关于超音速弹丸底部流动的若干问题

本文扼要地介绍了底部流动研究现状、新型收缩尾部的特点以及底部排气和外部燃烧等减阻技术。并在比较和分析的基础上陈述了笔者对若干问题的看法。     

Dynamic Winner-Take-All Conflict

This paper empirically investigates the importance of financial and political variables in determining debt rescheduling probabilities in Turkey for 1955–2000. The problem of sovereign debt default and rescheduling has been the subject of substantial academic research during the last two decades. There has been criticism of models of developing countries’ indebtedness and rescheduling that rely solely on some economic or financial predictors related to country debt, the foreign exchange sector or the domestic economic situation. Using probit analysis, this paper indicates that financial variables are important determinants of rescheduling probabilities. However, political variables are not significant in our models.     

Sovereign debt,deficits and defence spending: the case of Greece

Abstract

The outbreak of the sovereign debt crisis at the end of 2009 in Greece led to a severe recession, and constant economic problems. This paper investigates military expenditure among others as a potential factor to the growth of sovereign debt in Greece over the period 1960 until currently. Our empirical findings suggest that high deficits, inflation and military spending have been the primary causes of debt growth in Greece. The structural break models reveal a much higher effect of deficits and inflation in the post-1990 period while the threshold switching regression, based on the level of sovereign debt, indicate that for levels of debt-to-GDP ratio above 90% deficits, inflation and military expenditures had significantly more pronounced effects on government debt changes.     

二元论下行为概念的分层建构

行为在犯罪论体系中具有重要地位,行为概念本身也具有限定、统一和结合的机能。存在论立场得出的概念难以涵纳过失行为和不作为行为,而以价值论为立场得出的概念虽然具有更强的解释力,但缺乏对象性的客体事实,难以实现刑法的保障机能。以存在论和价值论的哲学联系为出发点,以可控制条件说为内核,从事实层面到价值层面建构不同外延的行为概念更有利于发挥行为概念的各种机能,也有利于维护刑法的基本原则,适应理论和实践的需要。     

Can NATO survive an accident prone Euro?

The European Monetary Union (EMU) is inherently unstable, and will be prone to repeated financial and fiscal crises. These crises pose a clear threat to NATO security and the political institutions of Alliance member states. There is no definitive way to eliminate the risks posed by monetary union, but straightforward reforms in EMU sovereign debt management represent a low-cost near-term means of mitigating these risks. With EMU nations facing a seeming leadership vacuum, it is well within NATO purview to press for adoption of such reforms.     

政府适度负债规模的研究——从欧洲主权债务危机到中国地方政府负债风险谈起

在现代经济环境下政府倘若仅依靠自身财力,既无外债又无内债的发展经济已显不足;但凡经济发展较快的国家无不举债,依靠举债借助外力不仅能促进且能加快经济发展。然而近年西欧爆发主权债务危机,我国中央地方两级负债暗藏隐性风险,地方政府融资平台风险甚是暴露,也从另一个角度警示政府负债是一把双刃剑。而根据自身实力与未来发展预期适度负债才是最佳选择,负债不足与过度负债都是不可取的。本文通过对政府适度负债标准的研究,为各级政府提出一个适度负债标准或控制临界点,同时也为各级政府根据此标准对自身负债水平提出相应的预警及对策,从而保持经济的稳定发展。     

建筑外保温系统消防安全问题及对策研究

近年来,我国与建筑外保温系统有关的火灾事故频发,引起了社会对建筑外保温系统及外保温材料防火问题的高度关注。在对常见建筑外保温材料的性能特点及外保温系统的做法进行归纳总结的基础上,分析了相关火灾危险性;针对存在的消防安全问题,从完善法规体系、促进新技术应用、加强政府监管、整治现有火灾隐患以及应急救援准备等方面提出了加强建筑外保温系统消防工作的对策。     

提升我军话语国际影响力需要过好四关

国防话语的一个重要支柱就是军事话语,军事话语是一个国家军事软实力和军队形象建设的重要体现。新时代呼唤强有力的军事话语。习近平总书记关于对外宣传工作以及国防和军队现代化的重要论述为提升我军话语国际影响力、为建构我军国际形象指明了方向、制定了战略、设计了战术、明确了任务、确定了节点。如何切实提升我军话语的国际影响力,成为新形势下实现中国梦和强军目标的时代课题。从具体操作层面,提升我军话语国际影响力需要过好思维立场、语言文化、业务素养和法规制度四个关。     

解读我国高校“负债经营”问题

随着高校大规模的扩招,教育资金短缺成了困扰高校发展的一个大问题。许多高校纷纷选择以举债的形式进行校园扩建。但是,这一做法却使部分高校陷入了资金周转不灵的困境中,严重影响了高校的发展。本文从高校负债的含义及理论依据、高校负债经营的必要性与可行性、高校负债经营存在的问题以及化解负债风险的对策等几个角度对高校“负债经营”进行研究,希望对高校发展有所帮助。     

基于态势描述的陆军作战仿真外部决策模型研究

为解决陆军作战行动仿真中指挥决策模型的建模问题,在分析外部决策模型特点的基础上,提出了基于态势描述的外部决策模型,并对模型实现的原理进行了论述,重点对陆军作战行动仿真中态势描述这一核心问题进行了深入研究,提出了基于位置状态、战损状态、任务状态和消息信息等四类实体信息的态势描述方法,为决策模型的构建提供了新思路。