Many‐server loss models with non‐poisson time‐varying arrivals

This article proposes an approximation for the blocking probability in a many‐server loss model with a non‐Poisson time‐varying arrival process and flexible staffing (number of servers) and shows that it can be used to set staffing levels to stabilize the time‐varying blocking probability at a target level. Because the blocking probabilities necessarily change dramatically after each staffing change, we randomize the time of each staffing change about the planned time. We apply simulation to show that (i) the blocking probabilities cannot be stabilized without some form of randomization, (ii) the new staffing algorithm with randomiation can stabilize blocking probabilities at target levels and (iii) the required staffing can be quite different when the Poisson assumption is dropped. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 64: 177–202, 2017     

Minimizing sums and products of linear fractional functions over a polytope

In this paper, we develop efficient deterministic algorithms for globally minimizing the sum and the product of several linear fractional functions over a polytope. We will show that an elaborate implementation of an outer approximation algorithm applied to the master problem generated by a parametric transformation of the objective function serves as an efficient method for calculating global minima of these nonconvex minimization problems if the number of linear fractional terms in the objective function is less than four or five. It will be shown that the Charnes–Cooper transformation plays an essential role in solving these problems. Also a simple bounding technique using linear multiplicative programming techniques has remarkable effects on structured problems. © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 46: 583–596, 1999     

基于改进GM(1,1)模型的导弹贮存可靠性预测方法

针对导弹系统技术复杂、贮存样本量受限、测试数据波动性较大等特点,结合装备的具体情况提出了基于改进GM(1,1)模型的导弹贮存可靠性预测方法。该方法首先利用"对数-幂函数变换"对导弹的历史可靠性数据进行处理,提高数据光滑度,然后依据GM(1,1)模型计算得到可靠性预测值和残差,再利用残差建立残差修正模型,得到残差修正值,减少残差对结果的影响,最后利用残差修正值修正可靠性预测值并还原,求得可靠性最终预测值。实例表明,该改进模型对导弹系统可靠性变化的描述比传统模型更加准确有效,预测结果精度更高,为导弹贮存可靠性预测分析提供了一种有效的改进方法,其算法设计推广性强,可作为其他装备寿命预估的重要工具。     

无源雷达截获概率建模与窗口变量影响仿真

在截获概率概念和截获条件的基础上,综合时域、空域、频域等窗口函数构建截获概率模型,分别建立截获过程的4个窗口函数子模型,研究截获概率与窗口函数变量的影响关系。以SPS-48雷达为辐射源,仿真分析各窗口函数变量对截获概率的影响程度,讨论分区策略下无源雷达参数优化对截获概率的影响并总结截获概率提高方法,为无源雷达设计、研制、试验以及使用提供技术支撑。     

计数序贯抽样检验方案的OC函数和ASN

根据序贯概率比检验的理论,给出计数序贯抽样检验方案的设计原理,得到国家标准GB／T8051—2008中计数序贯抽样检验方案的OC函数和ASN的计算方法。     

基于随机拟合的悬浮式深弹弹阵特征建模

通过分析悬浮式深弹发射后在空中的弹道特性,建立了深弹弹着点坐标的计算模型。采取蒙特卡洛方法,分别对舰艇六自由度状态下,单管和六联装火箭深弹的弹着点坐标进行了仿真计算,对弹着点的分布规律进行了研究,并得出弹着点的联合密度函数。结果表明,在发射参数存在正态扰动下,弹着点散布区域均呈椭圆形分布,弹着点坐标均仍服从正态分布。     

军校图书馆发挥思想政治教育功能实现途径探析

图书馆是军队院校思想政治教育的重要阵地。分析论证了图书馆在军校思想政治教育中具有的转化功能、强化功能和内化功能,并从强化阵地意识、注重阅读引导、提高服务水平、营造环境氛围四个方面,就如何发挥军校图书馆在思想政治教育中的功能作用进行了探讨。     

增强小波系数的飞行数据奇异值阈值降噪

针对飞行数据降噪问题,提出了增强小波系数的飞行数据奇异值阈值降噪算法.结合小波系数噪声自相关函数进行飞行数据的最佳分解层小波分解,对高频小波系数先进行增强预处理再进行SVD分解,运用奇异熵理论确定奇异值重构阶次,采用奇异值阈值对小波系数进行处理并重构,得到降噪数据.仿真实验表明,本文算法能获得较高的信噪比,改善了数据质量.     

Alternative models of Greek defence expenditures

This paper models and estimates Greek defence spending over the 1950–1989 period. It employs the Stone‐Geary welfare function and estimates levels of defence expenditures by the Engle‐Granger two‐step procedure. The Dickey‐Fuller test regression for cointegration is specified in terms of the significance of additional augmentations. The Deaton‐Muellbauer functional form is then employed and an estimating equation for the expenditure share of defence is derived. This specification is compared with the levels equation through a number of non‐nested tests involving model transformation.     

基于多元价值目标的体系作战信息流转模式探析

高效合理的信息流转模式是有效实施基于信息系统体系作战的前提和重要保障。引入了价值目标理论,解析了信息流转概念内涵,分析了信息流转价值目标与作用机理,分别提出了基于最大信息流量、最佳信息质量、最小传输时间和综合价值目标的体系作战信息流转模式,并给出了信息流转策略。