新疆公安边防维稳预警情报收集中的问题与对策

新疆维稳形势严峻,预警是维护社会稳定的重要途径。情报收集是成功预警的前提和基础。当前的新疆维稳预警情报收集工作还存在收集主体素质不高,群众优势未能充分发挥,缺乏有效交流与合作等问题。为此。必须加强情报队伍建设,构筑人民防线,完善协作机制,加强情报交流,以改进情报收集工作。     

谈消防控制室的消防安全整体解决方案

消防控制室是建（构）筑物消防设施的控制、指挥、调度枢纽,是消防设施核心中的核心,直接决定能否尽早发现火灾、全面控制火灾、成功扑救火灾、组织迅速疏散。从设计、施工、使用三个方面系统阐述了消防控制室存在的常见问题及解决方案,以期科学、安全、合理地发挥消防控制室的各项功能。     

航天器转动惯量参数在轨辨识的最优激励

根据矩阵分析理论研究了转动惯量参数的可辨识性问题,从姿态动力学方程导出关于未知参数的线性回归模型,将回归矩阵的条件数作为参数可辨识度的定量指标,以可辨识度最大为目标函数建立最优控制模型;应用解最优控制问题的伪谱法,计算控制力矩陀螺的指令轨线,使得惯量参数的辨识精度和收敛速度显著提高;在仿真中采用双无迹卡尔曼滤波算法进行参数辨识,结果验证了所提出的最优激励设计方法可以改善参数辨识性能,同时该方法对先验信息误差具有鲁棒性。     

Halo轨道的航天器编队构型设计

针对不同干涉基线约束下的最优Halo轨道编队构型设计方法展开研究。以Richardson关于Halo轨道的三阶近似解析解为基础建立同一轨道上两航天器编队的相对运动学模型;以平动点为质心的旋转坐标系为基准构造与编队主航天器和观测目标相关的旋转坐标系,并在此坐标系中给出不同于二体问题的干涉基线计算方法;以满足基线约束下观测时间最长为目标给出最优编队构型设计方法。最后,以绕日-地L2点的Halo轨道为例对上述编队构型设计方法的有效性进行了仿真验证。     

导弹俯仰通道制导控制一体化设计

根据弹目相对运动关系及导弹系统模型,建立了导弹俯仰通道制导控制一体化模型。利用反馈线性化方法将该模型转化成为可控线性系统,基于自适应反演控制方法设计了控制器对转换后的系统进行控制。仿真结果表明,制导控制一体化设计能够有效减小导弹脱靶量,缩短导弹系统响应时间。     

高超声速飞行器组合导航系统研究

为提高高超声速飞行器的导航精度,在SINS/GPS位置、速度组合导航模型基础上增加了GPS姿态信息,推导了姿态算法中姿态角误差与平台误差角的关系。通过理论分析说明了其可消除数学模型误差,提高系统的姿态精度,并以此建立了SINS/GPS组合导航系统姿态、位置、速度观测方程。通过仿真验证了该算法的有效性,结果表明SINS/GPS姿态、位置、速度组合导航可以有效提高高超声速飞行器导航定位精度。     

机载相控阵雷达搜索模式辐射能量控制方法

机载相控阵雷达过高的辐射能量威胁了战斗机的生存能力。为了减少相控阵雷达搜索模式辐射能量,提出了基于辐射能量控制的搜索模型。将总能量消耗函数和检测概率相对误差作为目标函数,以平均功率、波束宽度、积累脉冲数以及脉冲重复间隔作为优化变量,选取非支配遗传排序算法对此模型进行优化。仿真结果表明,在同样检测概率情况下,提出的搜索方法可以有效控制雷达辐射能量,具有更好的射频隐身性能。     

网络化指挥控制系统同步特性分析

为解决指挥控制系统模型难以进行数值分析的问题,根据指挥控制过程OODA模型的周期循环特性定义了指挥节点动力学振子,应用捕捉复杂网络同步动力过程的Kuramoto模型描述了网络化指挥控制系统的同步行为特性,并分析了耦合强度与系统同步之间的关系.理论与数值分析表明:对于全连通的网络化指挥控制系统,当信息交互耦合强度超过阚值时系统能达到同步.     

Choosing arrival process models for service systems: Tests of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process

Service systems such as call centers and hospital emergency rooms typically have strongly time‐varying arrival rates. Thus, a nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) is a natural model for the arrival process in a queueing model for performance analysis. Nevertheless, it is important to perform statistical tests with service system data to confirm that an NHPP is actually appropriate, as emphasized by Brown et al. [8]. They suggested a specific statistical test based on the Kolmogorov–Smirnov (KS) statistic after exploiting the conditional‐uniform (CU) property to transform the NHPP into a sequence of i.i.d. random variables uniformly distributed on [0,1] and then performing a logarithmic transformation of the data. We investigate why it is important to perform the final data transformation and consider what form it should take. We conduct extensive simulation experiments to study the power of these alternative statistical tests. We conclude that the general approach of Brown et al. [8] is excellent, but that an alternative data transformation proposed by Lewis [22], drawing upon Durbin [10], produces a test of an NHPP test with consistently greater power. We also conclude that the KS test after the CU transformation, without any additional data transformation, tends to be best to test against alternative hypotheses that primarily differ from an NHPP only through stochastic and time dependence. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 66–90, 2014     

The impact of operational decisions on the design of salesforce incentives

When facing high levels of overstock inventories, firms often push their salesforce to work harder than usual to attract more demand, and one way to achieve that is to offer attractive incentives. However, most research on the optimal design of salesforce incentives ignores this dependency and assumes that operational decisions of production/inventory management are separable from design of salesforce incentives. We investigate this dependency in the problem of joint salesforce incentive design and inventory/production control. We develop a dynamic Principal‐Agent model with both Moral Hazard and Adverse Selection in which the principal is strategic and risk‐neutral but the agent is myopic and risk‐averse. We find the optimal joint incentive design and inventory control strategy, and demonstrate the impact of operational decisions on the design of a compensation package. The optimal strategy is characterized by a menu of inventory‐dependent salesforce compensation contracts. We show that the optimal compensation package depends highly on the operational decisions; when inventory levels are high, (a) the firm offers a more attractive contract and (b) the contract is effective in inducing the salesforce to work harder than usual. In contrast, when inventory levels are low, the firm can offer a less attractive compensation package, but still expect the salesforce to work hard enough. In addition, we show that although the inventory/production management and the design of salesforce compensation package are highly correlated, information acquisition through contract design allows the firm to implement traditional inventory control policies: a market‐based state‐dependent policy (with a constant base‐stock level when the inventory is low) that makes use of the extracted market condition from the agent is optimal. This work appears to be the first article on operations that addresses the important interplay between inventory/production control and salesforce compensation decisions in a dynamic setting. Our findings shed light on the effective integration of these two significant aspects for the successful operation of a firm. © 2014 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 61: 320–340, 2014