模糊灰色关联模型在遮弹层防护性能评价中的应用

为对遮弹层防护性能进行综合评价,建立了遮弹层防护性能评价指标体系,采用多对象模糊综合评价和加权多层次灰色关联评价相结合的方法.得到了遮弹层防护性能的二级模糊灰色关联评价模型,并对五种遮弹层的防护性能进行了评估.结果表明,综合考虑直接成本、施工条件、伪装性能等因素,刚玉块石混凝土遮弹层防护性能最佳.该模型为遮弹层防护能力综合评估提供了理论依据.     

程控滤波器制作与探讨

系统以FPGA器件和微处理器为核心构成,由程控放大器、参数可调滤波器、简易幅频特性测试仪和控制显示单元四部分组成。其中程控放大器增益为(0~60)dB,10 dB步进;在单片FPGA器件中集成了低通、高通和椭圆三种数字滤波器;滤波器截止频率和放大器放大倍数可通过4×4键盘设置并在液晶上显示;幅频特性测试仪可绘出所测系统的幅频特性曲线。整个系统设计方案先进,精度高,各项指标均满足设计要求。     

基于任务分析的航天装备体系研究方法

航天装备的发展是一项复杂的系统工程,必须建立行之有效的研究方法作为指导.首先分析了航天装备体系的层次性特征,然后对基于任务分析的航天装备体系研究方法的思想和步骤进行了详细的阐述,方法以军事需求为切入点,以作战能力指标、任务指标、技术指标三类指标所建立的指标体系为术语标准贯穿始终,通过层层分解、逐层细化、反复迭代,最终给出满足军事需求的航天装备体系技术方案.最后从某一具体作战样式对航天装备体系的军事需求出发,研究了方法的具体实现,建立了指标体系.     

FIPA规范的防空导弹体系Agent建模方法

针对防空导弹体系建模的复杂性,探讨研究防空导弹体系的Agent建模方法.提出了基于G/A矩阵的Agent建模方法步骤,通过分析角色之间的关系描述了Agent组织结构,给出了角色类和Agent类的统一定义,并建立了Agent结构框架和类实现模型,最后构建了基于FIPA规范的MAS综合集成框架.该方法的提出,为防空导弹体系的进一步建模提供了方法依据.     

导航装备寿命周期费用分析

费用在高科技装备中的地位越来越重要.运用寿命周期费用理论对导航装备进行分析,通过实例得到某型导航装备的经济寿命,所得结论对部队的导航装备管理具有一定的参考价值.     

助推滑翔飞行器复合控制系统线性化小偏差运动方程推导与控制系统设计

助推滑翔技术是制导武器实现增加射程、提高机动突防能力的关键技术之一,对飞行器姿态控制有较高的要求,需要设计复合控制方式的姿态控制系统.针对采用空气舵与燃气舵联动控制的飞行器,建立了动力学模型,详细推导了完整的三通道线性化小偏差运动方程,结合典型弹道数据给出了动力系数图像,分析了助推滑翔弹道各飞行段中飞行器的稳定性,在此基础上选取再入段低空飞行特征点进行了姿控系统设计,仿真结果验证了线性化小偏差运动方程的正确性和控制系统的有效性,为进行此类飞行器的稳定性分析与姿态控制系统设计提供了有益的参考.     

基于星间测距和地面发射源的导航星座整网自主定轨

导航卫星星座自主定轨技术是我国新一代卫星导航系统的关键技术之一.但是仅仅依靠星间相互测距定轨会因缺少地面基准而出现基准秩亏现象.针对这个问题,提出利用少量地面发射源随机工作的方式提供地面基准,将星间测距和地面发射源信息融合起来进行星座整网定轨,进一步提高定轨精度.最后利用仿真实验对该方法的合理有效性进行了验证.     

Strategic dynamic sourcing from competing suppliers with transferable capacity investment

We study the supplier relationship choice for a buyer that invests in transferable capacity operated by a supplier. With a long‐term relationship, the buyer commits to source from a supplier over a long period of time. With a short‐term relationship, the buyer leaves open the option of switching to a new supplier in the future. The buyer has incomplete information about a supplies efficiency, and thus uses auctions to select suppliers and determine the contracts. In addition, the buyer faces uncertain demand for the product. A long‐term relationship may be beneficial for the buyer because it motivates more aggressive bidding at the beginning, resulting a lower initial price. A short‐term relationship may be advantageous because it allows switching, with capacity transfer at some cost, to a more efficient supplier in the future. We find that there exists a critical level of the switching cost above which a long‐term relationship is better for the buyer than a short‐term relationship. In addition, this critical switching cost decreases with demand uncertainty, implying a long‐term relationship is more favorable for a buyer facing volatile demand. Finally, we find that in a long‐term relationship, capacity can be either higher or lower than in a short‐term relationship. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009     

An integrated electric power supply chain and fuel market network framework: Theoretical modeling with empirical analysis for New England

In this article, we develop a novel electric power supply chain network model with fuel supply markets that captures both the economic network transactions in energy supply markets and the physical network transmission constraints in the electric power network. The theoretical derivation and analysis are done using the theory of variational inequalities. We then apply the model to a specific case, the New England electric power supply chain, consisting of six states, five fuel types, 82 power generators, with a total of 573 generating units, and 10 demand market regions. The empirical case study demonstrates that the regional electric power prices simulated by our model match the actual electricity prices in New England very well. We also compute the electric power prices and the spark spread, an important measure of the power plant profitability, under natural gas and oil price variations. The empirical examples illustrate that in New England, the market/grid‐level fuel competition has become the major factor that affects the influence of the oil price on the natural gas price. Finally, we utilize the model to quantitatively investigate how changes in the demand for electricity influence the electric power and the fuel markets from a regional perspective. The theoretical model can be applied to other regions and multiple electricity markets under deregulation to quantify the interactions in electric power/energy supply chains and their effects on flows and prices. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics, 2009     

Designing and pricing menus of extended warranty contracts

Extended warranties provide “piece of mind” to a consumer in that product failures which occur after the base warranty expires are rectified at little or no cost. They also provide an additional source of revenue for manufacturers or third‐party providers, such as retailers or insurance providers, and help cultivate consumer loyalty. In this article, we analyze a number of extended warranty contracts which differ in design, including restrictions on deferrals and renewals. With the use of dynamic programming, we compute the optimal strategy for a consumer with perfect information and determine the optimal pricing policy for the provider given the consumer's risk characterization. We also provide insight into when different contracts should be issued. Finally, we illustrate how profits can be dramatically increased by offering menus of warranty contracts, as opposed to stand alone contracts, with the use of integer programming. Surprisingly, risk‐taking consumers provide the greatest benefit to offering menus. These insights can help a company develop a comprehensive warranty planning strategy for given products or product lines. © 2009 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 2009