Threshold optimization for weighted voting classifiers

Weighted voting classifiers considered in this paper consist of N units each providing individual classification decisions. The entire system output is based on tallying the weighted votes for each decision and choosing the one which has total support weight exceeding a certain threshold. Each individual unit may abstain from voting. The entire system may also abstain from voting if no decision support weight exceeds the threshold. Existing methods of evaluating the reliability of weighted voting systems can be applied to limited special cases of these systems and impose some restrictions on their parameters. In this paper a universal generating function method is suggested which allows the reliability of weighted voting classifiers to be exactly evaluated without imposing constraints on unit weights. Based on this method, the classifier reliability is determined as a function of a threshold factor, and a procedure is suggested for finding the threshold which minimizes the cost of damage caused by classifier failures (misclassification and abstention may have different price.) Dynamic and static threshold voting rules are considered and compared. A method of analyzing the influence of units' availability on the entire classifier reliability is suggested, and illustrative examples are presented. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 50: 322–344, 2003.     

A bidirectional heuristic for maximizing the net present value of large‐scale projects subject to limited resources

We consider the scheduling of large‐scale projects to maximize the project net present value given temporal and resource constraints. The net present value objective emphasizes the financial aspects of project management. Temporal constraints between the start times of activities make it possible to handle practical problem assumptions. Scarce resources are an expression of rising cost. Since optimization techniques are not expedient to solve such problems and most heuristic methods known from literature cannot deal with general temporal constraints, we propose a new bidirectional priority‐rule based method. Scheduling activities with positive cash flows as early and activities with negative cash flows as late as possible results in a method which is completed by unscheduling techniques to cope with scarce resources. In a computational experiment, we compare the well‐known serial generation scheme where all activities are scheduled as early as possible with the proposed bidirectional approach. On the basis of a comprehensive data set known from literature containing instances with up to 1002 activities, the efficiency of the new approach is demonstrated. © 2003 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2003     

反直升机智能雷战斗部研制费用/效能分析

给出了反直升机智能雷战斗部总体效能的评价体系。对各种评价方法进行了分析 ,提出了适用于智能雷战斗部总体效能评价的层次 TOPSIS法。应用灰色系统预测理论解决智能雷战斗部研制费用估计问题 ,建立了灰色系统 GM模型。采用费效比值准则能较好地反映智能雷战斗部综合能力。通过实例计算可以看出 ,该方法能广泛地应用于弹箭系统     

导弹制导控制与目标杀伤

采用协方差分析描述函数技术 (CADFT)对寻的导弹的制导精度进行了研究 ,提出了空气动力控制、直接侧向力控制的寻的导弹飞行末端的制导精度的一种新的解析模型 ,并研究了导弹直接碰撞杀伤目标的必要条件 ,该理论研究成果具有简单、实用、精度高的特点 ,为寻的导弹制导控制特性研究和揭示寻的理论普遍规律提供了一种新途径     

维修费用合理值计算的基本方法

阐述了武器装备维修费用合理值的计算与评估方法 ,包括平均维修费用、一次性维修费用、实际维修费用等方面     

《老子》单音动词分析

<老子>五千言,使用动词较多,其中单音动词占大多数,复音动词较少.单音动词大多数使用本义,其中单义词多,多义词少.词义发展途径主要是引申.单音动词主要作谓语,此外还可以作主语、定语、状语等.     

利用简并V型原子与光场的非共振作用隐形传送未知原子态

根据简并V型三能级原子与光场的远离共振相互作用系统的改进型有效哈密顿量 ,通过矩阵方法 ,推导出系统随时间演化的波函数 ,提出一种未知原子态的隐形传态方案。     

Two‐stage component test plans for testing the reliability of a series system

A system reliability is often evaluated by individual tests of components that constitute the system. These component test plans have advantages over complete system based tests in terms of time and cost. In this paper, we consider the series system with n components, where the lifetime of the i‐th component follows exponential distribution with parameter λ_i. Assuming test costs for the components are different, we develop an efficient algorithm to design a two‐stage component test plan that satisfies the usual probability requirements on the system reliability and in addition minimizes the maximum expected cost. For the case of prior information in the form of upper bounds on λ_i's, we use the genetic algorithm to solve the associated optimization problems which are otherwise difficult to solve using mathematical programming techniques. The two‐stage component test plans are cost effective compared to single‐stage plans developed by Rajgopal and Mazumdar. We demonstrate through several numerical examples that our approach has the potential to reduce the overall testing costs significantly. © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 49: 95–116, 2002; DOI 10.1002/nav.1051     

基于舰艇编队的反舰导弹航路规划区域划分

根据舰艇编队对海导弹攻击中航路规划指挥决策的需要,为避免各舰发射的导弹出现航路交叉现象,提出了单舰导弹航路规划功能区域的概念和编队导弹航路规划区域划分的思想,建立了编队导弹航路规划区域划分模型。分别研究了一般情况和复杂情况下的导弹航路规划区域划分方法,并且结合想定装备参数进行了编程实现和算例分析。为编队指挥员实施导弹航路规划决策提供辅助决策和科学依据。     

军用飞机采购价格预测研究

分析了我国军用飞机价格预测中存在的困难,从我国国情出发,提出了我国军用飞机价格预测的两种方法:根据制造成本和期间费用预测价格方法与相似飞机预测价格方法.相似飞机预测法是指采用偏最小二乘回归、神经网络或灰色理论等方法,根据相似飞机的性能与价格数据建立价格预测模型,实例表明,相似飞机价格预测法具有较高的精度.