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71.
针对军事欺骗战法定量分析困难的问题,采用基于贝叶斯统计推断和博弈均衡分析的数学方法,在理论上为解决此难题提供了一种可行的方法。该方法首先定义基本概率矩阵,然后根据贝叶斯原理为交战双方构造用于统计推断的主观概率矩阵,并在由两个主观概率矩阵元素构成的偏序链与实施军事欺骗机会之间建立对应关系,再将此关系推广到基本概率矩阵,即是否存在实施军事欺骗的机会将由基本概率矩阵元素构成的偏序链决定。对理论成果的初步应用表明:通过分析由战场情报信息构成的基本概率矩阵的偏序链,可以科学地运用军事欺骗和反军事欺骗战法。 相似文献
72.
脉冲偏压离子镀的研究现状 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
脉冲偏压电弧离子镀的成膜过程远离热力学平衡态,与直流偏压电弧离子镀相比,具有成膜温度低、薄膜质量好和应力低等优点。从大颗粒净化作用、低温沉积、沉积速率、微观组织结构、内应力与结合强度、硬度等方面,综述了近年来脉冲偏压对薄膜性能影响的研究结果,重点讨论了机理方面的新成果,综述了脉冲偏压电源的研究状况,并对脉冲偏压电弧离子镀技术的应用前景进行了展望。 相似文献
73.
Kyle Y. Lin 《海军后勤学研究》2003,50(7):702-718
Consider a distributed system where many gatekeepers share a single server. Customers arrive at each gatekeeper according to independent Poisson processes with different rates. Upon arrival of a new customer, the gatekeeper has to decide whether to admit the customer by sending it to the server, or to block it. Blocking costs nothing. The gatekeeper receives a reward after a customer completes the service, and incurs a cost if an admitted customer finds a busy server and therefore has to leave the system. Assuming an exponential service distribution, we formulate the problem as an n‐person non‐zero‐sum game in which each gatekeeper is interested in maximizing its own long‐run average reward. The key result is that each gatekeeper's optimal policy is that of a threshold type regardless what other gatekeepers do. We then derive Nash equilibria and discuss interesting insights. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 702–718, 2003. 相似文献
74.
75.
J. Atsu Amegashie 《Defence and Peace Economics》2014,25(4):381-400
I study a two-period model of conflict with two combatants and a third party who is an ally of one of the combatants. The third party is fully informed about the type of her ally but not about the type of her ally’s enemy. In a signaling game, I find that if the third party is unable to give a sufficiently high assistance to her ally, then there exists a unique separating equilibrium in which the third party’s expected intervention causes her ally’s enemy to exert more effort than in the absence of third-party intervention; this worsens the conflict. 相似文献
76.
Decentralized decision‐making in supply chain management is quite common, and often inevitable, due to the magnitude of the chain, its geographical dispersion, and the number of agents that play a role in it. But, decentralized decision‐making is known to result in inefficient Nash equilibrium outcomes, and optimal outcomes that maximize the sum of the utilities of all agents need not be Nash equilibria. In this paper we demonstrate through several examples of supply chain models how linear reward/penalty schemes can be implemented so that a given optimal solution becomes a Nash equilibrium. The examples represent both vertical and horizontal coordination issues. The techniques we employ build on a general framework for the use of linear reward/penalty schemes to induce stability in given optimal solutions and should be useful to other multi‐agent operations management settings. © 2005 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2006 相似文献
77.
潜艇定深运动的自适应模糊控制研究 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
针对潜艇定深运动过程中存在非线性、时变参数、复杂干扰的特点,提出了一种基于神经网络的自适应模糊控制器,并采用学习速率自调整的EBP算法对模糊控制器进行了在线调整.仿真结果表明,该控制器能辨别出潜艇的平衡舵角,与常规的PID控制相比,具有抗干扰能力强、响应速度快、精度高等优点. 相似文献
78.
防御方对来袭滑翔再入飞行器进行可达区的预测存在先验信息量不足且时效性要求高等难题.为此提出一种基于最优化飞行假设的可达区快速预测方法:仅需已知目标当前位置、速度与最大升阻比(可基于雷达探测数据通过实时弹道估计获得),基于平衡滑翔假设和最大横程的埃格斯解分别获得目标最大纵程和横程终点坐标,在经纬度二维平面内,可达区即可近... 相似文献