Comparison between constant‐stress and step‐stress accelerated life tests under Time Constraint

By running life tests at higher stress levels than normal operating conditions, accelerated life testing (ALT) quickly yields information on the lifetime distribution of a test unit. The lifetime at the design stress is then estimated through extrapolation using a regression model. In constant‐stress testing, a unit is tested at a fixed stress level until failure or the termination time point of test, whereas step‐stress testing allows the experimenter to gradually increase the stress levels at some prefixed time points during the test. In this work, the optimal k‐level constant‐stress and step‐stress ALTs are compared for the exponential failure data under complete sampling and Type‐I censoring. The objective is to quantify the advantage of using the step‐stress testing relative to the constant‐stress one. Assuming a log‐linear life–stress relationship with the cumulative exposure model for the effect of changing stress in step‐stress testing, the optimal design points are determined under C/D/A‐optimality criteria. The efficiency of step‐stress testing to constant‐stress one is then discussed in terms of the ratio of optimal objective functions based on the information matrix. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 00: 000–000, 2013     

The effect of catastrophes on the strategic customer behavior in queueing systems

We consider the single server Markovian queue subject to Poisson generated catastrophes. Whenever a catastrophe occurs, all customers are forced to abandon the system, the server is rendered inoperative and an exponential repair time is set on. During the repair time new arrivals are allowed to join the system. We assume that the arriving customers decide whether to join the system or balk, based on a natural linear reward‐cost structure with two types of rewards: A (usual) service reward for those customers that receive service and a (compensation) failure reward for those customers that are forced to abandon the system due to a catastrophe. We study the strategic behavior of the customers regarding balking and derive the corresponding (Nash) equilibrium strategies for the observable and unobservable cases. We show that both types of strategic behavior may be optimal: to avoid the crowd or to follow it. The crucial factor that determines the type of customer behavior is the relative value of the service reward to the failure compensation. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2013     

目标毁伤效果评估技术研究进展

目标毁伤效果评估作为目标保障的一项重要内容,对精确打击作战情报保障起到了核心作用,是现代精确打击体系的一个重要环节和关键步骤。文章从评估方法、评估模型和评估系统三个方面入手,梳理了国内外目标毁伤效果评估技术的最新研究进展,并对目前各类评估方法、模型及系统的优缺点分别进行了评述。最后,指出了该领域今后的研究方向。     

海军装备体系技术构成探析

在剖析海军装备体系与体系技术概念的基础上,分析了海军装备体系技术的特点与作用,提出了海军装备体系技术的基本构成,为海军装备体系技术的应用研究提供理论指导。     

加强海军航空军械器材信息化建设的对策研究

面对现代空战时域、空域广阔,发生时机不确定性强,航空军械装备战损消耗大的局面,为达到海军航空军械器材保障"快速反应"和"精确保障"目的,必须进一步加强海军航空军械器材信息化建设的研究。首先从总体上规划了海军航空军械器材信息管理系统功能;然后研究了信息化管理的主要技术;最后,提出推行海军航空军械器材"全资可视化"管理,为海军航空军械器材信息化保障提供了一种建设思路和技术指导。     

基于PCA-RBF网络的储运过程管道堵塞故障诊断方法

针对现代储运过程管道堵塞故障诊断时,提取的过程参数多导致诊断速度慢、性能差等问题,提出了基于主成分分析（PCA）和径向基函数（RBF）神经网络故障的诊断方法。首先利用PCA方法对储运过程高维历史数据矩阵进行特征提取,提取的故障特征信息作为训练集,并给出故障特征信息的分类号;然后将其作为RBF神经网络分类器的输入输出进行故障模式识别。仿真实验表明：该方法应用于储运过程管道堵塞故障诊断,不仅大幅度地降低了诊断模型的训练时间,而且提高了诊断正确率。     

新型舰炮武器系统的自动检测系统

阐述了某新型舰炮武器系统应用仿真技术、控制技术、网络技术和信息处理技术实现自动检测,以及自动检测系统的组成和工作原理。用内模拟仿真驱动技术,实现了舰炮武器系统全自动工作方式下的点迹提取、航迹建立、目标识别、威胁判断、目标指示、捕获跟踪、求解射击诸元,全系统动态联动精度在线评估,以及在线实时故障检测。为海军新装备的操作、使用和维护提供了有效的技术手段。将提高系统可维性和生命力。     

作战飞机可靠性与维修性仿真模型

通过故障树分析建立了作战飞机仿真逻辑关系。在修正线性同余法的基础上获得了随机数模型。在各设备故障发生状态和修复状态识别的基础上,建立了可靠性维修性仿真模型,确定了作战飞机在仿真过程中的工作状态,并根据故障模式影响分析预计了设备故障对作战飞机的影响。最后以F/A-18为例进行可靠性维修性仿真,获得了实时的故障信息和修复信息,验证了仿真模型的可行性。     

基于振动烈度的柴油机供油系统断油故障检测方法

研究了振动烈度的相关方法和理论,以WD615柴油机供油系断油故障诊断为例,通过各缸断油时振动烈度值与正常状态下振动烈度值的比较分析,验证了利用振动烈度进行发动机供油系统故障诊断方法的正确性。     

通用机液平台的液压不解体检测与诊断系统设计

在分析装备液压系统检测参数体系的基础上,依据不解体测试的原则,应用流量不解体检测技术、外卡式压力检测技术和油液污染度快速检测技术,构建了基于PX I主机的液压状态检测与故障诊断系统,可实现对装备液压系统的技术状况快速准确检测、故障诊断以及技术状况趋势分析。