导弹撞击角度与飞行时间两阶段控制制导律

为了实施饱和攻击,需要对撞击角度与飞行时间同时进行控制。通过一种导弹撞击角度与飞行时间两阶段控制制导策略实现导弹撞击角度与飞行时间控制。第一阶段:基于切换滑模思想在纵向通道内对导弹飞行时间进行精确控制,侧向通道制导指令采用传统的纯比例导引律。第二阶段:切换到含重力补偿轨迹调节最优制导律对撞击角度进行精确控制,与显式制导不同,该制导律显式包含重力补偿项。设计数值仿真验证撞击角度与飞行时间两阶段控制制导方法的有效性,仿真结果表明,所给出的撞击角度与飞行时间两阶段控制制导方法能够实现撞击角度与飞行时间的同时控制。     

概率化认知控制模式下人为差错概率的量化方法

在现有成果的基础上,对CREAM方法中的人为差错概率量化进行了改进.介绍了CREAM基本法量化人为差错概率的基本思想;讨论了两种概率化认知控制模式的确定方法:贝叶斯网络法和模糊逻辑法,强调了概率化认知控制模式下量化人为差错概率的必要性.通过理论推导,构建了概率化认知控制模式下人为差错概率的量化方法.另外,为了提高计算效...     

基于遗传算法的通信网络可靠性优化设计

在可靠性条件约束下 ,使网络成本最低是网络规划NP hard问题 .文章提出一种基于遗传算法的优化方法解决了这类问题 .仿真结果表明这种算法是有效的 .     

基于遗传算法的大系统可靠度优化分配

给出了大系统可靠度优化分配的数学模型 ,设计了大系统可靠度优化分配问题的遗传算法。数值例子表明该方法可以有效地解决大规模的、复杂的非线性规划问题。解决了传统算法的局限性     

一种基于模糊可靠度确定雷达故障检测间隔期的方法

将雷达装备参数漂移的动态范围模糊化 ,并基于数理统计中参数估计的理论 ,建立了雷达装备的参数模糊可靠度预计模型。把该模型应用于确定雷达电参数的故障检测周期 ,并通过实例论证此方法的优越性和实用性。     

证据推理法在C4ISR系统可靠性评价中的应用

首先参考外军NATO COBP阐述了不确定性处理在C4ISR系统评价中的重要性,鉴于ER方法的先进思想,介绍了ER(Evidential Reasoning)方法在不确定条件下的基本评价框架,并对ER方法和AHP方法,D-S证据理论以及模糊综合评价方法进行了比较综合,针对我军C4ISR系统可靠性评价中的数据不完备等实际问题,初步应用此方法进行评价,对决策人员有一定的参考意义.     

Asymptotic properties of imperfect repair models and estimation of repair efficiency

The aim of this articles is to study the asymptotic behavior of two imperfect repair models, called Arithmetic Reduction of Intensity and Arithmetic Reduction of Age models. These models have been proposed by Doyen and Gaudoin (Reliab Eng Syst Safe 84 (2004) 45–56) and include many usual virtual age models. First, it is proved that the failure intensity of these models is asymptotically almost surely equivalent to a deterministic increasing function with a cumulative error proportional to a logarithm. Second, the almost sure convergence and asymptotic normality of several estimators of repair efficiency are derived, when the wear‐out process without repair is known. Finally, the coverage rate of the asymptotic confidence intervals issued from those estimators is empirically studied. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

Estimating component characteristics from system failure‐time data

Suppose that failure times are available from a random sample of N systems of a given, fixed design with components which have i.i.d. lifetimes distributed according to a common distribution F. The inverse problem of estimating F from data on observed system lifetimes is considered. Using the known relationship between the system and component lifetime distributions via signature and domination theory, the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator _N(t) of the component survival function (t) is identified and shown to be accessible numerically in any application of interest. The asymptotic distribution of _N(t) is also identified, facilitating the construction of approximate confidence intervals for (t) for N sufficiently large. Simulation results for samples of size N = 50 and N = 100 for a collection of five parametric lifetime models demonstrate the utility of the recommended estimator. Possible extensions beyond the i.i.d. framework are discussed in the concluding section. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

Some elementary ideas concerning the complexity of system structure

A system of iid Bernoulli components is the starting point in the statistical theory of reliability. This simplification allows for the development of a rich, though elementary, theory for the structure of the system. Two representations play a prominent role in the study of structural reliability. One is the minimal path set representation and the other is the signature representation. By combining the two representations with the Gibbs measure for the state of components, one obtains terms that can be interpreted as the complexity of the system structure. © 2010 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2010     

周期性检查装备瞬时可用度研究

论文阐述了研究周期性检查装备瞬时可用度的意义,系统分析了周期性检查单部件/复杂可修系统可靠性、维修性以及可用性建模和计算的研究现状和存在不足,指出了检查周期对保障成本和系统可用度的影响,当系统故障/维修时间服从一定分布时,合理确定检查周期可以降低保障成本,提高装备完好性。