加权主成分TOPSIS法的防空导弹型号论证决策

针对防空导弹型号论证决策问题,讨论了影响型号论证的主要因素,建立了基于加权主成分TOPSIS法的防空导弹型号论证决策模型,实现了对新研制型号方案的综合评价和分析.在此基础上,通过实例验证了方法的实用性与有效性.论文的研究成果为防空导弹型号论证提供了辅助决策方法和智力支持.     

重庆市某混合式热泵工程经济配置方案模拟分析

基于重庆市某混合式热泵工程,采用TRNSYS软件分别就室内温度、湖水温度、地埋管流体温度以及供冷能耗进行了模拟,并与实际运行数据进行对比分析,确定了该模型的准确性和可行性.最后对土壤源热泵承担总负荷15％,25％,35％,45％的4种方案与传统方案一同进行模拟分析,结果显示,土壤源热泵25％的负荷比例在4种配置方案中最...     

战时装备调配保障决策模型构建研究

分析了战时装备调配保障决策的特点,运用模糊聚类分析法对装备调配保障对象进行了分组和优先级排序,以此为基础,运用目标规划法构建了战时装备调配保障决策模型,最后,通过实例验证了模型的可行性和有效性．     

Effectiveness of (R,Q) policies in one‐warehouse multiretailer systems with deterministic demand and backlogging

Consider a distribution system with a central warehouse and multiple retailers. Customer demand arrives at each of the retailers continuously at a constant rate. The retailers replenish their inventories from the warehouse which in turn orders from an outside supplier with unlimited stock. There are economies of scale in replenishing the inventories at both the warehouse and the retail level. Stockouts at the retailers are backlogged. The system incurs holding and backorder costs. The objective is to minimize the long‐run average total cost in the system. This paper studies the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies in the above system. Under an (R, Q) policy, each facility orders a fixed quantity Q from its supplier every time its inventory position reaches a reorder point R. It is shown that (R, Q) policies are at least 76% effective. Numerical examples are provided to further illustrate the cost effectiveness of (R, Q) policies. © 2000 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 47: 422–439, 2000     

基于复杂网络的作战网络分析

分布式网络化作战是网络中心战的基础,而分布式作战网络的构建是网络化作战的重要前提。首先,运用复杂网络的相关参数分析了多种不同的网络,选择了BA非标度网络作为分布式作战网络的最优表现形式;其次,以BA非标度网络为基础提出了一个适合军事上动态鲁棒性分析的模型DCNCE;最后,仿真结果表明,在以网络效能值为测度的对比下,分布式作战网络在介数毁伤策略下更脆弱,为构建并改进现有的作战网络提供了理论依据。     

Field test and probabilistic analysis of irregular steel debris casualty risks from a person-borne improvised explosive device

Person-borne improvised explosive devices (PBIEDs) are often used in terrorist attacks in Western countries. This study aims to predict the trajectories of PBIED fragments and the subsequent safety risks for people exposed to this hazard. An explosive field test with a typical PBIED composed of a plastic explosive charge and steel nut enhancements was performed to record initial fragment behaviour, including positions, velocity, and trajectory angles. These data were used to predict the full trajectory of PBIED fragments using a probabilistic analysis. In the probabilistic analyses a probability of fatality or serious injury was computed. Based on the results presented, many practical conclusions can be drawn, for instance, regarding safe evacuation distances if a person were exposed to a suspected PBIED.     

论经济分析方法在军事法中的应用

伴随着经济学的发展,经济分析方法于上世纪被引入法学领域,形成法经济学。经过半个世纪的努力,经济分析方法已经出现在众多部门法学研究中。军事法作为一门独立的部门法学并不排斥经济分析方法,用经济分析方法研究军事法具有重要意义。     

试论武器装备的效费比分析

运用价值工程(VE)方法分析武器装备,称效费比为价值。按照杜佩(Dupuy)的方法,把武器装备的效能转化为“战斗效能值”(OLI),又计算出了武器装备的全寿命费用,然后将2者加以对比,获得效能—费用的最佳组合,同时提出了选择武器装备系统的定量分析方法。这些对于提高我国国防经济效益,具有一定的指导和借鉴意义。     

弹炮结合防空武器系统毁伤概率分析与仿真

针对弹炮结合防空武器系统毁伤概率是决定系统效能的关键问题,分析了决定系统精度和毁伤概率的主要因素及其相互关系.以单枚导弹对目标的毁伤概率和高炮一次点射对目标的毁伤概率为目的,建立了弹炮结合系统毁伤概率分析模型.通过计算机仿真得出了一定航路条件下对典型目标射击,高炮一个2S长的36发点射的平均毁伤概率为40%,单枚导弹的平均毁伤概率为63%.在2枚导弹和2个点射的情况下,系统总的毁伤概率可达97.8%.     

经验模态分析法在雷达信号脉内分析中的应用

雷达脉内特征分析是信号分选领域一个重要手段,当脉内信号有多个雷达信号交叠在一起时,很难分析出其各自的调制方式。经验模态分解(EMD)在分析非平稳混合信号时效果显著,但其存在2个明显弊端。针对端点效应问题,首先采用小波分解将信号分解成各分量,随后对除噪声外的各分量利用ARMA模型对信号进行预测,接着对预测后的各分量进行小波重构,从而消除了端点效应,针对虚假分量的问题,结合雷达信号的特点改进了其终止条件,提高了EMD分解的性能。最后,对EMD分解后的各分量进行时频分析,得出雷达脉内信号的调制特征。仿真验证了算法的有效性。