电磁发射系统改进FAHP-神经网络健康评估方法

准确定量评估电磁发射系统发射前的健康状态意义重大。针对模糊层次分析方法(Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process, FAHP)在评估电磁发射系统串行结构同级元素健康值时存在较大偏差,且无法适用系统非线性变权重需求的缺陷,提出改进FAHP-神经网络方法。通过在计算同级元素健康指数时构造能够满足串行结构健康评估的非线性函数进行计算,并在数学上证明该方法的有效性;通过引入神经网络系统,在已有的系统先验信息和测量数据的基础上训练模型解决系统健康评估非线性变权重需求。基于电磁发射系统脉冲成形网络系统建立健康评估模型,开展评估试验。结果表明,提出的方法健康评估精度较高,在各种系统健康状态下,评估结果均符合系统实际的健康状况;对比传统的FAHP,提出的改进方法评估精度大幅提升,且在评估试验中没有出现故障误报和漏报的情况,从而验证了提出方法的可行性和工程实用价值。     

锂电池储能在电磁发射中的应用

随着电磁发射技术的发展,储能环节成为其中不可或缺的一部分。对基本储能单元需求进行分析,以用电系统功率和能量需求为牵引,以储能系统体积重量适装性最优为目标,充分对比现有各类电池参数指标,从安全性、功率密度、能量密度和循环寿命四个方面进行考虑,确定基本储能单元类型为锂电池。面对舰上不同电磁发射设备电压、电流的需求,需要研究能够实现锂电池组快速灵活串并转换的拓扑结构。在实现电池组稳定并联之前,需保证电池组的一致性,因此需计算出电池荷电状态并进行均衡;针对短脉冲大倍率连续放电工况下荷电状态估算不准确的问题,提出以蓄电池组作为研究对象,采用动态辨识方法进行估算。由于各电池组之间存在不一致性,并联起来放电时可能导致输出电流不均衡,使得本来就处于高倍率放电的电池组超限使用,因此将提出一种电池组均流方法来解决此问题。     

Optimizing the US Navy's combat logistics force

We study how changes to the composition and employment of the US Navy combat logistic force (CLF) influence our ability to supply our navy worldwide. The CLF consists of about 30 special transport ships that carry ship and aircraft fuel, ordnance, dry stores, and food, and deliver these to client combatant ships underway, making it possible for our naval forces to operate at sea for extended periods. We have modeled CLF operations to evaluate a number of transforming initiatives that simplify its operation while supporting an even larger number of client ships for a greater variety of missions. Our input is an employment schedule for navy battle groups of ships operating worldwide, extending over a planning horizon of 90–180 days. We show how we use optimization to advise how to sustain these ships. We have used this model to evaluate new CLF ship designs, advise what number of ships in a new ship class would be needed, test concepts for forward at‐sea logistics bases in lieu of conventional ports, demonstrate the effects of changes to operating policy, and generally try to show whether and how the CLF can support planned naval operations. Published 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2008     

被动传感器融合检测系统的优化分布密度

被动传感器由于采用无源探测,而且制造成本低,体积小,在战场环境中将采用并配置大量的被动传感器来检测目标.不论是主动还是被动式传感器,在实际应用中均存在资源优化配置问题.针对被动传感器的具体应用模型,采取了若干合理近似,得到了在"OR"融合检测条件下,基于最大检测概率的被动传感器优化配置密度计算公式.     

基于SEA方法的传感器与武器系统匹配分析

分析系统的匹配程度,是对作战系统进行评价的重要内容,提出将系统的作战效能作为衡量系统匹配程度的重要指标,在SEA(System Effectiveness Analysis)方法的框架下建立了系统匹配分析模型,采用蒙特卡罗方法对匹配过程进行了仿真计算,并通过具体算例验证了模型的正确性,为作战系统的匹配分析提供了一种新的思路.     

A nuclear-armed North Korea without ICBMs: the best achievable objective

This article analyzes the North Korean nuclear crisis from a balance-of-power perspective. It is in the long-term interests of international peace for a secure and independent North Korea to serve as a buffer between US and Chinese ground forces. However, the conventional military advantage of the South Korean-American alliance over North Korea has grown drastically since the end of the Cold War, threatening North Korea’s survival. Since North Korea lacks any reliable ally, nuclear weapons represent its most cost-effective way to restore a balance of power and thus secure itself. Accepting security guarantees in exchange for its nuclear arsenal is rhetorically appealing but not a viable approach. North Korea’s development of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), however, has overcompensated for the post-Cold War imbalance, inviting talk in Washington of waging a preventive war. Persuading North Korea to give up its ICBM capability, not its nuclear arsenal, should therefore be the primary objective of US diplomacy.     

A generalized model for estimation of aerodynamic forces and moments for irregularly shaped bodies

A novel method for estimation of an aerodynamic force and moment acting on an irregularly shaped body (such as HE projectile fragments) during its flight through the atmosphere is presented. The model assumes that fragments can be approximated with a tri-axial ellipsoid that has continuous surface given as a mathematical function. The model was validated with CFD data for a tri-axial ellipsoid and verified using CFD data on aerodynamic forces and moments acting on an irregularly shaped fragment.The contribution of this method is that it represents a significant step toward a modeling that does not require a cumbersome CFD simulation results for estimation of fragment dynamic and kinematic parameters. Due to this advantage, the model can predict the fragment motion consuming a negligible time when compared to the corresponding time consumed by CFD simulations. Parametric representation (generalization) of the fragment geometrical data and the conditions provides the way to analyze various correlations and how parameters influence the dynamics of the fragment flight.     

基于能量分级和位置预测的高效路由算法

针对车载传感器网络节点移动速度快、网络拓扑结构不稳定、终端传感器节点能量不确定性等特点,提出了一种能量分级和位置预测的高效路由算法ERLP(Energy Rank and Location Prediction based routing)。该算法根据具有不同能量等级的节点将消息传递距离的不同选择那些能量高的节点作为中转节点,并结合节点的分布区域和当前速度,尽量将多个消息副本传递给覆盖不同方向的节点,避免消息传递的局部性。仿真结果表明,与当前典型延迟容忍网络的路由算法相比,ERLP算法在传输成功率、平均延迟时间上具有较大提升。     

基于改进协方差控制的传感器管理算法

针对传统的基于协方差控制的传感器管理算法使用全遍历方法所造成的计算量大,以及传感器切换频繁的问题,提出了一种基于改进协方差控制的传感器管理算法。该算法在每一时刻首先判断前一时刻所用传感器组是否能够满足目标跟踪需求,以滤波协方差与期望协方差的偏差作为参考,结合量纲变换和特征值求取,为协方差偏差矩阵经过量纲变换后得到的量纲一致阵的所有特征值设定一个精度阈值,然后判断滤波协方差是否满足期望,从而决定是否维持当前选择的传感器组。在目标作匀速、匀加速、协同转弯等多种场景下进行了算法性能测试分析,仿真结果表明,该算法不仅在大部分场景下满足目标跟踪精度,而且能够提高传感器管理算法的实时性,同时降低传感器的切换频率。     

基于信息熵TOP SIS法的无线传感器网络节点自定位技术

在无线传感器网络的应用中,节点的定位是一个关键的问题。但是,利用已知节点对未知节点定位的算法存在着定位精度不高,定位计算量大等缺点。针对该问题,提出了一种基于信息熵TOPSIS法的节点自定位算法,该算法利用TOPSIS法按已给的传感器属性进行排序,只取最靠前的3个节点代入标准最小二乘公式中进行计算,既缩短了计算时间,又保证了计算精度。仿真实验证明,该算法是一种有效可行的算法。