Pairwise model discrimination with applications in lifetime distributions and degradation processes

Reliability data obtained from life tests and degradation tests have been extensively used for purposes such as estimating product reliability and predicting warranty costs. When there is more than one candidate model, an important task is to discriminate between the models. In the literature, the model discrimination was often treated as a hypothesis test and a pairwise model discrimination procedure was carried out. Because the null distribution of the test statistic is unavailable in most cases, the large sample approximation and the bootstrap were frequently used to find the acceptance region of the test. Although these two methods are asymptotically accurate, their performance in terms of size and power is not satisfactory in small sample size. To enhance the small‐sample performance, we propose a new method to approximate the null distribution, which builds on the idea of generalized pivots. Conventionally, the generalized pivots were often used for interval estimation of a certain parameter or function of parameters in presence of nuisance parameters. In this study, we further extend the idea of generalized pivots to find the acceptance region of the model discrimination test. Through extensive simulations, we show that the proposed method performs better than the existing methods in discriminating between two lifetime distributions or two degradation models over a wide range of sample sizes. Two real examples are used to illustrate the proposed methods.     

高效率机动部署航空武器靶场关键技术和应用

为用户设计了一个航空武器试验靶场,具备空空、空地和地空导弹试验能力,可机动部署,具有易于运行和运维代价低的特点。靶场由载机遥测系统、测量雷达、光电跟踪系统、微波和光纤通信系统、靶机遥测站、指挥控制等6个子系统构成;指挥控制子系统之外的5个子系统均使用国产成熟产品。在总体方案和指挥控制子系统设计中,对互联集成方案、机动部署、试验航线设计和发布、自动化领航、自动化指挥决策等5项关键技术进行了着重优化。在实际应用中,全靶场运行仅需20多成员(不含飞行和机场机务人员),3天内完成新试验场部署和联调,对作战部队飞行员进行5架次航线训练后即进行实弹试验,2天内完成多发中程拦截和近距格斗空空导弹试验。     

应用锤击法的大型复合材料桁架结构段自由振动分析

复合材料桁架结构以其轻质和优异的力学性能应用于大型航天航空飞行器结构,其承载能力和振动特性是决定其应用效果的关键因素。本文考察了大型碳纤维/环氧复合材料方形截面桁架结构段的自由振动特性。采用锤击法实验测试得到了复合材料桁架结构段自由振动的模态和频率,并与有限元数值模拟结果进行对比分析,论证了锤击法测试振动特性在复合材料桁架结构上应用的可行性和准确性。     

不可能差分分析时间复杂度通用计算公式的改进

研究Boura等和Derbez分别提出的不可能差分分析时间复杂度计算公式,根据实际攻击过程优化密钥排除的步骤,给出不可能差分分析实际攻击的时间复杂度计算的改进公式,进而利用两个分组密码算法模型将改进后公式计算的实际结果分别与Boura等的公式和Derbez的公式的计算结果进行对比,结果表明Boura等的公式计算结果既可能高于优化公式的实际分析计算的结果,也可能低于优化公式的实际分析计算的结果,而在轮子密钥独立时改进后公式的实际计算结果是Derbez公式的计算结果的2-1.2倍。     

Parametric study of single confined fragment launch explosive device

In this article, parametric study of single confined fragment launch device was carried out. The configuration proposed was further studied to derive the empirical relationship for effect of fragment size, charge size, confinement thickness on fragment velocity. The simulations were carried out using ANSYS-AUTODYNE explicit solver. Fragment velocities were estimated as a function of different parametric combinations of explosive quantities, charge length to diameter ratio, fragment height to diameter ratio, confinement thickness, fragment material and fragment mass. The data was further converted to charge to metal ratio under fragment and confinement. It was observed that, increase in confinement thickness, charge quantity and decrease in fragment height increases the fragment velocity. It is also noted that, charge to metal mass ratio under fragment significantly affects the fragment velocity. At the end, an empirical relationship for fragment velocity interms of all these parameters was established. Using these relations, two velocities 1831.92 m/s and 2523.9 m/s required for NATO STANAG 4496 IM test were estimated. The design parameters for these velocities are presented. Also, the results estimated using the empirical relationship has been compared with published experimental data. Error in the predicted velocities is within the acceptable range. The empirical relationship proposed will be useful for finalization of design of the fragment launch device.     

