A usable past: a contemporary approach to history for the Western profession of arms

The most effective way for the Western profession of arms to use history is to disavow the purism and narrow specialisation of today’s academia in favour of developing a contemporary approach to the subject. The latter aims to foster a range of applied diagnostic skills that transcend the temporal dimensions of past, present, and future. A contemporary approach to history for military professionals emphasises the use of inter-disciplinary war studies to enhance policy relevance. In any defense and security organisation, history must be usable in the sense of providing cognitive and interpretative skills for probing relationships between possibility and actuality, between experience and expectation, and between singularity and repetition. Using history to examine such dialectical interconnections is particularly valuable when military establishments confront their essential task of analyzing emerging trends in the future of war.     

面向战争设计工程的作战信息建模方法

首先对战争设计工程研究问题的思路进行了分析,给出了问题中存在的作战信息的结构.按照作战信息的结构,从实体、关系、任务、过程、交互5个方面,给出了作战信息的结构化、形式化建模的规范,主要为异质领域专家在理解问题、认识问题、表达解决思路中提供一定程度上的帮助,提高了战争设计工程的研究效率.     

创新中国特色的装备再制造工程构建我军装备维修保障新型学科

介绍了中国特色的装备再制造工程的内涵与特征,论述了装备再制造在装备维修保障中的地位和作用,分析了构建装备维修保障新型学科——“装备再制造与战场抢修”的重要性,阐述了装备再制造对于提高装备维修保障能力,提升装备综合保障效能,提高装备质量、效益与核心战斗力具有重要意义。     

域间流量工程体系结构的研究

随着Internet的快速发展,为了提高网络整体资源的利用率,出现了通过跨域网络性能的优化,达到优化网络资源使用的域间流量工程技术。在分析与评价域间流量工程体系结构研究状况的基础上,提出了面向域间流量工程的RCP体系结构以及今后需要研究的主要问题。     

型号研制与产品数据管理

介绍了产品数据管理(PDM)的概念和基本功能,结合当前型号研制的特点和计算机信息技术应用的状况、发展,研究了型号研制产品数据管理的需求、功能及实施,为当前型号研制依靠CIMS技术实现产品数据管理提出了8条基本原则。     

双经纬仪异面交会目标点的空间位置估计

针对双经纬仪异面交会中目标点并不一定正好在公垂线上的问题,提出了在公垂线附近的空间区域上估计目标点位置的方法。该空间区域为以公垂线为对角线,各边分别平行于双经纬仪测量坐标系三轴的长方体空间区域。在目标点位置估计时考虑到经纬仪高低角与水平角测角精度的不同,以及目标点与经纬仪之间距离对空间点坐标精度的影响。采用蒙特卡洛方法模拟结果表明:新方法的目标点空间位置估计精度不亚于传统公垂线法,在特定情况下甚至能提高5%以上。模拟结果验证了新方法的可行性和有效性。     

The danger of “hybrid warfare” from a sophisticated adversary: the Russian “hybridity” in the Ukrainian conflict

The term “hybrid warfare” is a new one that the West began to use to explain its failure to cope with asymmetric threats. Focusing on the war on global terrorism, the West temporarily withdrew its attention from traditional adversaries, such as Russia, which has used this gap and has audaciously returned to the stage as a global actor. Until the Russian annexation of the Crimean Peninsula in 2014 and inflaming the Ukrainian crisis, most Western authors attributed “hybrid threats” mostly to non-state actors. But the Ukrainian scenario showed the true face of “hybridity” in the modern battlefield when practised by a powerful state actor. Russian “hybrid warfare” in Ukraine has already been seen as a combination of conventional and unconventional methods, that have been complemented with other instruments of national power – diplomatic, economic and information. The purpose of this article is, through an analysis of the Ukrainian scenario, to demonstrate that although the term “hybrid” is new, the concept itself is old and is a continuation of already seen doctrine from the Cold War era. Although “hybrid threats” can come both from state and non-state actors, the Russian interference in Ukraine is proof that they are especially dangerous for the West if, or when, they are initiated from a traditional, sophisticated adversary that has the capacity to use all forms of warfare.     

Comprehensive approaches,diverse coherences: the different levels of policy coherence in the Dutch 3D approach in Afghanistan

Since 2000, international organisations such as the UN, NATO and the EU, but also countries, have started to apply what has been called the comprehensive approach to crisis management. This article unpacks this comprehensive approach implemented by the Dutch in Uruzgan province, Afghanistan. It first borrows and expands a conceptual framework developed by De Coning and Friis. Subsequently, it maps the different sorts of coherence in the mission by applying the framework. It shows how in practice there was not one single comprehensive approach, but many different forms of interaction between a number of organisational units. Each interaction had its own distinct issues and its own level of coherence. The level of coherence differed depending on the level at which the interaction took place – strategic at headquarters level versus operational at field level – and at what point in the mission it happened – in most cases it moved towards more cohesion.     

复杂系统故障安全风险评价方法

复杂系统的安全风险涉及面广、影响因素多,因此需要系统的、可操作的方法来指导安全风险的评价过程。在系统的各类安全风险中,故障安全风险是由各种故障导致系统发生事故的风险,是最常见的系统安全问题,因此针对复杂系统的故障安全风险评价开展研究。复杂系统故障安全风险评价需要明确的评价参数和评价方法的支持,为此提出了复杂系统故障安全风险评价的流程、分层次的评价参数体系及评价方法,并通过示例来具体说明故障安全风险的评价过程,为解决复杂系统的故障安全风险评价问题提出了可行的思路。     

多模型估计的新分支——变结构多模型方法

作为多模型方法的新分支,变结构多模型方法(VSMM)是当前机动目标跟踪、故障诊断等领域中研究的热点.首先简述了VSMM方法的发展过程和近期动态,在对VSMM方法进行深入分析的同时针对其理论核心--模型集自适应(MSA)策略进行讨论;详细介绍了几种现存的典型VSMM算法;同时简述了VSMM方法的应用概况;最后指出了目前VSMM方法重点关注的问题热点和今后的研究领域.