舰炮武器系统可靠性指标确定方法研究

舰炮武器系统可靠性指标的提出应当立足于作战使用的需求。从作战使用的角度,依据系统作战效能的影响因素,运用ADC模型研究了舰炮武器系统在战术技术指标给定的情况下系统可靠性指标与系统作战效能的关系,提出一种从作战使用角度确定可靠性指标方法,并通过实例分析验证了方法的可行性,为舰炮武器系统以及其它武器装备的型号研制论证提供参考。     

DEA models for two‐stage processes: Game approach and efficiency decomposition

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a method for measuring the efficiency of peer decision making units (DMUs). This tool has been utilized by a number of authors to examine two‐stage processes, where all the outputs from the first stage are the only inputs to the second stage. The current article examines and extends these models using game theory concepts. The resulting models are linear, and imply an efficiency decomposition where the overall efficiency of the two‐stage process is a product of the efficiencies of the two individual stages. When there is only one intermediate measure connecting the two stages, both the noncooperative and centralized models yield the same results as applying the standard DEA model to the two stages separately. As a result, the efficiency decomposition is unique. While the noncooperative approach yields a unique efficiency decomposition under multiple intermediate measures, the centralized approach is likely to yield multiple decompositions. Models are developed to test whether the efficiency decomposition arising from the centralized approach is unique. The relations among the noncooperative, centralized, and standard DEA approaches are investigated. Two real world data sets and a randomly generated data set are used to demonstrate the models and verify our findings. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

基于统计实验法的单坦克射击效能分析

统计实验法建立的作战模型是一种随机性的仿真模型,特别适合描述作战过程中随机性因素的作用.单坦克射击效能评估是验证射击方式合理性、科学选取射击方式的基本依据.采用概率分析的方法对单坦克在不同射击条件下采用不同射击方式的射击效能进行了分析,并运用统计实验法对单坦克不同射击方式进行模拟,分析坦克性能、射手射击水平、战场环境,目标特征对单坦克射击效能及射击方式选取的影响.     

改进的杜佩指数法的单舰作战效能评估

在对杜佩定量判断模型(QJM)进行改进的基础上,提出了一种单舰作战效能的整体评估方法.通过判断矩阵考虑进了经典的杜佩指数法不能描述的"软"因素,然后利用特征向量求得各自权重,最后根据权重确定各部分战斗指数.本法极具针对性与说服性,是一种新型的部队战斗效能量化评估手段,对简单军事系统的效能评估工作有一定借鉴意义.     

基于Markov决策支持系统的坦克排作战效能预测

分析了Markov模型的一般预测过程,建立了一种基于Markov决策支持系统的作战效能预测分析模型,根据坦克排在担负不同作战任务时的特点,给出了坦克排作战效能预测分析的应用实例,预测分析的结果表明,该模型能够对作战态势做以正确的预测,有利于指挥员更好地进行兵力部署,发挥坦克排作战的最佳效能.     

基于灰色层次分析法的侦察装备效能评估

针对侦察系统性能参数的不确定性,本文把灰色理论与层次分析法相结合,运用灰色层次分析综合评估模型,对侦察系统的效能进行评估。用专家评估分析法确定侦察装备效能评价指标权重,用灰色评估理论建立侦察系统效能评估模型。以某常规侦察雷达为例,用建立的模型进行量化评估,充分利用决策者的判断信息,较为准确地反映实际情况,验证了评估模型的可靠性。该模型可为部队作战提供装备的效能数据,为发展新型装备提供依据。其方法和成果可供其它武器系统效能评估时借鉴参考。     

自适应调制的MIMO OFDM系统的性能分析

分析了MIMO OFDM的系统模型,研究了MIMO OFDM系统的自适应调制技术,给出了完整的自适应算法,探讨了自适应MIMO OFDM系统的频谱效率。仿真结果表明,自适应调制提高了MIMO OFDM的误比特率性能。     

Capacity expansion and cost efficiency improvement in the warehouse problem

The warehouse problem with deterministic production cost, selling prices, and demand was introduced in the 1950s and there is a renewed interest recently due to its applications in energy storage and arbitrage. In this paper, we consider two extensions of the warehouse problem and develop efficient computational algorithms for finding their optimal solutions. First, we consider a model where the firm can invest in capacity expansion projects for the warehouse while simultaneously making production and sales decisions in each period. We show that this problem can be solved with a computational complexity that is linear in the product of the length of the planning horizon and the number of capacity expansion projects. We then consider a problem in which the firm can invest to improve production cost efficiency while simultaneously making production and sales decisions in each period. The resulting optimization problem is non‐convex with integer decision variables. We show that, under some mild conditions on the cost data, the problem can be solved in linear computational time. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 367–373, 2016     

指挥控制结构的抗毁性分析研究

指挥控制结构的抗毁性决定了战时指挥控制体系在遭受敌打击时,其减缓受到的损害和恢复其相关能力的能力,在未来信息化作战条件下具有重要的现实意义。为了明确指挥控制结构的抗毁性与攻击方式等因素的关系,在指控复杂网络模型的基础上,对抗毁性的描述参数进行了定义,以仿真实验的方式对比了随机攻击与重点攻击、考虑时间因素的攻击、按照不同标准(度和介数)排序进行的攻击等。从而揭示了信息化作战环境下指挥控制结构抗毁性的表现与维护重点。     

基于层次分析法的坦克电台通信效能评估

坦克电台通信效能评估是检验电磁环境下坦克电台战术技术水平、适应复杂电磁环境下作战运用、发现电磁环境下坦克电台通信运用存在问题的重要途径。针对坦克电台通信效能评估的复杂性,运用层次分析法(AHP),确立了坦克电台通信效能评估指标集,构建了一种三层结构的指标体系,给出了通信效能评估模型与算法,实现了通过实验数据采集来定量分析坦克电台的通信效能。结合实例,通过分析采集各性能指标的实验数据,得出坦克电台通信的最佳方案,为复杂电磁环境下坦克分队作战训练提供依据。