The Serbian defence institution: the need for clear policy guidance to improve the Serbian defence planning,management, and command processes

ABSTRACT

The uncritical layering of western liberal defence governance norms and concepts on top of existing legacy concepts has impeded achieving coherent military capabilities and capacities when Serbia’s political and military leadership tried to reform the defence system using Western benchmarking principles and Western countries’ best practices. The process of this change has been more valuable than its actual output, as defined by increased capabilities. Such outcomes should be reflective of policy guidance, and can be thought of as closing the trinity loop of a defence planning system: plans, money and execution. This article addresses two key functional areas of the Serbian defence institution. First, it assesses the current state of defence planning to discern its strengths and weaknesses to ascertain if plans are tied to financial decision-making. Second, a full examination of current Serbian defence management is conducted to discern whether weaknesses exist that distract from producing operational capabilities. Both areas are analyzed thoroughly and some solutions for change are proposed. Also, the article analyzes the appearance of two negative phenomena in the planning process – economization and managerialism.     

一体化试验技术在反坦克导弹全寿命周期中的应用研究

提出了一体化试验的设计方案和试验流程,并分析了一体化试验的技术关键：仿真可信性评估;半实物仿真;仿真试验数据与飞行试验数据的一体化处理。利用一体化试验技术对某型装甲步兵战车导弹射击试验中出现导弹逸出视场问题进行了研究。     

排课中合班问题的探讨

基于排课的实际需要,分析了合班对排课的影响,结合遗传算法在排课中的应用,建立了针对班级上课时间分布均匀性以及课程上课时间分布均匀性的适配值函数.在对课程表进行编码后,把合班问题的解决方案应用于排课算法,使用合班信息与课表编码信息的双表操作,从而能在遗传基因中判断出非法个体,并能进行合理化调整.算例结果表明本算法能有效解决排课中的合班问题.     

某自行战车火控系统动态航路制定及软件实现

根据某型自行战车对空中目标作战的精度需求,为突破火控系统自带动态航路的局限性,提出了动态航路制定模型.在基准战车时目标起始点坐标进行测量的基础上,由连战斗队形配置确定全连其余战车相对基准车档坐标值,通过坐标转换计算,得到其余战车动态航路参数.采用面向对象的可视化编程语言C#2.0编写程序,设计动态航路制定软件.通过举例分析,证明了该方法的可行性,为有效提高自行战车的射击精度提供了一种较为科学的方法.     

多架无人机协同作战的路径规划

提出了一种协调多架无人机的编队同时到达目标的航路规划方法.首先根据敌方防御区域内雷达、导弹等威胁阵地的具体分布情况,采用划分Voronoi多边形的方法制定初始航路,然后通过叠加定长线段到初始航路上对初始航路进行离散化,最后采用动态链类比法调整航路并对航路进行光顺优化处理,使航路安全可飞.并用数字仿真技术对该方法进行了验证,结果表明该方法是可行的.     

An eikonal equation based path planning method using polygon decomposition and curve evolution

Path planning is a key technique of autonomous navigation for robots, and the velocity field is an important part. Constructing velocity field in a complex workspace is still challenging. In this paper, an inner normal guided segmentation algorithm in a complex polygon is proposed to decompose the complex workspace in this paper. The artificial potential field model based on probability theory is then used to calculate the potential field of the decomposed workspace, and the velocity field is obtained by utilizing the potential field of this workspace. Path optimization is implemented by curve evolution, during which the internal force generated in the smoothing process of the initial path by a mean filter and the external force is obtained from the gradient of the workspace potential field. The parameter selection principle is deduced by analyzing the influence of several parameters on the path length and smoothness. Simulation results show that the designed polygon decomposition algorithm can effectively segment complex workspace and that the path optimization algorithm can shorten and smoothen paths.     

基于深度神经网络的无线覆盖预测算法*

为保证新一代移动无线网络能够根据实时覆盖情况动态地调节小区天线参数,需要实现高效且准确的无线覆盖预测。传统的求解方法通过精确的场强预测来判断天线参数的优劣,虽然精度很高但需要大量的计算资源,无法满足5G和后5G移动网络通过实时覆盖预测进行射频参数动态调整的实际需求。现采用基于深度神经网络的算法对给定天线参数的覆盖效果进行预测,以取代对目标区域的精确场强预测。数值结果表明,该方法能够在保持计算准确性的同时显著减少计算量,为5G动态网络规划提供基础性参考数据。     

多种服役环境下航空铝合金疲劳裂纹扩展行为

通过收集机场环境数据并依据环境谱编谱流程,编制出试验室环境下航空铝合金加速腐蚀试验谱,并依据该谱开展LD2CS铝合金预腐蚀疲劳试验。统计分析试验数据,利用影响平均值方法,筛选出三个重要腐蚀损伤表征量,即最大蚀坑深度、最大蚀坑宽度、点蚀率。通过归一化无量纲处理和加权平均方法,计算出腐蚀损伤综合指标α。对比不同损伤程度下预制裂纹疲劳扩展行为特点,定义腐蚀加速系数Ω(α)。利用加速腐蚀第18—20a的试验数据验证Ω(α)表达式的有效性,得到预测值相对误差均小于10%,这说明修正后的疲劳裂纹扩展公式适用于表示腐蚀损伤对长裂纹扩展的加速作用,为航空铝合金的损伤容限设计提供新的思路。     

Russian mission-command in VOSTOK strategic exercises

Russian military prefers and exercises differently compare to the Western planning and execution philosophies with mission command allowed and appreciated in sub unit levels only. “Vostok-2018” provided a lot of evidences Russians using de-centralised execution in the sub-unit levels and at the same time centralised control at levels of units and formations.     

装备器材保障资源调度决策模型及算法

装备器材保障资源调度问题是一个非常复杂的问题,根据其优化目标要求,从保障时间最短、保障耗费最低、安全性最高3个方面建立了该问题的多目标优化模型,并通过目标优先度决策将其转化为单目标模型;接着,采用两阶段法进行求解,将其分为最优路径决策、器材分配决策两个阶段进行决策优化,在明确资源点到需求点之间的最优路径后再进行器材资源的分配;并分别采用基于小生境的自适应遗传算法和基于生成树的遗传算法进行求解。通过实例分析,求解结果能够满足装备器材保障的要求,表明所构建的决策模型和算法是有效的。