基于贝叶斯网络的装备损伤定位系统研究

分析了贝叶斯网络在装备损伤定位方面的优势,及其损伤定位的方法与流程,建立了用于装备损伤定位的贝叶斯网络模型,并开发了损伤定位系统。以某型火炮为例,演示了其损伤定位的一般过程,验证了贝叶斯网络在装备损伤定位中应用的可行性与有效性。     

战术数据链网络设计优化方法

网络设计优化问题直接关系到战术数据链系统效能的发挥。在分析数据链系统中不同消息类别有不同系统响应时间要求的基础上,提出了一种新的网络设计优化方法。通过建立模型讨论了单个数据链轮询网络的轮询周期、网络成员容量、每个轮询周期内各成员的点名次数等因素间的数学关系。并以Link-11为例进行分析计算。结果表明,该分析方法有效可行,为解决战术数据链网络设计及优化问题提供了一种思路。     

On the hierarchy of γ‐valid cuts in global optimization

Concavity Cuts play an important role in concave minimization. In Porembski, J Global Optim 15 ( 17 ), 371–404 we extended the concept underlying concavity cuts which led to the development of decomposition cuts. In numerical experiments with pure cutting plane algorithms for concave minimization, decomposition cuts have been shown to be superior to concavity cuts. However, three points remained open. First, how to derive decomposition cuts in the degenerate case. Second, how to ensure dominance of decomposition cuts over concavity cuts. Third, how to ensure the finite convergence of a pure cutting plane algorithm solely by decomposition cuts. These points will be addressed in this paper. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Optimal capacity in a coordinated supply chain

We consider a supply chain in which a retailer faces a stochastic demand, incurs backorder and inventory holding costs and uses a periodic review system to place orders from a manufacturer. The manufacturer must fill the entire order. The manufacturer incurs costs of overtime and undertime if the order deviates from the planned production capacity. We determine the optimal capacity for the manufacturer in case there is no coordination with the retailer as well as in case there is full coordination with the retailer. When there is no coordination the optimal capacity for the manufacturer is found by solving a newsvendor problem. When there is coordination, we present a dynamic programming formulation and establish that the optimal ordering policy for the retailer is characterized by two parameters. The optimal coordinated capacity for the manufacturer can then be obtained by solving a nonlinear programming problem. We present an efficient exact algorithm and a heuristic algorithm for computing the manufacturer's capacity. We discuss the impact of coordination on the supply chain cost as well as on the manufacturer's capacity. We also identify the situations in which coordination is most beneficial. © 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

Risk‐sensitive sizing of responsive facilities

We develop a risk‐sensitive strategic facility sizing model that makes use of readily obtainable data and addresses both capacity and responsiveness considerations. We focus on facilities whose original size cannot be adjusted over time and limits the total production equipment they can hold, which is added sequentially during a finite planning horizon. The model is parsimonious by design for compatibility with the nature of available data during early planning stages. We model demand via a univariate random variable with arbitrary forecast profiles for equipment expansion, and assume the supporting equipment additions are continuous and decided ex‐post. Under constant absolute risk aversion, operating profits are the closed‐form solution to a nontrivial linear program, thus characterizing the sizing decision via a single first‐order condition. This solution has several desired features, including the optimal facility size being eventually decreasing in forecast uncertainty and decreasing in risk aversion, as well as being generally robust to demand forecast uncertainty and cost errors. We provide structural results and show that ignoring risk considerations can lead to poor facility sizing decisions that deteriorate with increased forecast uncertainty. Existing models ignore risk considerations and assume the facility size can be adjusted over time, effectively shortening the planning horizon. Our main contribution is in addressing the problem that arises when that assumption is relaxed and, as a result, risk sensitivity and the challenges introduced by longer planning horizons and higher uncertainty must be considered. Finally, we derive accurate spreadsheet‐implementable approximations to the optimal solution, which make this model a practical capacity planning tool.© 2008 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2008     

活塞式磁通压缩发电机电枢涡流的有限元分析

为了研究活塞式磁通压缩发电机（P-MFCG）电枢内部涡流及周围的磁场分布,在Maxwell方程组的基础上,对电枢附近区域的磁场模型进行理论推导,得出电枢附近区域涡流场的控制方程。采用Ansoft有限元分析软件对应用于P-MFCG的柱状电枢上感应涡流、磁感应强度以及电枢所受电磁力的分布进行仿真分析,其结果对电枢的优化设计有重要参考意义。     

基于Stateflow的排队系统仿真方法

论述了排队系统与Stateflow相关概念,利用有限状态机理论与面向对象编程思想,提出了建立基于Stateflow排队系统模型的分析步骤,阐述了应用Stateflow对排队系统进行建模与仿真的方法,使用Stateflow对M／M／1／∞／∞／FIFO类型排队系统进行了具体的建模与仿真。仿真结果表明,基于Stateflow的模型与仿真能够有效地描述排队系统的统计特性,并具有可视化、流程化和层次化的特点。     

拖缆系统直线定常运动仿真计算

推导了一个三因次拖缆系统动力平衡运动方程式 ,采用中心差分方法数值离散拖缆系统动力平衡方程 .根据离散方程编制了拖缆系统直线定常运动程序 ,在设定拖缆尾端自由边界条件及拖点边界条件下 ,数值仿真计算 30m拖缆的阵形 .根据仿真计算讨论了拖缆的材料刚度、拖缆水中重量、拖点速度、水动力系数主要参数等对拖缆阵形的影响 .拖缆系统直线定常运动的仿真计算为拖缆系统设计可提供参考依据 ,同时通过该仿真计算及讨论 ,为拖缆系统非定常运动仿真计算奠定了基础     

A risk function for the stochastic modeling of electric capacity expansion

We present a stochastic optimization model for planning capacity expansion under capacity deterioration and demand uncertainty. The paper focuses on the electric sector, although the methodology can be used in other applications. The goals of the model are deciding which energy types must be installed, and when. Another goal is providing an initial generation plan for short periods of the planning horizon that might be adequately modified in real time assuming penalties in the operation cost. Uncertainty is modeled under the assumption that the demand is a random vector. The cost of the risk associated with decisions that may need some tuning in the future is included in the objective function. The proposed scheme to solve the nonlinear stochastic optimization model is Generalized Benders' decomposition. We also exploit the Benders' subproblem structure to solve it efficiently. Computational results for moderate‐size problems are presented along with comparison to a general‐purpose nonlinear optimization package. © 2001 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 48:662–683, 2001     

建筑物内部电场强度分布特性数值模拟研究

为解决建筑物内部空间电场强度分布难以量化的问题,采用时域有限差分（FDTD）法,对以平面波为激励源,二阶Mur收边界条件的闭合规则建筑物、非规则加窗建筑物和含钢筋非规则加窗建筑物3种模型结构内部电场强度分布特性进行模拟,并通过FEKO软件对计算结果的有效性进行验证。结果表明：普通混凝土材质的建筑物对平面波电场几乎无屏蔽效能;吸波混凝土材质的建筑物对平面波电场的屏蔽效能也较为有限,且随激励源频率的增加,在建筑开窗区域附近的谐振性增强,屏蔽性减弱;通过对植入钢筋墙体建筑物采用细线FDTD法的场强分布计算,证明金属钢筋可提高建筑围护结构的屏蔽效能。