demand source can procure the product from one or more DCs, each incurring a different fulfilment cost. The objective is to determine the optimal base‐stock levels at the warehouse and DCs as well as the assignment of the demand sources to the DCs so that the sum of inventory holding, backlog, and transportation costs is minimized. We obtain a simple equation for finding the optimal base‐stock level at each DC and an upper bound for the optimal base‐stock level at the warehouse. We demonstrate several managerial insights including that the demand from each source is optimally fulfilled entirely from a single distribution center, and as the system's utilization approaches 1, the optimal base‐stock level increases in the transportation time at a rate equal to the demand rate arriving at the DC. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

Inventory management with advance capacity information

An important aspect of supply chain management is dealing with demand and supply uncertainty. The uncertainty of future supply can be reduced if a company is able to obtain advance capacity information (ACI) about future supply/production capacity availability from its supplier. We address a periodic‐review inventory system under stochastic demand and stochastic limited supply, for which ACI is available. We show that the optimal ordering policy is a state‐dependent base‐stock policy characterized by a base‐stock level that is a function of ACI. We establish a link with inventory models that use advance demand information (ADI) by developing a capacitated inventory system with ADI, and we show that equivalence can only be set under a very specific and restrictive assumption, implying that ADI insights will not necessarily hold in the ACI environment. Our numerical results reveal several managerial insights. In particular, we show that ACI is most beneficial when there is sufficient flexibility to react to anticipated demand and supply capacity mismatches. Further, most of the benefits can be achieved with only limited future visibility. We also show that the system parameters affecting the value of ACI interact in a complex way and therefore need to be considered in an integrated manner. © 2011 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2011     

面向重用的BOM概念模型相似度评估研究

针对BOM概念模型重用的问题,提出了概念模型相似度用于描述两个概念模型之间的相似程度.并提出相似度评估算法用于计算概念模型之间的相似度.根据概念模型的定义,将相似度的计算归结为名字相似度计算和最优匹配计算两个基本过程.研究了算法中接口权重参数和行为权重参数的不同组合对算法查准率和查全率的影响.通过对JC3IEDM数据模...     

基于Linux/QT的火控系统实时故障诊断方法

针对某数字化火控系统实时故障检测与诊断问题,提出了一种基于对象式框架知识表示的火控系统实时故障诊断方法。该方法采用专家系统与实时进程通信,获取故障征兆,进行实时推理定位故障源。给出了诊断系统的一般架构,介绍故障诊断系统知识表示的形式化描述,实时推理、规则匹配算法和UDP进程通信协议。实际应用证明了这种方法的有效性和可扩展性。     

新疆绿洲城市化与区域协调发展战略研究

受区域生态环境的影响,新疆绿洲城市发展表现出水平低、结构不合理、效益差等特点,城市化缺乏规模优势、外向性和市场动力,制约着新疆社会经济的进一步发展。只有立足绿洲的生态和区域条件,从城乡统筹、区域协调角度,强化区域在组织、集聚、协调经济活动中的特殊作用,采取超常规的城市化发展战略,通过强化开放和流通解决市场问题,采取“相对集中发展战略”,建设大城市、大基地和大通道,克服市场化结构和布局矛盾,才能充分发挥城市的核心带动作用。