早期可靠性数据的统计分析及其应用

在大型复杂产品研制过程中,通过原理样机的各类试验所获得的早期可靠性数据对产品早期可靠性的评估及可靠性设计具有重要意义。文中利用顺序约束模型研究了早期可靠性数据的处理方法,并将早期可靠性数据评估结果应用于可靠性增长计划的制定,从而有效减短了可靠性增长试验的时间。最后,给出了一个实际例子,以说明上述方法的应用。     

基于Bayes小子样二项分布单元可靠性评定的仿真方法

对于小子样二项分布单元可靠度下限评定,经典方法有很大局限性,文中介绍了Bayes方法。并在其基础上提出基于Bayes方法的Monte Carlo仿真方法,示例证明,该方法有很好的应用前途。     

Performance evaluation of a production/inventory system with periodic review and endogenous lead times

This paper considers a discrete time, single item production/inventory system with random period demands. Inventory levels are reviewed periodically and managed using a base‐stock policy. Replenishment orders are placed with the production system which is capacitated in the sense that there is a single server that sequentially processes the items one at a time with stochastic unit processing times. In this setting the variability in demand determines the arrival pattern of production orders at the queue, influencing supply lead times. In addition, the inventory behavior is impacted by the correlation between demand and lead times: a large demand size corresponds to a long lead time, depleting the inventory longer. The contribution of this paper is threefold. First, we present an exact procedure based on matrix‐analytic techniques for computing the replenishment lead time distribution given an arbitrary discrete demand distribution. Second, we numerically characterize the distribution of inventory levels, and various other performance measures such as fill rate, base‐stock levels and optimal safety stocks, taking the correlation between demand and lead times into account. Third, we develop an algorithm to fit the first two moments of the demand and service time distribution to a discrete phase‐type distribution with a minimal number of phases. This provides a practical tool to analyze the effect of demand variability, as measured by its coefficient of variation, on system performance. We also show that our model is more appropriate than some existing models of capacitated systems in discrete time. © 2007 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2007     

动态旋流器湍流流场的模拟研究

采用雷诺应力模型对动态旋流器湍流流场进行模拟.模拟结果与文献实验数据基本吻合,证明该模型的正确性.其中,轴向和切向速度的模拟结果和实际结果非常接近;径向速度的模拟将有助于旋流器结构及性能的分析.所建立的模型和所使用的计算方法为深入探讨动态水力旋流器的流场特性、分离机理及结构优化设计提供了一条有效的途径.     

On equivalence between the proportionate flow shop and single‐machine scheduling problems

We derive sufficient conditions which, when satisfied, guarantee that an optimal solution for a single‐machine scheduling problem is also optimal for the corresponding proportionate flow shop scheduling problem. We then utilize these sufficient conditions to show the solvability in polynomial time of numerous proportionate flow shop scheduling problems with fixed job processing times, position‐dependent job processing times, controllable job processing times, and also problems with job rejection. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 595–603, 2015     

Tests for homogeneity of distributions of component lifetimes from system lifetime data with known system signatures

In this article, we discuss the problem of testing the homogeneity of distributions of component lifetimes based on system lifetime data when the system signatures are known. Both parametric and nonparametric procedures are developed for this problem. For nonparametric testing, the Mann–Whitney‐type statistic is used, and its performance and limitations are discussed. Next, we assume the component lifetimes to follow exponential distributions and then develop different parametric tests. Exact and asymptotic methods are developed based on the method of moments estimators. A Monte Carlo simulation study is used to compare the performance of different parametric procedures with that of the nonparametric procedure. Based on the results of the simulation study, discussions and practical recommendations are made and finally some concluding remarks are provided. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 550–563, 2015     

Scheduling research and the first decade of NRLQ: A historical perspective

It is generally recognized that the first model involving job scheduling was presented by Selmer Johnson and published in the inaugural issue of Naval Research Logistics Quarterly (NRLQ) in 1954. NRLQ also published another seminal scheduling paper by Wayne E. Smith a short time later. In the present paper, we discuss the contribution of NRLQ and the role of the Office of Naval Research in the development of the scheduling literature during the first decade (1954–1963). We also provide a critical analysis of the papers by Johnson and Smith. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 62: 335–344, 2015     

基于截尾正态分布的最大值指标精度换算方法

提出了基于截尾正态分布的最大值指标精度换算方法,为最大值指标与常用精度指标间的精度换算,以及真值测量系统精度指标的确定提供了参考依据。该方法假设系统输出序列中各观测点的合格概率服从对数截尾正态分布;根据给定最大值指标的置信水平及序列样本量,证明并推导了截尾正态分布之截尾上限、截尾下限、均值及标准偏差的计算公式,导出了最大值精度指标与 等常用精度指标间的换算关系,最后结合精密仪器有关理论给出了最大值指标下真值测量系统精度指标的确定方法。实例应用的实验结果表明,该方法是可行的。     

临近空间飞艇内部自然对流的流场特征仿真研究

针对临近空间飞艇,对其内部氦气的自然对流特征进行了数值模拟。首先采用计算流体力学方法,并利用自编的用户自定义函数将外部的温度边界条件导入壁面网格。进而,在不同的稳态条件下,通过对内部氦气压力、温度、速度的分布等流场特征参数的研究,分析了临近空间飞艇内部气体自然对流的运动特性及其影响规律,并对自然对流非稳态变化过程进行了初步的探索。仿真结果表明,在临近空间环境下,飞艇内部氦气的自然对流,对于内部氦气自身的热交换具有一定程度的促进作用,而对蒙皮受力和结构安全性影响很小。     

飞机系统安全性指标的Petri Net分配方法

为解决动态故障树抽象而不利于交流的问题,利用Petri Net直观、易用且适用范围广的优点,提出基于Petri Net的飞机系统安全性指标分配方法。通过整理安全性指标及其相关的可靠性指标,选取失效率作为安全性指标,对比动态故障树及Petri Net建模方法,选取后者建立静态逻辑变迁和动态逻辑变迁的Petri Net指标分配模型。在此基础上,提出考虑严酷等级的系统安全性指标分配方法,经过算例分析,构建Petri Net层次系统故障模型进行指标分配。结果表明,分配值均在相应安全性指标内,该方法能够克服动态故障树法不直观、等分配法分配过于粗糙等缺陷,为飞机安全性设计与评估提供参考。