一种基于熵值的装备维修性评价模型

本文提出了一种基于熵值的装备维修性综合评价模型,该模型包括评价指标的熵值度量模型、装备维修信息结构图和行为控制图以及基于熵值的评价指标聚合模型等3个方面.本研究首先在分析装备维修一般过程和维修性评价内容的基础上,构建了定性指标和定量指标相结合的装备维修性评价指标体系,分析了维修任务复杂度、维修保障复杂度和基于熵值的维修...     

Implementing defence policy: a benchmark-“lite”

Most countries put significant amounts of time and effort in writing and issuing high-level policy documents. These are supposed to guide subsequent national defence efforts. But do they? And how do countries even try to ensure that they do? This paper reports on a benchmarking effort of how a few “best of breed” small- to medium-sized defence organisations (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) deal with these issues. We find that most countries fail to link goals to resources and pay limited attention to specific and rigorous ex-ante or post-hoc evaluation, even when compared to their own national government-wide provisions. We do, however, observe a (modest) trend towards putting more specific goals and metrics in these documents that can be – and in a few rare cases were – tracked. The paper identifies 42 concrete policy “nuggets” – both “do’s and don’ts” – that should be of interest to most defence policy planning/analysis communities. It ends with two recommendations that are in line with recent broader (non-defence) scholarship on the policy formulation-policy implementation gap: to put more rigorous emphasis on implementation (especially on achieving desired policy effects), but to do so increasingly in more experiential (“design”) ways, rather than in industrial-age bureaucratic ones (“PPBS”-systems).     

改革军事高科技培训质量评价办法的思考

文章通过梳理20年来开展军事高科技培训质量评价工作的情况,分析了取得的成绩和存在的不足,指出要将培训效果和课程体系的整体质量评价与具体课程的教学质量评价相结合,构建完善的评价体系。提出了改革军事高科技培训质量评价体系的基本原则,并结合培训工作的主要环节和特点,借鉴柯氏模型提出了一种军事高科技培训质量评价体系的主要结构。最后给出了构建质量评价体系和提高评价实效的有关思考。     

美军试验鉴定技术发展研究

众所周知,美军的装备试验鉴定技术一直处于世界领先地位,对其进行深入研究有利于试验鉴定的发展。本文主要对美军试验鉴定的管理部门、类型、发展历程以及技术领域进行详细研究,系统梳理美军试验鉴定的整个过程,在此基础上,结合我试验鉴定的发展现状,取其精华,去其糟粕,为试验鉴定的发展提出了几点思考和建议。     

Approximation algorithms for sequential batch‐testing of series systems

We introduce and study a generalization of the classic sequential testing problem, asking to identify the correct state of a given series system that consists of independent stochastic components. In this setting, costly tests are required to examine the state of individual components, which are sequentially tested until the correct system state can be uniquely identified. The goal is to propose a policy that minimizes the expected testing cost, given a‐priori probabilistic information on the stochastic nature of each individual component. Unlike the classic setting, where variables are tested one after the other, we allow multiple tests to be conducted simultaneously, at the expense of incurring an additional set‐up cost. The main contribution of this article consists in showing that the batch testing problem can be approximated in polynomial time within factor , for any fixed . In addition, we explain how, in spite of its highly nonlinear objective function, the batch testing problem can be formulated as an approximate integer program of polynomial size, while blowing up its expected cost by a factor of at most . Finally, we conduct extensive computational experiments, to demonstrate the practical effectiveness of these algorithms as well as to evaluate their limitations. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 275–286, 2016     

基于局部评估的分布式图模式匹配算法

为了在分布式存储的大规模数据图上进行快速图模式匹配,提出了基于局部评估的分布式图模式匹配算法disGPM-PE。首先各计算节点并行地执行本地匹配,然后协调器节点收集局部匹配结果、计算边界点的匹配状态并发送给相应的计算节点,接着计算节点根据边界点的匹配状态确定与边界点相连的节点的匹配情况,最后协调器节点组合得出最大匹配集。实验结果表明：与已有的分布式图模式匹配算法相比,disGPM-PE算法都能够在不显著增加通信量的前提下避免数据片段间的依赖关系对执行时间的影响,减少了图模式匹配的时间。     

利用局部评估的分布式图模式匹配算法

为了在分布式存储的大规模数据图上进行快速图模式匹配,提出利用局部评估的分布式图模式匹配算法。各计算节点并行地执行本地匹配;协调器节点收集局部匹配结果、计算边界点的匹配状态并发送给相应的计算节点;计算节点根据边界点的匹配状态确定与边界点相连的节点的匹配情况;协调器节点组合得出最大匹配集。实验结果表明:与已有的分布式图模式匹配算法相比,dis GPM-PE算法都能够在不显著增加通信量的前提下避免数据片段间的依赖关系对执行时间的影响,从而减少图模式匹配的时间。     

基于参数辨识的电动舵机系统健康仿真和评估

针对目前电动舵机系统故障诊断方法不能有效预测缓变故障,提出基于舵机系统模型的状态变量检测法对飞行器常用的执行机构电动舵机系统进行健康分析与仿真评估。分析电动舵机系统子系统电机本体、控制器、传动机构的常见故障,对其中反映系统性能的关键参数进行数学建模;通过对系统注入不同的健康参数得到相关故障状态下的状态变量特征,进而作为定位故障源的知识库,引入健康因子评估故障参数的变化趋势;仿真算例选择电机本体的主要物理参数电机绕组阻值和反映永磁体性能的电机力矩常数作为健康因子,通过定位知识库建立的健康因子评估算法验证了方法的可行性。     

基于Vague集模糊值线性序法的雷达抗干扰效能评估

针对已有评估方法存在的不足,提出了一种基于Vague集模糊值线性序法的雷达抗干扰效能评估方法。分析了影响雷达抗干扰效能的指标因素,给出了各评价指标的模糊值表示,建立了基于Vague集模糊值线性序法的雷达抗干扰效能综合评价模型,得到了评价其效能的排序方法。最后通过实例分析验证,该方法评估结果准确,具有一定参考价值。     

大型仿真推演系统数据质量评估方法

数据是大型仿真推演系统建立和运行的基础,一定程度上其质量直接关系着整个系统应用的水平、广度及深度。首先建立了大型仿真推演数据质量的评价指标体系,包括3个一级指标和相对应的二级指标,然后提出了定性指标的定量化、定量指标的无量纲化的指标指数确定方法,以及在分析权重确定的基础上提出了主观赋权与客观赋权相结合的方法,最后基于AHP法以某一装甲兵作战仿真推演系统的数据为例进行了质量评估,从宏观上得到了一个整体的数据质量评价。