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161.
A framework involving independent competing risks permits observing failures due to a specific cause and failures due to a competing cause, which constitute survival times from the cause of primary interest. Is observing more failures more informative than observing survivals? Intuitively, due to the definitiveness of failures, the answer seems to be the former. However, it has been shown before that this intuition holds when estimating the mean but not the failure rate of the exponential model with a gamma prior distribution for the failure rate. In this article, we address this question at a more general level. We show that for a certain class of distributions failures can be more informative than survivals for prediction of life length and vice versa for some others. We also show that for a large class of lifetime models, failure is less informative than survival for estimating the proportional hazards parameter with gamma, Jeffreys, and uniform priors. We further show that, for this class of lifetime models, on average, failure is more informative than survival for parameter estimation and for prediction. These results imply that the inferential purpose and properties of the lifetime distribution are germane for conducting life tests. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013 相似文献
162.
针对装药长径比对EFP成型的影响,基于一种球缺型药型罩EFP,利用ANSYS/LS-DYNA仿真软件对其成型过程进行建模仿真,研究EFP成型过程及其各项参数.在该基础上,改变装药高度得到不同的装药长径比数据,并对不同长径比EFP形成过程进行仿真,得到不同装药长径比EFP的速度、速度增长率及炸药能量利用率等数据,为选择最佳装药长径比提供依据. 相似文献
163.
为了科学地指导DN150承插管线的使用与管理,采用非线性有限元法对带内腐蚀缺陷的DN150承插管线进行了剩余强度的评估。通过分析和计算,研究了腐蚀缺陷宽度、长度和深度对管线极限承载能力的影响。结果表明:腐蚀缺陷宽度对DN150承插管线的承载能力影响很小,可忽略不计;随着腐蚀缺陷长度的增加,管线的承载能力略微减小,当缺陷长度达到150mm,管道失效压力基本不变;随着腐蚀缺陷深度的增加,管道失效压力呈线性递减,其对管道失效压力的影响程度远远大于腐蚀缺陷长度。 相似文献
164.
165.
Cylindrical specimens are commonly used in Split Hopkinson pressure bar (SHPB) tests to study the uniaxial dynamic properties of concrete-like materials.In recent years,true tri-axial SHPB equipment has also been developed or is under development to investigate the material dynamic properties under tri-axial impact loads.For such tests,cubic specimens are needed.It is well understood that static material strength obtained from cylinder and cube specimens are different.Conversion factors are obtained and adopted in some guidelines to convert the material strength obtained from the two types of specimens.Previous uniaxial impact tests have also demonstrated that the failure mode and the strain rate effect of cubic specimens are very different from that of cylindrical ones.However,the mechanical background of these findings is unclear.As an extension of the previous laboratory study,this study performs numerical SHPB tests of cubic and cylindrical concrete specimens subjected to uniaxial impact load with the validated numerical model.The stress states of cubic specimens in relation to its failure mode under different strain rates is analyzed and compared with cylindrical specimens.The detailed analyses of the numerical simulation results show that the lateral inertial confinement of the cylindrical specimen is higher than that of the cubic specimen under the same strain rates.For cubic specimen,the corners are more severely damaged because of the lower lateral confinement and the occurrence of the tensile radial stress which is not observed in cylindrical specimens.These results explain why the dynamic material strengths obtained from the two types of specimens are different and are strain rate dependent.Based on the simulation results,an empirical formula of conversion factor as a function of strain rate is proposed,which supplements the traditional conversion factor for quasi-static material strength.It can be used for transforming the dynamic compressive strength from cylinders to cubes obtained from impact tests at different strain rates. 相似文献
166.
韦灼彬 《海军工程大学学报》2007,19(6):45-49
以梁端腹板的扇形孔形状为主要参数,进行了4个足尺钢框架梁柱焊接节点往复加载下的破坏试验。通过对弯矩—塑性转角和弯矩—累积塑性变形倍率试验曲线对比分析表明,扇形孔是节点变形能力和破坏形式的主要影响因素。改进扇形孔构造是一种有效措施,既可提高节点的抗震性能,又能保持制作工艺与传统节点基本相同。 相似文献
167.
以具有欠驱动关节的水平两自由度机械臂为研究对象,研究当驱动关节达到指定位置后,以幅值和频率可调的驱动关节角速度信号为控制输入量来控制欠驱动关节的位置。用平均法对欠驱动机械臂的拉格朗日动力学模型进行了简化,并基于简化后的模型给出了闭环非线性反馈控制律。仿真结果表明,所设计的闭环非线性反馈控制率能够使任意初始位置的欠驱动关节趋近其指定位置。 相似文献
168.
There has been much research on the general failure model recently. In the general failure model, when the unit fails at its age t, Type I failure (minor failure) occurs with probability 1 ? p(t) and Type II failure (catastrophic failure) occurs with probability p(t). In the previous research, some specific shapes (constant, non‐decreasing, or bathtub‐shape) on the probability function p(t) are assumed. In this article, general results on some probability functions are obtained and applied to study the shapes of p(t). The results are also applied to determining the optimal inspection and allocation policies in maintenance problems. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007 相似文献
169.
提出了一种基于单脉冲频率及频率变化率联合估计和多脉冲联合估计脉冲重复周期变化率的调频脉冲信号辐射源目标多普勒参数提取方法。该方法解决了无源定位系统数据采样频率与辐射源脉冲重复周期不匹配造成的频率偏差问题,在脉冲到达时间的提取上避免了对脉冲边沿的判断,使得利用中频采样信号计算脉冲重复周期成为可能。介绍对了该方法所采用的频率及频率变化率联合估计关键技术,并在此基础上讨论了该方法所能达到的理论估计精度及误差分析,最后通过仿真试验验证了该方法的可行性和有效性。 相似文献
170.
努娜 《中国人民武装警察部队学院学报》2007,23(12):85-86
在不影响溴乙烷正常产率的前提下,改变原料量和加料方法,设计出制备溴乙烷的半微型实验新方案,与常量制备法相比,具有节约药品,操作安全省时,污染小等优点,在教学实践中经反复检验,符合半微型化学实验要求,是值得推广的新实验方案。 相似文献