航天装备大数据资源平台构建技术研究

航天装备研制涉及论证、研制、生产、试验、综合保障等各个环节,所产生的数据具有种类多、数据量大、异构性强等特点,且数据资源分散于各科研机构院所,形成一个个数据孤岛,严重制约了型号数据的统一管理和协同应用。为了建立“逻辑统一、物理分散”的航天装备统一大数据中心,本文提出一种航天装备大数据资源平台构建技术,该平台基于统一的数据编目规范,综合利用云计算、微服务、区块链等技术,可实现多维异构数据深度融合管控,实现基于型号科研生产活动下的数据逻辑统一管理和实体分布式存储,能够解决航天装备整个研制活动全要素全过程的数据采集和可控共享的现实需求,为各业务场景下的数据分析奠定基础。     

基于响应面法的悬架系统优化研究

提出了应用响应面分析履带车辆悬架系统特性的方法。构建了悬架系统特性参数和整车行驶平顺性及可靠性之间的二阶响应面模型,并依据响应面分析结果,进行悬架系统的优化研究。优化结果表明了该方法的有效性。     

新型装甲装备部队试用初探

新装备不经部队试用就批量生产交付部队使用,是导致新装备质量水平低、长期不能形成保障能力的重要原因之一。开展部队试用是提高新装备的质量与可靠性水平,促进新装备尽快形成作战、保障能力的重要途径之一。分析了开展新装备部队试用工作的必要性,探讨了新型装甲装备部队试用的基本任务,并对如何开展装甲新装备部队试用工作提出了几点建议。     

基于可信度的网络安全性分析方法

提出了一个基于可信度方法的网络安全性分析模型。该模型在脆弱点信息、脆弱点之间的关系、脆弱点与安全性的关系的表示中引入可信度因子,通过不确定推理对主机和网络的安全性进行分析。该模型能综合考虑诸多因素,有效处理安全性分析中的不确定知识。     

基于模糊综合评判的装备软件可靠性分析

可靠性是衡量装备软件质量的重要参数,但由于软件可靠性的特点,在实际对装备软件可靠性定量分析往往很难,甚至不可能。从软件质量框架模型出发,结合装备软件的特点,分析了影响装备软件可靠性的几个参数,提出了一种运用模糊综合评判方法对装备软件可靠性进行定性分析的方法。该方法简单,可行性强。最后,给出了一个实例。     

近程反导中拦阻射击模式和多重命中体制研究

在近程反导中,片面强调提高高炮随动系统的跟踪瞄准速度,已经不现实,通过对拦阻射击模式的研究,探讨了采用多重命中体制弥补随动系统缺陷的可行性。     

Transient analysis of Markov models of fault‐tolerant systems with deferred repair using split regenerative randomization

The (standard) randomization method is an attractive alternative for the transient analysis of continuous time Markov models. The main advantages of the method are numerical stability, well‐controlled computation error, and ability to specify the computation error in advance. However, the fact that the method can be computationally very expensive limits its applicability. In this paper, we develop a new method called split regenerative randomization, which, having the same good properties as standard randomization, can be significantly more efficient. The method covers reliability‐like models with a particular but quite general structure and requires the selection of a subset of states and a regenerative state satisfying some conditions. For a class of continuous time Markov models, model class C₂, including typical failure/repair reliability‐like models with exponential failure and repair time distributions and deferred repair, natural selections are available for both the subset of states and the regenerative state and, for those natural selections, theoretical results are available assessing the efficiency of the method in terms of “visible” model characteristics. Those results can be used to anticipate when the method can be expected to be competitive. We illustrate the application of the method using a large class C₂ model and show that for models in that class the method can indeed be significantly more efficient than previously available randomization‐based methods. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006     

EXTENDED DETERRENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST

The article presents and analyzes the US extended deterrence commitments in the Middle East as well as those provided by regional states, and assesses the effectiveness and credibility of these commitments. The article then proceeds to analyze a situation wherein Iran successfully develops nuclear weapons. It considers first the security requirements and alternatives of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) states, and then proceeds to assess the stability—or instability—of an Israeli-Iranian nuclear balance. The enhancement of US extended deterrence in the region is required in order to deter Iran, reassure allies, and contribute to the stability of an Israeli-Iranian nuclear balance. The article also discusses several contextual issues, such as: the future form of US extended deterrence; distinguishing between the latter and other US extended deterrence commitments; and the different approaches of specific GCC states and Israel.     

一种针对HIGHT的改进差分故障的分析

为评估HIGHT轻型分组密码抗故障攻击能力,基于单字节故障模型,提出一种改进的HIGHT故障攻击方法．首先在HIGHT最后1轮注入单字节故障恢复SK124和SK1262个轮密钥,然后增加故障注入深度,在HIGHT倒数第5轮注入单字节故障恢复HIGHT另外10个轮密钥,从而恢复HIGHT的全部主密钥．实验结果表明：仅需22次故障注入即可恢复HIGHT全部128位主密钥,优于现有故障攻击方法所需的32次故障注入．     

Component importance for linear consecutive‐ k ‐Out‐of‐ n and m ‐Consecutive‐ k ‐Out‐of‐ n systems with exchangeable components

Measuring the relative importance of components in a mechanical system is useful for various purposes. In this article, we study Birnbaum and Barlow‐Proschan importance measures for two frequently studied system designs: linear consecutive k ‐out‐of‐ n and m ‐consecutive‐ k ‐out‐of‐ n systems. We obtain explicit expressions for the component importance measures for systems consisting of exchangeable components. We illustrate the results for a system whose components have a Lomax type lifetime distribution. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013