舰载无人机干扰反舰导弹最优空间配置

针对舰载有源干扰在反导防御中存在的不足,以舰载无人机干扰敌反舰导弹的基本态势分析为基础,建立了舰载无人机最小有效干扰距离计算模型。针对反舰导弹跟踪辐射源的情况,以反舰导弹进入烧穿距离后不能再次捕捉目标为前提,建立干扰具备"跟杂"能力反舰导弹的舰载无人机阵位配置模型,为水面舰艇编队对空防御增加了新手段。     

基于复杂网络的机群作战建模与仿真

机群作战已成为战争中的主要作战形式之一。而传统的作战模型,已经不适应其多任务驱动、多机种协作的机群作战特性。为此,以复杂网络为基础,提出了一种构造不同类型的节点连接的动态生成算法,构建了反映真实作战场景的网络描述模型,较好地呈现出了机群作战中的涌现性、模糊性等诸多性质。并提出了描述机群作战网络的统计特征量,通过破击仿真实验,得出了与战争事实相符合的结论,为未来研究机群作战体系效能评估打下了基础。     

北斗卫星导航系统商业化发展策略

为应对海军在全球公域投送力量时面临的严重"反介入/区域拒止"(anti-access/areal denial,A2/AD)挑战,美国海军利用电磁作战方面的技术优势,率先提出并重点发展了"电磁机动战"。虽然该理论还处于进一步完善当中,但随着研究和实施的深入,将有助于提高美国海军在电磁领域的作战优势。     

潜射鱼雷作战能力综合评价模型

针对潜艇作战需要 ,总结出潜射鱼雷作战能力的评价体系并对评价指标进行规范化处理。在此基础上 ,运用改进的层次分析法确定潜射鱼雷作战能力评价指标权值 ,并根据灰色关联分析理论 ,以评价潜射鱼雷作战能力指标向量的灰色关联度作为评价准则 ,建立了潜射鱼雷作战能力的综合评价模型 ,最后通过算例验证了模型的正确性、实用性。     

大型电子装备层次诊断应用研究

根据电子装备诊断的特点,探讨了利用层次性理论对电子装备进行故障诊断的必要性和可行性,给出了层次性诊断中层间诊断和层内诊断的概念、原理及实现方法。首次将可列集的概念引用到层次诊断中,并给出了层次诊断中故障模式空间的选取原则,为层次诊断的工程实现和未来进行多信息诊断提供了基本框架。     

Applying Lanchester's linear law to model the Ardennes campaign

In modern warfare, many believe the decisive factor in winning a battle is seizing the right moment to shift from defense to attack, or vice versa. This paper attempts to bring that perspective to Lanchester's differential equations of warfare, and continues the application of Lanchester's linear law to the analysis of the World War II battle of Ardennes, as reported in earlier issues of Naval Research Logistics by Bracken and by Fricker. A new variable, shift time, accounting for the timing of the shift between defense and attack is explicitly included in our version of the model, and it helps obtain improved goodness of fit to historical data. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:653–661, 2001     

军事应用网格MAGrid本体研究

本体论提供了对研究领域进行概念化描述的基本理论和方法.为了适应网络中心战的发展需求,提出了一种新的军事应用网格构想--MAGrid,并着重从本体论的角度对其进行研究和设计.在介绍本体论相关知识的基础上,提出了相应的层次化本体结构,并对MAGrid的两类主要本体--网格服务本体和网格应用本体进行了描述.通过该研究,为新时期军事应用系统的开发提供了新的思路和方法,对于提高军事系统整体效能具有一定的理论参考和应用价值.     

More allies,weaker missions? How junior partners contribute to multinational military operations

There is a growing consensus that multinational military operations are often less effective than the theoretical sum of their constitutive parts. Multiple chains of command, restriction on intelligence sharing, and capability aggregation problems can reduce fighting power. However, partners may be necessary to provide legitimacy to an intervention. As such, most studies assume that the state leading a coalition (usually the United States) has to accept a degree of operational ineffectiveness in order to gain political benefits from the participation of junior partners to a multinational military operation. However, such analysis puts all junior partners under the same category, without taking into account the differentiated contributions of those junior partners based on their relative military power and international status. This article explores variation between the junior partners’ contributions and their impact on coalition political and military dynamics. It teases out the implications of adopting a fine-grained analysis of junior partners.     

Parliamentary involvement,party ideology and majority-opposition bargaining: Belgian participation in multinational military operations

This article examines the impact of parliamentary involvement in troop deployment decisions on restrictions on military mandates by examining the Belgian contribution to the 2011 Libya intervention and the coalition against the self-proclaimed Islamic State. More specifically, we analyse (1) the effect of party ideology on mandate preferences, and (2) the impact of bargaining between majority and opposition parties on the outcome of mandate negotiations. Our case study demonstrates that left-wing parties show a strong inclination toward imposing restrictions on the use of military force beyond humanitarian goals, while right-wing preferences tend to depend on the national interests at stake in the operation. With regard to majority-opposition bargaining, our study shows that the impact of opposition parties is dependent on the degree of contention between government and opposition parties, as well as on the extent to which the executive needs to seek support across its own majority.     

Artificial intelligence & future warfare: implications for international security

Recent developments in artificial intelligence (AI) suggest that this emerging technology will have a deterministic and potentially transformative influence on military power, strategic competition, and world politics more broadly. After the initial surge of broad speculation in the literature related to AI this article provides some much needed specificity to the debate. It argues that left unchecked the uncertainties and vulnerabilities created by the rapid proliferation and diffusion of AI could become a major potential source of instability and great power strategic rivalry. The article identifies several AI-related innovations and technological developments that will likely have genuine consequences for military applications from a tactical battlefield perspective to the strategic level.