模糊神经时延 Petri 网的信息融合模型

将模糊逻辑与融合技术相结合得到了一种模糊信息融合方法,然后用时延Ｐｅｔｒｉ网对此信息融合系统建模,并给出了信息融合系统反应时间的一个计算公式。然后将人工神经网络应用到时延Ｐｅｔｒｉ网中,提出了一种多传感器信息融合的模糊神经时延Ｐｅｔｒｉ网模型。     

基于OPN的军事信息服务组合模型构建方法

介绍了军事信息服务的基本含义,给出了基于对象Petri网的军事信息服务组合模型的形式化描述方法,构建了军事信息服务组合模型的基本结构,并针对一个具体的防空反导作应用案例,使用国防科大对象Petri网建模仿真环境工具开发了相应的军事信息服务组合模型,并对组合服务进行了简要分析。实践表明,该方法能满足军事信息服务组合模型构建的需要,并具有良好的服务建模与仿真分析能力。     

随机Petri网的光纤通道总线传输模型

利用随机Petri网方法建立了基于FC-AE-1553协议的光纤通道交换式网络的网络模型,验证了模型的可行性。通过仿真计算得到总线性能指标,仿真结果表明光纤通道在带宽、数据延迟、传输媒体和距离、错误检测、优先级等方面具有适合于航空电子系统的良好特性。     

C~3I决策系统的Petri网建模技术

综述了Ｃ３Ｉ决策系统的若干Ｐｅｔｒｉ网建模方法。首先介绍了Ｃ３Ｉ系统的一般Ｐｅｔｒｉ网建模技术和时间Ｐｅｔｒｉ网建模技术,并介绍了随机Ｐｅｔｒｉ网建模技术;然后介绍了谓词Ｐｅｔｒｉ网和有色Ｐｅｔｒｉ网建模技术。最后指出了Ｃ３Ｉ决策系统中,Ｐｅｔｒｉ网的若干研究方向。     

Petri网在C3I系统建模分析和综合中的应用

近十多年来,Ｐｅｔｒｉ网理论被广泛应用于Ｃ３Ｉ系统的建模分析和综合设计中,并取得了很多成果。本文就这一领域的研究理论进行综述,并对将来的可能发展方向作一展望     

基于输出协方差配置的车辆振动控制系统设计

通过对车辆振动系统的振动特性分析,确定出系统反馈控制的设计目标。基于对［１］中状态协方差配置控制理论的推广,文中给出了控制器设计的具体方法,并举例说明该设计方法具有直接有效的特点     

黄页服务的合同网在编队武器目标分配中的应用

海上舰艇编队协同作战面临的环境日益复杂,其武器目标分配呈现出了多智能体系统的涌现性、协同性和动态性.将编队武器目标分配问题转化成多智能体系统来研究,根据黄页概念建立了编队武器智能体的黄页服务,运用基于黄页服务的合同网协议实现了编队范围内的武器目标分布式分配.     

Using stochastic programming to solve an outpatient appointment scheduling problem with random service and arrival times

We study a stochastic outpatient appointment scheduling problem (SOASP) in which we need to design a schedule and an adaptive rescheduling (i.e., resequencing or declining) policy for a set of patients. Each patient has a known type and associated probability distributions of random service duration and random arrival time. Finding a provably optimal solution to this problem requires solving a multistage stochastic mixed‐integer program (MSMIP) with a schedule optimization problem solved at each stage, determining the optimal rescheduling policy over the various random service durations and arrival times. In recognition that this MSMIP is intractable, we first consider a two‐stage model (TSM) that relaxes the nonanticipativity constraints of MSMIP and so yields a lower bound. Second, we derive a set of valid inequalities to strengthen and improve the solvability of the TSM formulation. Third, we obtain an upper bound for the MSMIP by solving the TSM under the feasible (and easily implementable) appointment order (AO) policy, which requires that patients are served in the order of their scheduled appointments, independent of their actual arrival times. Fourth, we propose a Monte Carlo approach to evaluate the relative gap between the MSMIP upper and lower bounds. Finally, in a series of numerical experiments, we show that these two bounds are very close in a wide range of SOASP instances, demonstrating the near‐optimality of the AO policy. We also identify parameter settings that result in a large gap in between these two bounds. Accordingly, we propose an alternative policy based on neighbor‐swapping. We demonstrate that this alternative policy leads to a much tighter upper bound and significantly shrinks the gap.     

基于GSPN的舰载服务器系统可靠性建模及分析

提出一种基于广义随机Petri网(Generalized Stochastic Petri Net,GSPN)的舰载服务器系统可靠性分析方法。深入分析舰载服务器系统故障模式的基础上,建立冗余服务器子系统的GSPN模型和共享数据盘子系统的GSPN模型,进而综合得到舰载服务器系统的全局GSPN模型,有效模拟了舰载服务器系统的动态行为。仿真实验验证了所提方法的有效性,为舰载服务器系统的分析与设计提供理论参考。