系统频率偏差对同时全极化测量的影响及其校准

目标极化散射矩阵的精确测量是全极化雷达极化信息处理的前提和基础。基于正负线性调频信号,针对采用数字解线性调频处理的同时全极化测量体制雷达,分别推导了雷达中频频率偏差和采样频率偏差对同时全极化测量影响的数学模型,提出一种雷达中频频偏和采样频偏的联合估计与校准方法。仿真和实测数据表明：雷达系统频率稳定度会引起不同通道极化测量结果峰值位置和相对相位的变化,采用所提方法能够有效校正峰值偏移,补偿相位误差,提高目标极化散射矩阵测量的精度。     

利用过阻尼电路合成高压方波脉冲

在过阻尼RLC电路分时放电的基础上,提出新型高压方波脉冲产生方法。理论分析表明:过阻尼RLC电路产生的双指数电压波与脉冲形成线产生的方形电压波具有类似的上升沿和平顶。电路模拟表明:通过人工过零技术可以对双指数电压波进行截尾,从而形成完整的高压方波脉冲。建立了原理验证性样机,由两组RLC电路构成,每组电路包含一台脉冲电容器和一只三电极场畸变气体开关,两组电路共用一个上升沿调节电感。实验证明:样机可以在电阻负载上输出幅值为17 kV、平顶宽度为330 ns～5.8μs、上升沿为100～350 ns的单极性高压方波脉冲。该方法适应性强,对负载变化不敏感,同时具有良好的可调节性,方波上升沿、平顶宽度连续独立可调。     

PMI泡沫夹层结构雷达天线罩间接热-结构耦合分析与实验研究

机载PMI泡沫夹层结构雷达天线罩在环境温度变化时将产生表面变形现象并影响其使用性能,但对天线罩热变形结果进行实时检测分析具有一定难度。通过ANSYS间接热-结构耦合法建立了分析模型,对天线罩进行了计算分析,采用热膨胀片状模型进行了理论分析,在此基础上,设计并开展了温度冲击实验研究。结果表明, PMI夹层结构天线罩的热-结构耦合变形综合应变趋势是棱边处膨胀程度最大,由边缘至天线罩透波面中心处,膨胀程度逐渐减小;间接热-结构耦合计算应变值与实测应变值之间平均相差35.08%,间接热-结构耦合分析方法与模型具有一定的可信性。     

利用RLC电路合成高压方波脉冲

基于过阻尼RLC电路分时放电,提出了一种新型高压方波脉冲产生方法。理论分析表明过阻尼RLC电路产生的双指数电压波与PFL产生的方形电压波具有类似的上升沿和平顶。电路模拟表明通过人工过零技术可以对双指数电压波进行截尾,从而形成完整的高压方波脉冲。建立了原理验证性样机,由两组RLC电路构成,每组电路包含一台400 nF脉冲电容器和一只三电极场畸变气体开关,两组电路共用一个上升沿调节电感。实验证明样机可以在250 Ω电阻负载上输出幅值17 kV,平顶宽度330 ns~5.8 μs,上升沿100~ 350 ns 的单极性高压方波脉冲。该方法适应性强,对负载变化不敏感,同时具有良好的可调节性,方波上升沿、平顶宽度连续独立可调。     

基于测试码并行的同步时序电路故障模拟方法

将组合电路故障模拟的一些加速技术推广到时序电路故障模拟中,提出并实现了一个功能块级的基于测试码并行的同步时序电路故障模拟方法,对部分ISCAS89 Benchmark电路的模拟结果表明,该故障模拟方法有较好的性能.